2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumClinton 44%, Trump 34% (Ipsos/Reuters (Web) 6/18-6/22)
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/ipsos-reuters-24752
Also, nice number here:
2016 National House Race
Asked of 1,339 registered voters
Democrat 47%
Republican 33%
Democrats +14!
ffr
(22,669 posts)I'd like to be a part of making that happen, so I can pop the champagne bottle when news breaks that every GOP up for re-election was defeated.
GOP OUT!
Spazito
(50,338 posts)Thanks for posting this, I love it. Hillary is going to thump Trump!
BootinUp
(47,144 posts)In this poll 47% favorable!
Stallion
(6,474 posts)being called a Republican is almost a slur these days-that's sounds like what you'd expect after the Great Depression
That's a historically very low number
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/party-identification
TwilightZone
(25,471 posts)With those numbers, it's not surprising that Dems have a big lead in the generic House numbers.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)I want those do-nothings deleted from Congress.
oswaldactedalone
(3,491 posts)like a bug.
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)brooklynite
(94,550 posts)TwilightZone
(25,471 posts)Though, it ain't a bad place to start.
Bucky
(54,013 posts)but the weakness at the top of the ticket still concerns me
CobaltBlue
(1,122 posts)Over 2008 and 2012, the average number of votes cast nationwide for president of the United States were approximately 130 million.
A +14 margin means winning by about 18.2 million raw votes.
In 2012, Barack Obama was re-elected by about 5 million votes and a margin of +3.86. (There were about 129 million presidential votes cast.)
This +14 suggests a Democratic shift of +10 percentage points from a gain of around 13 million more votes nationwide.
This +14 suggests we may be in for a 2016 Democratic presidential-winning landslide quite possibly on the scale of 400 electoral votes. That has not happened since Republican George Bush won 40 states and 426 electoral votes in 1988. On the Democratic side, the last was Lyndon Johnson having won 44 states (plus District of Columbia) and 486 electoral votes in 1964.
It will be interesting to see if this level of a polling margin is maintained over the next four-plus months. What makes that possible is the comparison of R-vs.-D and whose nominee does a better job of holding same-party support with those reported exit pollsnationwide and state-by-statecome Election Night. (That would also reveal which party is gaining more crossover voters. I tend to think the self-identifying independent voters will likely carry for the presidential winner as well.)
Bucky
(54,013 posts)sorry, but that's unacceptable. We should not be depending that heavily on Trump being unpopular
I am not pleased with my Democratic party's performance right now