2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum2016 Straw Poll
68 votes, 7 passes | Time left: Unlimited | |
Hillary Clinton | |
40 (59%) |
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Joe Biden | |
5 (7%) |
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Martin O'Malley | |
3 (4%) |
|
Andrew Cuomo | |
4 (6%) |
|
Brian Schweitzer | |
7 (10%) |
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Deval Patrick | |
2 (3%) |
|
Elizabeth Warren | |
7 (10%) |
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7 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided. | |
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll |
bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)Plus she should wait to see how the 13 keys line up to see if the democrats have a chance at retaining the White House in 2016.Two keys are defiantly are against the democrats (Incumbent key #3) and (Incumbent charisma #12)
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)NYC_SKP
(68,644 posts)union_maid
(3,502 posts)She says she'd like some time to herself. Not hard to understand.
daggahead
(1,296 posts)Alan Grayson or Russ Feingold in 2016
NRaleighLiberal
(60,541 posts)BlueStreak
(8,377 posts)I am not too inspired by any of the names in the poll.
Biden. Love him, but his age will just add to the narrative that he's a crazy old man.
O'Malley. No opinion at all, and that's a problem.
Cuomo. Maybe, but he isn't his old man. Doesn't seem to have the same intensity.
Schweitzer. I like him. I can't see him holding the eastern swing states and don't really see him adding any other states.
Patrick. I like him -- a lot. The problem here is that I don't think America well feel as strongly about supporting two black men back to back. Maybe I am wrong about that, but this would open up a narrative that the Democrat Party is "just for African Americans." That isn't fair, but I am afraid it is real.
Warren. I like her. But she really is a novice at political campaigns. I hope and expect that she will take the next few years becoming the kind of Senator we know she can be -- a fierce advocate for the middle class.
Clinton. I am concerned about her age and energy. But I also think she is the only one on this list that can win in 2016 given the landscape as we see it today. There really is not heir apparent from Obama's generation or younger, so I would like to see a strategy where Hillary plans to serve one term with a carefully selected YOUNG running mate that would then be poised to win in 2020. Maybe that is a role that Julian Castro can fill. I would love to see Hillary become our first female President rather than one of the Jan Brewer types the GOP has to offer. And I would be stoked to see her team of surrogates: Bill, Barack, Michelle, and Joe. Talk about the A team. Not one on that list that will be under 65% popularity.
Here's another name. Elliot Spitzer. he has some baggage, but who doesn't. America loves a fighter, and he has that kind of image. He'd probably have trouble with the Christian vote, but he could always say that brought him closer to Jesus or whatever all those hooker-chasing TV preachers say. That seems to work for them.
DemocratSinceBirth
(100,345 posts)90% + of the Latino vote
90% + of the African American vote
75% + of the Asian vote
60% + of the women vote
The Republicans won't know what hit them.
doc03
(36,793 posts)follow up a Hussein with a Castro!
Hutzpa
(11,461 posts)why do we always have to worry about what the republicans think, why not do what is right and work our asses off to make it into something we believe in, by the way I'm not sure about the Hillary/Castro team either.
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)LukeFL
(594 posts)He has time to get to The public And for The media to know him.
I do wish to ser him on The vp ticket to any aspiring front runner in 2016.
I have a very gut feeling repukes will choose Rubio for 2016 and that will be a major blow to us ( Democrats). There is no other party more deserving than to see our first black/ woman/ Latino President than ours. It would be inmensenly unfair to see repukes take that away from us in 2016 by freaking choosing Rubio.
Grrrr... I have been reading JEB preparing Rubio.
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)Freemont13
(8 posts)Rubio-Haley
MadBadger
(24,089 posts)Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)to be an anti-Hillary candidate, just like in 08.
MadBadger
(24,089 posts)That's a big difference from now to 2008
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)I think at the end of the day, she's the same Hillary from 08. Love her or hate her, you have an opinion. And people are going to be hungry for new, fresh faces. An anti-Hillary will emerge, and we'll have another primary war.
BlueStreak
(8,377 posts)No public figure is perfect. But I think a lot of people who did not support her in 2008 greatly admire what she has done in the past 4 years and intensely appreciate what Bill did in this election cycle.
If she has the fire in the the belly, she wins the nomination easily.
DemocratSinceBirth
(100,345 posts)He was the only living politician that could have stopped the Clinton machine in 08.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)I really don't. I think Edwards may have been able to (which isn't an argument into how far up shit creek we would have been if that played out.....). But take this poll as an example, she's not even winning in this environment. While not scientific, I think it is telling.
DemocratSinceBirth
(100,345 posts)!) She is winning this "poll" This poll is fun but any sentient person has to question its predictive value.
