IN-SEN: Bayh leads by 7 points.
The poll shows a closer race than a previous Democratic internal survey, conducted in the immediate wake of Bayhs announcement last month. That survey, commissioned by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, showed Bayh 21 points ahead of Young.
As of now, Bayh is winning enough crossover voters to claim the lead, despite Trumps advantage: 16 percent of Trump voters also said they would cast their ballots for Bayh, with Young winning only 3 percent of Clinton voters.
Democrats will need to pick up four Senate seats to wrest control of the chamber away from the GOP if Clinton defeats Trump for the White House and Bayhs candidacy is seen as a boon to their efforts. The GOP is already defending seven seats in states Obama won twice at the presidential level, and Trumps overall slide in the polls has put other states in play, too.
Republicans have mounted a substantial effort to discredit Bayh, who worked for a lobbying firm after retiring from the Senate six years ago. The poll indicates they have made little headway so far, though there are still voters for whom Bayh is undefined: 46 percent of likely voters have a favorable opinion of Bayh, while only 19 percent view him unfavorably. But more than a third, 35 percent, said they have no opinion of Bayh, who served two terms in the Senate, and two terms as governor prior to that.
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/poll-trump-bayh-lead-in-indiana-227116#ixzz4HeEjy3Mz