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DemocratSinceBirth

(101,847 posts)
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 04:57 PM Aug 2016

***** BREAKING***** REUTERS NATIONAL POLL CLINTON 45% TRUMP 33%






Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican rival Donald Trump by 12 percentage points among likely voters, her strongest showing this month, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Tuesday.

The Aug. 18-22 poll showed that 45 percent of voters supported Clinton, while 33 percent backed Trump ahead of the Nov. 8 election.

Clinton, the former U.S. secretary of state, has led Trump, a New York businessman, throughout most of the 2016 campaign. But her latest lead represents a stronger level of support than polls indicated over the past few weeks. Earlier in August, Clinton's lead over Trump ranged from 3 to 9 percentage points in the poll.

The poll also found that about 22 percent of likely voters would not pick either candidate. That lack of support is high compared with how people responded to the poll during the 2012 presidential election between Democratic President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney.








http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TM651Y15_DS_13/filters/LIKELY:1/type/smallest/dates/20160710-20160823/collapsed/true/spotlight/1
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***** BREAKING***** REUTERS NATIONAL POLL CLINTON 45% TRUMP 33% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Aug 2016 OP
holy shellacking! unblock Aug 2016 #1
Woo hoo! Buckeye_Democrat Aug 2016 #2
Tired of Winning! HA!! :-P NurseJackie Aug 2016 #3
And that's even with "other", "refused", and "not voting" included. Silent3 Aug 2016 #4
WOOHOO!! workinclasszero Aug 2016 #5
Aaaaaaaaahhhhh.... quickesst Aug 2016 #6
Wow, what a beautiful babe. kstewart33 Aug 2016 #29
You are most certainly welcome quickesst Aug 2016 #38
This just Lefthacker Aug 2016 #7
What's that I smell in the air from Trump Tower? Tommy_Carcetti Aug 2016 #8
But I heard all weekend long that "the polls are tightening". Of course it was only Trumpeteers... Tarheel_Dem Aug 2016 #9
Unfortunately we had some DUers screaming this too based on one flawed poll. anneboleyn Aug 2016 #23
It's all they've got right now. One outlier is proof of exactly NOTHING. n/t Tarheel_Dem Aug 2016 #24
Yes, lots of DUers... ecodeathmarch Aug 2016 #45
I see Hillary +7 or +8 Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #10
... DemocratSinceBirth Aug 2016 #11
among LIKELY VOTERS Fast Walker 52 Aug 2016 #14
Boom! Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #16
god I hope so!!! Fast Walker 52 Aug 2016 #48
Less educated white males not too likely to vote Cicada Aug 2016 #51
... DemocratSinceBirth Aug 2016 #12
LOVE THAT MEME! Fast Walker 52 Aug 2016 #13
Dumbfuckistan is shrinking,,,, Cryptoad Aug 2016 #15
Was that because of her recent performance ffr Aug 2016 #17
come on Assange and Putin, let's help out Donald with some more "hacked" emails! Bill USA Aug 2016 #18
OMG!!!! Wooohoo! Nt helpisontheway Aug 2016 #19
Also, if she is this far ahead Labor Day what helpisontheway Aug 2016 #20
and only 13 days until chillfactor Aug 2016 #30
i won't be happy until shireen Aug 2016 #21
Fox won't even talk about the polls anymore. It is so obvious. anneboleyn Aug 2016 #22
YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! EricMaundry Aug 2016 #25
I am officially Over the Moon!! MoonRiver Aug 2016 #26
By the outlier poll Sessions used, Trump is ahead and gaining, don't know where this is true Thinkingabout Aug 2016 #27
DSB, great news. Keep feeding us the polls! kstewart33 Aug 2016 #28
Lol vadermike Aug 2016 #31
I worry about over confidence. But that said... Bucky Aug 2016 #32
Oh yeah! mcar Aug 2016 #33
Fingers crossed! MFM008 Aug 2016 #34
Princeton Election Consortium mrJJ Aug 2016 #35
I am sleeping much better these days. Glimmer of Hope Aug 2016 #36
Trump's 33% might be an indication that... Buckeye_Democrat Aug 2016 #37
That's exactly what I thought Mozzonozzo Aug 2016 #40
His immigration flip flop will be the end of this Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #47
I'm almost disappointed it wasn't even a fair fight! Haha! nt Lucky Luciano Aug 2016 #39
Booyah! mobeau69 Aug 2016 #41
I don't get the smugness and the celebrations. Trump is a circus clown who's not even running a real Chakab Aug 2016 #42
She was not losing most polls nationally- why are you so unhappy it's a trouncing? bettyellen Aug 2016 #46
Chris Matthews ignored this poll helpisontheway Aug 2016 #43
RCP? Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #44
Upshot has her at 89% now Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #49
How come today, Aug 24, RealClearPolitics' latest... LAS14 Aug 2016 #50
RCP is Right Wing Johnny2X2X Aug 2016 #52

unblock

(56,198 posts)
1. holy shellacking!
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 04:59 PM
Aug 2016

oh how sweet it would be to win the entire east coast...

