2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhen is Nate Silver gonna Start Publishing the 538 Electoral Map?
I took a lot of solace from it in the autumn of '12, when the media (and not just Fox) were blowing smoke about "Romneymentum" and such shit. In the end, Silver nailed every state and made a lot of pundits look very dumb!
TexasBushwhacker
(21,121 posts)I think the possibilty of A Trump Dump is very real.
Yavin4
(37,182 posts)Trexit.
Exilednight
(9,359 posts)hack89
(39,181 posts)only really blew one big state
Exilednight
(9,359 posts)Each of Trump's wins.
He was no smarter than anyone else out there.
ashtonelijah
(340 posts)Nt
Stallion
(6,642 posts)now it may call into question the calculations he used but I think it had a lot to do with the fractured Democratic primary electorate where Clinton could lose a state despite winning registered Democrats by 10-12s because of large numbers of Independents voting in Democratic primaries
uponit7771
(93,504 posts)tallahasseedem
(6,716 posts)He was my savior during the 2012 election when I would start to lose my mind over "unskewed polls".
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)NEDem
(1,513 posts)and everybody missed Michigan.
pnwmom
(110,217 posts)LanternWaste
(37,748 posts)Your bliss is showing...
Stallion
(6,642 posts)they include about 6 recognized experts like Sabato and Cook to fill in their electoral maps
MohRokTah
(15,429 posts)Orrex
(66,813 posts)Her Sister
(6,444 posts)Makes sense to wait to have a complete picture of where and what is where or what!
