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Sat Aug 20, 2016, 07:53 AM

 

Early voting starts today. 31 states have early voting. By 11/8, 1/3 of all votes will be cast

That is one fact that makes Donnybrook's path so narrow.

The Trumptanic isn't about to hit an iceberg. It's already hit several. And turning around this listing campaign grows more onerous by the day. Perhaps it's not quite yet a Sisyphean task, but it will be in a few short weeks, barring some miraculous turn of fortune.

October surprises? More of a myth than a reality.

And he now doesn't have a campaign manager. He has a candidate whisperer or handler or something like that. Just compare the experience of Robby Mook and Kellyanne Conway. Yes, Mook is young- 36, but he has a solid background in campaign management going back over a decade- and started political campaigning while still in high school for a teacher running for election to the state house of reps. He managed McCauliff's campaign, worked on Dean's campaign, managed O'Malley's gubernatorial campaign and Cardin's Senate campaign. In other words, he has a solid grounding in contemporary American political campaigns.

Conway, although older, is definitely not as rigorously experienced in running a campaign. In fact, she never has. She's been a pollster for various campaigns. And she's been a ubiquitous "pundit" on TV, but that's it.

As for Bannon, he has zip in the way of campaign experience. Nothing. Nada.

Trump is posed to run his first ad. That I think it sucks is meaningless, we'll see how it plays, but he's playing catchup on the air, despite his endless stream of widely aired pejoratives aimed at HRC, the President and Democrats in general. He's way behind that curve.

He has no coherent or coordinated ground game, meaning field offices (for instance, in FL he has all of one. Hilary has, I believe 24.
If there's a GOTV plan, I've yet to here of it. Hillary's campaign has been working on that for months.

Hillary is surrounded by seasoned professionals who know how to maneuver between Charybdis and Scylla.

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Reply Early voting starts today. 31 states have early voting. By 11/8, 1/3 of all votes will be cast (Original post)
cali Aug 2016 OP
Motley13 Aug 2016 #1
cali Aug 2016 #2
Sancho Aug 2016 #3
cali Aug 2016 #4

Response to cali (Original post)

Sat Aug 20, 2016, 08:02 AM

1. Early voting for primaries starts today in FL

through the 28th


VOTE

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Response to Motley13 (Reply #1)

Sat Aug 20, 2016, 08:04 AM

2. Thanks for that information! I'll edit my op accordingly.

 

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Response to cali (Original post)

Sat Aug 20, 2016, 08:13 AM

3. We voted by mail here in FL a couple weeks ago....

More and more voting is going to mail ballots.

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Response to Sancho (Reply #3)

Sat Aug 20, 2016, 08:35 AM

4. I could vote by mail, but I really love going down to our gorgeous town hall

 

and I love the ladies who staff it and the whole old school experience. There's never a line more than a minute.

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