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2016 Postmortem

piechartking

(617 posts) Sun Jul 31, 2016, 12:05 PM Jul 2016

**New YouGov poll Hillary: 43, Trump: 41.

(Post-RNC convention was Trump 42, Hillary 41)

So a 3-point turnaround in this particular poll.

No link, because I just saw it on MSNBC.

3 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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**New YouGov poll Hillary: 43, Trump: 41. (Original Post) piechartking Jul 2016 OP

National polls are pointless until after labor day. onehandle Jul 2016 #1

I definitely agree with you on National Polls, but not just before labor day. It will be state polls still_one Jul 2016 #3

It is a 11 state Battleground Poll DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2016 #2

onehandle

(51,122 posts)

1. National polls are pointless until after labor day.

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Sun Jul 31, 2016, 12:13 PM

Jul 2016

Major election predictors have her winning, which takes this fact in account.

still_one

(92,115 posts)

3. I definitely agree with you on National Polls, but not just before labor day. It will be state polls

Reply to onehandle (Reply #1)

Sun Jul 31, 2016, 12:28 PM

Jul 2016

that will represent the actually picture of the election

In my view National polls do not adequately reflect the electoral college, where more populated states have greater impact than less populated states

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

2. It is a 11 state Battleground Poll

Reply to piechartking (Original post)

Sun Jul 31, 2016, 12:16 PM

Jul 2016

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