Democrats make a play to turn Arizona blue

[RandySF]

PHOENIX — It has been two decades since Arizona’s red-state status was in doubt in a presidential election. But that was before Donald Trump and his build-a-border-wall platform won the GOP primary and inflamed anti-Republican sentiment among Latino voters.

Trump’s campaign is dispatching vice-presidential nominee Mike Pence to the state for two public events, a tangible sign of Republicans’ concern that Arizona could be competitive this year — while local Democrats, thinking along the same lines, are intensely lobbying Hillary Clinton’s campaign and national Democratic groups for the resources to help make it happen.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/arizona-clinton-trump-blue-226536#ixzz4GBpQwzEW

[unblock]

1. already a victory if it diverts their time and money

but it will be sweet to add to clinton's margin of victory!

[LongtimeAZDem]

2. It's going to come down to turnout

We have two nearly indestructible Republican blocs here; the Sun-City vote, and the Mormon vote. They're not huge, but they're a consistent couple of percentage points at the ballot box, and that's what regularly skews us to the right.

If we really get out the Democratic vote this time, and we get enough apathy and crossovers, we could do it.

[auntpurl]

3. The Mormons don't seem to like him much

judging by the numbers coming out of Utah.

Gee maybe a serial adulterer with 5 children from 3 wives who cheats people out of their money and disrespects the military isn't particularly attractive to them?

[LongtimeAZDem]

5. Agreed, but the odds of them going for a Democrat are remote in the extreme

They'll take him for the Republican control.

[auntpurl]

6. They might go for Johnson

Johnson has very high numbers in Utah. And in the case of AZ (and UT), Johnson votes are DEFINITELY coming out of Trump's total.

[LongtimeAZDem]

7. The AZ Mormons are more of the "Iron rod" type, and they'll vote the way they're told

we have a chance, but it will be up to us AZ Democrats to get out and vote, which, historically, we don't do very well.

[kimbutgar]

8. My mother in law lives in Sun city she is a good Lutheran church going woman

And told me she has only encountered one person voting for Cheeto. The other widows in her group are for Hillary.

[LongtimeAZDem]

10. Yep; the crossover women's vote is the key (nt)

[ffr]

4. Here's the challenge. NV already registered 72,000 more Dems than

the Rethugs.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512335433

AZ (and all other red states) could do the same.

Make it happen!

[kimbutgar]

9. I also think Harry Reid is going to get the Mormons to vote for his replacement and Hillary

[Qutzupalotl]

11. Notice they didn't send Trump

to Latino-heavy Arizona. You can guess why.

[BumRushDaShow]

12. Speaking of that

I happened to briefly flick to MSNBC last night when Chris Hayes had Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) on and Flake was calmly trashing Trump and said he not only refuses to endorse him but refuses to vote for him. So between him and McCain, AZ is toss-uppy. Turnout might make it pinkish but I don't think it's ready to flip yet like NV and CO did.