Will Trump do better with white voters then did Romney in 2012

[Legends303]

I always wondered about this question because seem to be the most angry this election cycle and republicans have only increased their numbers among whites. Romney even won young males over Obama. It seems to me that Clinton is losing white males by a lot of numbers in recent polls.

What do you guys think?

[applegrove]

1. Because they believe Trump will get into power and rip up Nafta. He told them so.

[Zambero]

2. He'll fare worse with white college graduates

About the same with high school grads, and better with dropouts. On average about the same, which provides a losing margin with the overall electorate given how dismal he ranks with Latinos and other demographics.

[EarlG]

3. He'll have to do a lot better

The math suggests Trump would need a whopping 70 percent of white male voters to cast their ballots for him. That’s a larger percentage than Republicans have ever won before — more than the GOP won in the landslide victories of Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush, and far more than they won during the racially polarized elections of Barack Obama.

(snip)

The overwhelming fact about American general elections right now is that white male voters just aren’t as powerful as they used to be. In 1980, when the electorate looked very different than it does today, Ronald Reagan cruised to an easy victory by winning 63 percent of white males, according to exit polls. In 1988, George H.W. Bush took 63 percent of that group in his rout of Michael Dukakis.

By 2004, however, winning 62 percent of white men barely got George W. Bush past John Kerry in a squeaker. And eight years later, Romney won 62 percent of white men—and lost to Barack Obama by 3.5 million votes.

So what happened? Between Reagan and Romney, the white male share of the total vote had dropped from 45 percent to 35 percent. The two biggest factors: From Reagan to Romney, Hispanics’ share of the national vote soared from 2 percent to 10 percent; and women, post-feminism, jumped from casting 49 percent of all ballots to 53 percent. Winning the same percentage of white men got the party less and less. And those changes have continued. It will get the GOP even less this year. That’s why Trump needs to jack the number up so high.

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/03/donald-trump-needs-7-of-10-white-guys-213699

[grossproffit]

4. Well, he does have the white nationalist vote locked up.