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Miles Archer

(18,837 posts)
Wed Aug 17, 2016, 12:38 PM Aug 2016

NYT: Trump has a 12% chance of winning the Presidency. Take THAT, "Clinton Supporters!"

If I had a 12% chance of winning anything in life, I think I'd re-direct my efforts into something where my chances were better.

Note: you're going to have to go to the link to see the graph referenced in the article...it's not a JPEG that I can embed here.




Hillary Clinton has an 88% chance of winning the presidency.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region®ion=top-news&WT.nav=top-news

The Upshot’s elections model suggests that Hillary Clinton is favored to win the presidency, based on the latest state and national polls. A victory by Mr. Trump remains quite possible: Mrs. Clinton’s chance of losing is about the same as the probability that an N.F.L. kicker misses a field goal from the 20-yard line.

From now until Election Day, we’ll update our estimates with each new poll, as well as collect the ratings of other news organizations. You can chart different paths to victory below. Here’s how our estimates have changed over time:
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NYT: Trump has a 12% chance of winning the Presidency. Take THAT, "Clinton Supporters!" (Original Post) Miles Archer Aug 2016 OP
So you're saying... piechartking Aug 2016 #1
Beat me to it lol. N/T Lance Bass esquire Aug 2016 #3
It's not zero. Jerry442 Aug 2016 #2
But..but...I was just lurking on freakrepublic workinclasszero Aug 2016 #4
The American people are taking a pass Jim Dandy Aug 2016 #5
Gary Anderson managed that whatthehey Aug 2016 #6
And with the campaign shakeup Glamrock Aug 2016 #7
I get what you're saying and I'm glad that Drumpf is tanking. bananakabob Aug 2016 #8
I don't think we should take our eyes off him for a second. Miles Archer Aug 2016 #9
=) bananakabob Aug 2016 #10
If Trump's chances are this low Blue_Tires Aug 2016 #11
 

workinclasszero

(28,270 posts)
4. But..but...I was just lurking on freakrepublic
Wed Aug 17, 2016, 12:53 PM
Aug 2016

And they have some online polls that prove Trump is going to win a landslide victory!

Also the crowd sizes!!

 

bananakabob

(105 posts)
8. I get what you're saying and I'm glad that Drumpf is tanking.
Wed Aug 17, 2016, 01:35 PM
Aug 2016

But everyone thought Brexit had no chance of passing either.

Let's not get complacent; that's what Trump and the GOP want. They love low interest voters and they thrived on it in 2010.

Miles Archer

(18,837 posts)
9. I don't think we should take our eyes off him for a second.
Wed Aug 17, 2016, 01:41 PM
Aug 2016

There are two approaches to this:

1). "Sit back and relax, we've got this."

2). "If you cast your absentee ballots, participate in early voting, and get your ass to the polls on November 8th, we are positioned to win this."

You can probably figure out which approach I advocate.

 

bananakabob

(105 posts)
10. =)
Wed Aug 17, 2016, 02:09 PM
Aug 2016

Yes! And let everyone you know to vote too! Hillary Clinton might not be your favourite (she is for me) but she is better than Drumpf! We must stop him and the Republicans!

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