2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumA Poll is a Poll
Just because I don't like the result of the poll doesn't mean it is wrong
but the CNN/ORC +4 Repug why would they believe this model because in 2012 it was Dem +6 and the breakdown Dem38% Repug32% indep vote was 29%
got these numbers from Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2012
what do they think they know that we don't and remember Romney was banking on winning because the polls were oversampling the Dem base. and since there is no Pres. Romney, we know how that worked out
I just don't get it
Cicada
(4,533 posts)Apparently their likely voter measures show a white tsunami. With early voting we will be able to test that assumption perhaps.
Demsrule86
(71,519 posts)Demsrule86
(71,519 posts)no way Texas and Mississippi are tossups and Trump is even close...Looking at multiple polls and particularly states polls, Hillary Clinton is ahead and possibly heading towards landslide territory.