2) Dennis Kucinich won most of the 04 DU Presidential Polls and was neck and neck with Obama in some 08 polls here.
3) Kucinich was accomplishing this here while registering 1% or 2% in polls among registered Democrats.
4) If not for Obama wresting the African American vote from Hillary which is about 30% of Democratic primary voters she would have beat Edwards like a drum.
5) It wasn't until her African American support collapsed that her primary support suffered
6) Even with all those problems she still received more votes than any of of her Democratic primary challengers.
BlueStreak
(8,377 posts)That's so important. If we do not fix that in the next 4 years, we will lose. There is no other Barack Obama out there.
TTUBatfan2008
(3,623 posts)And he does it with a ton of small donors instead of just a few millionaires and billionaires like Romney did it.
Daniel537
(1,560 posts)I think she's done a good job as SoS, but i still don't completely trust her on foreign policy, i still haven't forgotten her comments about a potential pre-emptive nuclear strike on Iran. Besides, the party needs some fresh faces. I don't want our party to become the "next-in-line" party like the GOP. My choice would be Jon Tester, he has that rural appeal that could help us gain back a lot of working class white folk.
Chemisse
(31,004 posts)But would heartily support her in 2016.
My only concern is her age and whether she will have the drive to do it all again.
Ter
(4,281 posts)I'd imagine the apology damaged her popularity and can be used against her in an election.
DemocratSinceBirth
(100,345 posts)Chemisse
(31,004 posts)It was really a fairly minor incident in the grand scheme of things.
kerouac2
(734 posts)I think to win, you need 2 presidents on the ticket and 2 floated as cabinet members.
Al Gore for Prez.
John Kerry for VP
Bill Clinton Sec of State
Wes Clark Sec of Def
Al Gore for president
http://readersupportednews.org/off-site-opinion-section/72-72/6976-al-gore-for-president
Ter
(4,281 posts)No one that never ran before? Actually, I'm just busting chops. I like all of your pics except Kerry.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)Clinton can't really be in the line of succession I believe since he cannot serve again as PResident. Thoughts?
nsd
(2,480 posts)Henry Kissinger and Madeleine Albright were Secretaries of State even though neither was eligible to become president because of foreign birth.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)RC
(25,592 posts)There are Mid-Term Elections where more than a few Republicans in Congress are up for election.
Let's worry about that election first.
Xyzse
(8,217 posts)By 2016, most of those options would probably be long gone.
Look to 2014 to see who in that group seems prominent, then I'll give an opinion on who I think should run.
GoneOffShore
(17,619 posts)2014 first and the House and Senate then we think about 2016.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)LukeFL
(594 posts)And I know Castro is a newbie but Rubio is was also a newbie two years ago and he was almost considered for VP. And I can assure you will be the primary front runner for VP in 2016.
What Dems in DC needs to do is introduce more of Castro and bring him around more often so the public can see more of him in the nxt two years.
By 2016 Castro won be too new and not so unknown. He can be the VP runner of any front runner wether that would be Clinton or Warner.
I think Clinton is tired And probably wants to retire with her head high And proud ( capturaba bin laden). Warner seems to be The MOST seasoned.
Chan790
(20,176 posts)that Sec. of State Clinton really means it when she says she will not run or consider running.
I think she did at one time really want to be President but that her life priorities may have shifted; a lifetime in politics, especially married to another politician, is draining. I honestly think she has no intention of ever running for or holding office again.
Adenoid_Hynkel
(14,093 posts)A progressive who can win in a competitive state.
He'd be a lock for Ohio, and free us up to go after other states
Ter
(4,281 posts)He really needs to get himself elected Governor or Senator first though.
Hutzpa
(11,461 posts)I believe there are democrats out there that we've not heard of yet that will be of the same magnitude as Obama.
I'm looking for that type of candidate that BELIEVES in their objectives for the middle class.
HopeHoops
(47,675 posts)I see that as an all-around win.
HopeHoops
(47,675 posts)democrattotheend
(12,008 posts)I want the president to have a chance to govern before the party becomes fractured with people jockeying to take his place.
MassedPole
(242 posts)I would love if a woman won the democratic nomination.
As much as I love Hillary..I dont think she is going to run again.
LukeFL
(594 posts)Read above
backscatter712
(26,355 posts)I'd say his experience as VP has seasoned him some more, on top of his decades in the Senate. He tore Ryan to pieces, and is a powerful speaker.
Besides, the Republicans underestimate him and think he's a "gaffe machine."
RosedaleGuy
(89 posts)She lost the primary in '08 but she would pull enough of the women vote away from Republicans to win in a landslide in a national election. She's fully vetted and very well known. I can't say the same for the others on this list. We political junkies know Elizabeth Warren but the rest of the country does not.
bluedigger
(17,152 posts)He has a strong public and private record to campaign on, and he has held up well under the spotlight in recent events such as the Aurora shootings and wildfires. It seems like he is on an upward trajectory still career-wise.
