Quinnipiac Poll Warning

[Doctor Jack]

Before anyone freaks out about the Quinnipiac polls for today keep in mind that Nate Silver says to add 4 points to the democrats numbers because of the strong house effect that they have for the republicans.

That means the actual numbers are Clinton +4 in Florida, +3 in Ohio, +5 in North Carolina and +9 in Pennsylvania.

Looking damn good

That is all

[Blue Idaho]

1. Thank you for the heads up!

I find checking 538 is always better than seeing individual polls the M$M use as clickbate.

[DarthDem]

2. Thanks

When did Silver say that?

But if those are the numbers with +4 for Hillary (I haven't seen them), even the unadjusted Qrap Poll figures are just fine. Tied in FL, down a point in OH (which is always difficult to poll), +1 in NC and +5 in PA. I'll take it, as all four are must-wins for Cheeto. In fact, since getting PA is really the only path to victory for Dumpster Fire, and since it's always a dangling carrot out there anyway every cycle fooling GoOPers into thinking that they can get it when in reality they can't, +5 at this stage is very, very good and +9 is turn-out-the lights territory.

[Doctor Jack]

3. He said that last month on twitter during their last round of polls

[csziggy]

4. I'm doing my part on skewing the polls!

Since our phone line has been restored I've gotten two polling calls. While the major questions were Rubio vs. Murphy they also asked about Clinton vs. Trump. I make it clear that I will be voting for the Democratic candidates up and down the ticket.

[misterhighwasted]

5. Q Pac has always been Republican leaning. Its the only thing reliable about their polling method.

I just ignore Qpac, and it's the poll consistantly used by CNN.
There are more accurate methods of polling out there.