2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum***** BREAKING***** REUTERS NATIONAL POLL CLINTON 45% TRUMP 33%

Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican rival Donald Trump by 12 percentage points among likely voters, her strongest showing this month, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Tuesday.
The Aug. 18-22 poll showed that 45 percent of voters supported Clinton, while 33 percent backed Trump ahead of the Nov. 8 election.
Clinton, the former U.S. secretary of state, has led Trump, a New York businessman, throughout most of the 2016 campaign. But her latest lead represents a stronger level of support than polls indicated over the past few weeks. Earlier in August, Clinton's lead over Trump ranged from 3 to 9 percentage points in the poll.
The poll also found that about 22 percent of likely voters would not pick either candidate. That lack of support is high compared with how people responded to the poll during the 2012 presidential election between Democratic President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney.
http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TM651Y15_DS_13/filters/LIKELY:1/type/smallest/dates/20160710-20160823/collapsed/true/spotlight/1
unblock
(56,198 posts)oh how sweet it would be to win the entire east coast...
... and missouri...
... and utah...
... and the senate...
Buckeye_Democrat
(15,526 posts)It's time for some pro-Trump website to make a phony "bias correction" of about 15% now.
I'll be voting early to help ensure success in the actual election!
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)
Silent3
(15,909 posts)A simple two-choice poll would probably have an even wider gap.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Bring it on Trump baggers!
Democrats are taking over this fall!!!!!!!!
quickesst
(6,309 posts)....PURE JOY

kstewart33
(6,552 posts)This photo certainly would brighten anyone's day. I'm sending it around to friends.
Thanks!!!
quickesst
(6,309 posts)When I came across I thought, "PERFECT!!" I couldn't resist.
Lefthacker
(264 posts)Made my day.
Tommy_Carcetti
(44,497 posts)Oh, yeah. That's right.
It's desperation. All the shit flinging is missing badly.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,454 posts)that were repeating it ad nauseum, but that's what I heard.
anneboleyn
(5,626 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,454 posts)ecodeathmarch
(34 posts)Johnny2X2X
(24,203 posts)Is +12 filtered? Either way, she's pulling away again.
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)Johnny2X2X
(24,203 posts)Huge movement!!! This was +5 a week ago. This is going to be a landslide.
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)Cicada
(4,533 posts)I saw a poll recently where 62% of white men without college degrees said they were certain to vote this time. For college educated women it was 90%.
DemocratSinceBirth
(101,847 posts)...
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)Cryptoad
(8,254 posts)but we gotta win that Senate supermajority!
ffr
(23,398 posts)over the past 40 years of public service.
Fooled ya!
GO HRC 2016!!! More motivation to keep driving the GOTV movement forward.
Bill USA
(6,436 posts)helpisontheway
(5,378 posts)helpisontheway
(5,378 posts)will the talking points be then?
chillfactor
(7,694 posts)Labor day..let us hope the momentum continues!
shireen
(8,340 posts)the orange jerk is in the single digits!!!
(I was going to say orange toad, but realized that I like toads.)
anneboleyn
(5,626 posts)EricMaundry
(1,619 posts)Thank God. That asshole Trump could get all of us killed.
MoonRiver
(36,975 posts)Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)but it thrills the FOX listeners.
kstewart33
(6,552 posts)vadermike
(1,421 posts)So much for that pivot that's never coming ! GOTV
Bucky
(55,334 posts)I kinda dream about Gipper-level whompings too
mcar
(46,055 posts)MFM008
(20,042 posts)mrJJ
(886 posts)Source: Princeton Election Consortium
As of August 23, 5:03PM EDT:
Snapshot (100 state polls): Clinton 341, Trump 197 EV Meta-margin: Clinton +6.3%
Clinton Nov. win probability: random drift 94%, Bayesian 96%
Senate snapshot (49 polls): Dem+Ind: 51, GOP: 49, Meta-margin: D +2.7%
http://election.princeton.edu/
Glimmer of Hope
(5,823 posts)Buckeye_Democrat
(15,526 posts)... he's losing some support from his racist followers.
He toned down his racist rhetoric recently, as we know.
Mozzonozzo
(24 posts)Notice the 7 point drop among the self-identified very conservative on the day of his grand pivot
http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TM651Y15_DS_13/filters/LIKELY:1,PV_POLI_PHI:1/dates/20160710-20160823/type/smallest
Johnny2X2X
(24,203 posts)These rabid racists are just going to stay home. Trump is just another candidate now that he doesn't want concentration camps for brown people.
Lucky Luciano
(11,863 posts)mobeau69
(12,374 posts)That's all.
Chakab
(1,727 posts)campaign, yet she hasn't cracked 50% nationally. Don't forget that her unfavorables are still sky high and she was tied or losing in most polls coming out of the convention before Trump jumped the shark.
She'd be losing handily if they'd nominated pretty much anybody else. Not optimistic for 2020.
bettyellen
(47,209 posts)I think she is kicking ass like no other candidate could!
helpisontheway
(5,378 posts)He did show the VA and Missouri poll. He used the real clear politics average to discuss national polls.
Johnny2X2X
(24,203 posts)Whe. Will they incorporate this poll?
Johnny2X2X
(24,203 posts)89% is the highest it's been. Labor Day is just around the corner. Nothing much will change for the next 3 weeks or more. Trump basically has 8 weeks, this is the home stretch. Bury this fool and sink his party.
America is ready to move forward together!
LAS14
(15,506 posts)... report of a Reuters/Ipsos poll is from Aug 18????
tia
las
Johnny2X2X
(24,203 posts)They regularly leave polls out that look bad for Trump. With the Reuters poll they wait a few days for another one to come out if the LV model is really bad for Trump.