Liberalboy
(1,061 posts)He needs to be elevated to the national scene for people to know him like we do. Maybe a cabinet position?
bluedigger
(17,152 posts)It would give him a little visibility and experience at the national level. Napolitano might move to DOJ... But I would hate to lose him so soon as governor.
Splinter Cell
(703 posts)We need to move on.
chitty
(942 posts)Spitzer keep his pants on?
He coulda been great for 2016.
I don't think Clinton is going to run. We'll see.
DJWBlue
(33 posts)continue to take this country in the right direction , their election would piss off my racist, misogynistic, homophobic, evangelical Republican shithead of a father-in-law. It might even cause him to have the fatal heart attack that we've all been hoping for.
musicblind
(4,562 posts)ShadowLiberal
(2,237 posts)I'd love to have a democrat in the White House pushing for nationwide marriage equality. I think the country would be ready for it to by 2020 after our gay marriage victories this year.
But I admit I don't know much about Martin O'Malley other then that, so my support could change if I find he's conservative/moderate on most everything else like Cuomo.
I'd probably be open to supporting Biden and Hillary as well if they ran, but would depend on who else ran.
DemocratSinceBirth
(100,345 posts)LukeFL
(594 posts)He changed the paradigsm even for our own future candidates. The comparison will be there and I feel sorry for whomever he or she will be.
Really- big shoes to fill. Obama has been the gratest orator of our lifetime - surpassing bill Clinton- who was good at explaining things.
frazzled
(18,402 posts)Honestly, folks. Our role as citizens shouldn't be to game political races constantly. We just finished a year and a half or more of a presidential race. Put it aside and focus on all the difficult issues that lie ahead during the next four years.
Let's trade in our political junkie hats for policy junkie hats.
LisaL
(46,668 posts)But his age would be an issue.
democrattotheend
(12,008 posts)I know she has been floated as a possibility. I doubt she would run if Hillary runs, but if Hillary doesn't run she might.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)Castro or Villaraigosa or a yet to be in the spotlight.
Im not a fan of Villaraigosa. Here in Florida we have a state senator by the name of Darren Soto who will most likely be a bigger player pretty soon.
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)Castro is currently a 'mayor'.
I believe he probably plans to run for the Texas Governor seat in 2014.
I think we will not see him on a national ticket until 2020 or 2024.
brooklynite
(96,882 posts)...after only four years (less than one term) in the Senate?
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)my suggestion would be to add an option "It's too early to decide". The no vote option really could be taken as many different types of reasons.
mgcgulfcoast
(1,127 posts)cecilfirefox
(784 posts)fujiyama
(15,185 posts)Well, OK I'm not sure if Hillary will still want it. It will be up to her and how she's feeling and whether she's still up for it. Women have longer life expectencies. As long as she's healthy, I see no reason why it will be a problem. Seventy really isn't quite that old.
She'd get my vote at this point. Her husband is perhaps the most popular politician alive in the country. She's probably the most popular female politician. They've also proven to be team players. She already has a ton of experience. The only reason she lost in '08 is because Obama was a once in a generation, transformative candidate (and due to gender alone, Hillary would have been a historic nominee). Edwards, Biden, and Richardson - none of them had a chance. It's actually laughable to compare any of them to either Hillary or Obama.
O'Malley and Cuomo are also intriguing candidates. Warner would be a "safe" but somewhat duller bet. Gillibrand would be interesting, but I'm sure she won't run if Hillary is interested. I like Warren, but not just yet. I think Biden would be too old. And I like him, but he doesn't have the star power Hillary does.
It will be an open election, so we'll see quite a few initially interested. If Hillary enters, much of it will clear out. I think we'll get a better idea who's interested two years from now. We'll also see if republicans will continue going down a path of crazy (most likely they will). I think we're beyond racial/identity politics in our party and at this point we know as a party we can build an effective coalition on the national level as well. We're entering a new era here. Obama has proven that.
RFKHumphreyObama
(15,164 posts)workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)I mean damn! She would wipe the floor with any teabag repub stupid enough to run against her!
Could you imagine Pope Ricky vs Hillary?? LOLOLOLOLOLOL!
I, and I imagine, EVERY dem and lib voter in this country would crawl across broken glass on my belly to vote for Hillary!
Now whether she wants to do that at her age and all, I do not know but it would most likely mean 16 years of unbroken democratic rule in the whitehouse and her coattails would hopefully bring control of the congress as well.
And I believe it would mean the death of the stinking unamerican traitorous Randian republican party which is teetering on the edge of extinction even as we speak!
RUN HILLARY RUN!!!!!!