Quinnipiac gets it wrong again: Poll: Clinton and Trump run neck-and-neck

[Cooley Hurd]

Despite EVERY poll showing Clinton crushing Trump, Quinnipiac has them "neck-and-neck"?

http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/29/politics/quinnipiac-poll-hillary-clinton-donald-trump/index.html

Washington (CNN)A new Quinnipiac University poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Trump by just two points, 42% to 40%, a much closer race than other recent surveys have shown.

With third-party candidates included, Clinton leads 39% to 37%, with Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson at 8% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4%.

This Quinnipiac poll is quite different from other recent surveys on the presidential race, showing a much tighter contest than others. Its field period overlaps with those of the Washington Post/ABC News and NBC News /Wall Street Journal polls released Sunday, both of which found Clinton significantly ahead of Trump.

</snip>

They STILL suck at polling...

[4dsc]

1. Don't believe it for a second

EOM

[aaaaaa5a]

2. Look at the Hispanic number

In the internals if the poll, Clinton is only getting 50% of the Hispanic vote. Trump had 33%.


I think that says it all.


Strange outlier.

[BlueNoMatterWho]

7. Yes, if that's the ethnic breakdown it is slightly flawed

Trump won't get out of the 20's with the Latino vote. However this poll is much more realistic based on the party ID sample. They polled 31-28% Dems to Rethugs. A plus 3, about right. The ABC/WaPo poll that had Clinton leading +12 had a Dem party ID of +12. Not realistic.

[uponit7771]

8. +1

[HumanityExperiment]

3. 538 gives them...

an A-

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

[uponit7771]

9. They shouldn't, they got Hispanics at 50% C 33% tRump

[BlueNoMatterWho]

10. Though that is a result, not a sampling anomaly.

[Buzz Clik]

4. I see what you mean. All the pollsters were so right during the primaries.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Every poll is a data point...Keep your eye on the mean or the median.

[leftynyc]

6. Qunnipiac STATE polls are excellent

They've always sucked at national polls.

[DLCWIdem]

11. Didn't Quinnipiac get some down grades in polling this year

I seem to remember a discussion about their methodology and polling for an overly white electorate.