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molova

(543 posts)
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 07:11 PM Aug 2016

Florida pollster called landlines only (Trump +2)

A recent outlier from Florida Atlantic University used an "IVR" methodology, also known as "robocalls", which are simply phone calls made to landlines (no cellphones).
This type of poll usually underestimate support for the most liberal candidate (in this case Clinton).

When I clicked on the pollster's media release, I found no mention of its methodology.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/FAU_Florida_August.pdf

Feel free to email FAU at BEPI@fau.edu and ask why this pollster does not post the methodology.

My bet is that they are hiding the fact that they use a crappy methodology.

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Florida pollster called landlines only (Trump +2) (Original Post) molova Aug 2016 OP
You would think by the Brietbart story and this poll asiliveandbreathe Aug 2016 #1
how did you determine they used IVR only? nt geek tragedy Aug 2016 #2
From Huffington Post's polling editor molova Aug 2016 #4
Their website mentions that too. geek tragedy Aug 2016 #6
The top rated polls give her a 10 point lead. Dawson Leery Aug 2016 #3
Old folks in The Villages bluestateguy Aug 2016 #5
They only get a C+ from "FiveThirtyEight" pkdu Aug 2016 #7

asiliveandbreathe

(8,203 posts)
1. You would think by the Brietbart story and this poll
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 07:32 PM
Aug 2016

Trump already won - (yes, I did go there, now going to baarf) that is okay..thy are in their own little world...wait til Nov. hits them..I will say some of the headlines over at that site - DO incite their masses with lies...be well all

Here is FL update @ 538

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/florida/

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
6. Their website mentions that too.
Wed Aug 24, 2016, 07:46 PM
Aug 2016
http://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polling-methodology/index.aspx#.V74v2blTEdU

I got mixed up for a second (getting senile?)--thought the issue was random dialing rather than robocalls, but it is IVR itself as you noted that's a no-no for cell phones.
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