... and missouri...

... and utah...

... and the senate...

Buckeye_Democrat

(15,526 posts)
2. Woo hoo!
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 05:01 PM
Aug 2016


It's time for some pro-Trump website to make a phony "bias correction" of about 15% now.

I'll be voting early to help ensure success in the actual election!
 

Silent3

(15,909 posts)
4. And that's even with "other", "refused", and "not voting" included.
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 05:05 PM
Aug 2016

A simple two-choice poll would probably have an even wider gap.

kstewart33

(6,552 posts)
29. Wow, what a beautiful babe.
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 06:23 PM
Aug 2016

This photo certainly would brighten anyone's day. I'm sending it around to friends.

Thanks!!!

quickesst

(6,309 posts)
38. You are most certainly welcome
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 07:26 PM
Aug 2016

When I came across I thought, "PERFECT!!" I couldn't resist.

Tommy_Carcetti

(44,497 posts)
8. What's that I smell in the air from Trump Tower?
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 05:16 PM
Aug 2016

Oh, yeah. That's right.

It's desperation. All the shit flinging is missing badly.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,454 posts)
9. But I heard all weekend long that "the polls are tightening". Of course it was only Trumpeteers...
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 05:16 PM
Aug 2016

that were repeating it ad nauseum, but that's what I heard.

Cicada

(4,533 posts)
51. Less educated white males not too likely to vote
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 10:29 AM
Aug 2016

I saw a poll recently where 62% of white men without college degrees said they were certain to vote this time. For college educated women it was 90%.

ffr

(23,398 posts)
17. Was that because of her recent performance
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 05:33 PM
Aug 2016

over the past 40 years of public service.

Fooled ya!

GO HRC 2016!!! More motivation to keep driving the GOTV movement forward.

shireen

(8,340 posts)
21. i won't be happy until
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 05:44 PM
Aug 2016

the orange jerk is in the single digits!!!
(I was going to say orange toad, but realized that I like toads.)

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
27. By the outlier poll Sessions used, Trump is ahead and gaining, don't know where this is true
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 06:08 PM
Aug 2016

but it thrills the FOX listeners.

Bucky

(55,334 posts)
32. I worry about over confidence. But that said...
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 06:44 PM
Aug 2016

I kinda dream about Gipper-level whompings too

mrJJ

(886 posts)
35. Princeton Election Consortium
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 07:15 PM
Aug 2016

Source: Princeton Election Consortium

As of August 23, 5:03PM EDT:

Snapshot (100 state polls): Clinton 341, Trump 197 EV Meta-margin: Clinton +6.3%

Clinton Nov. win probability: random drift 94%, Bayesian 96%

Senate snapshot (49 polls): Dem+Ind: 51, GOP: 49, Meta-margin: D +2.7%

http://election.princeton.edu/

Buckeye_Democrat

(15,526 posts)
37. Trump's 33% might be an indication that...
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 07:24 PM
Aug 2016

... he's losing some support from his racist followers.

He toned down his racist rhetoric recently, as we know.

Johnny2X2X

(24,203 posts)
47. His immigration flip flop will be the end of this
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 09:25 PM
Aug 2016

These rabid racists are just going to stay home. Trump is just another candidate now that he doesn't want concentration camps for brown people.

 

Chakab

(1,727 posts)
42. I don't get the smugness and the celebrations. Trump is a circus clown who's not even running a real
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 08:00 PM
Aug 2016

campaign, yet she hasn't cracked 50% nationally. Don't forget that her unfavorables are still sky high and she was tied or losing in most polls coming out of the convention before Trump jumped the shark.

She'd be losing handily if they'd nominated pretty much anybody else. Not optimistic for 2020.

 

bettyellen

(47,209 posts)
46. She was not losing most polls nationally- why are you so unhappy it's a trouncing?
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 09:16 PM
Aug 2016

I think she is kicking ass like no other candidate could!

helpisontheway

(5,378 posts)
43. Chris Matthews ignored this poll
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 08:00 PM
Aug 2016

He did show the VA and Missouri poll. He used the real clear politics average to discuss national polls.

Johnny2X2X

(24,203 posts)
49. Upshot has her at 89% now
Tue Aug 23, 2016, 10:42 PM
Aug 2016

89% is the highest it's been. Labor Day is just around the corner. Nothing much will change for the next 3 weeks or more. Trump basically has 8 weeks, this is the home stretch. Bury this fool and sink his party.

America is ready to move forward together!

LAS14

(15,506 posts)
50. How come today, Aug 24, RealClearPolitics' latest...
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 10:18 AM
Aug 2016

... report of a Reuters/Ipsos poll is from Aug 18????

tia
las

Johnny2X2X

(24,203 posts)
52. RCP is Right Wing
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 11:01 AM
Aug 2016

They regularly leave polls out that look bad for Trump. With the Reuters poll they wait a few days for another one to come out if the LV model is really bad for Trump.

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