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Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)
Sat Sep 10, 2016, 04:17 PM Sep 2016

Expect some big national polls to release tomorrow or Monday.

Perhaps late tonight too. The smarter pollsters wanted to avoid the labor day weekend as its effect on the sampling population being at home are unpredictable. So probably there were polls in the field Tuesday through Friday of this week. Maybe today too.

Anyhow it used to be a big deal to get a poll out before a Sunday talking head show, but I don't know how much they matter anymore. But definitely getting one out by Monday morning to help dominate the coverage seems likely.

I expect a consistent 3 point lead for Clinton in the average of polls taken over this period. Maybe 5 if we use a generous filter, but 3 is more likely given current trends.

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Expect some big national polls to release tomorrow or Monday. (Original Post) Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 OP
I want a 7 point lead nationally. Funtatlaguy Sep 2016 #1
Doubt you'll get that Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #3
Happy Birthday Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #7
Damn, if all I had to do was ask.... Funtatlaguy Sep 2016 #8
A new Reuters triron Sep 2016 #2
No. Newest Reuters has Clinton +2 Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #4
Good triron Sep 2016 #5
No worries. The poll keeps all the data on its web site and if you load the wrong parameters Loki Liesmith Sep 2016 #6

Funtatlaguy

(10,862 posts)
1. I want a 7 point lead nationally.
Sat Sep 10, 2016, 06:07 PM
Sep 2016

And 5 point leads in both Ohio and Florida.
And 10 point leads in both Penn and Michigan.

triron

(21,984 posts)
2. A new Reuters
Sat Sep 10, 2016, 06:18 PM
Sep 2016

has Trump up over HRC nationally by 0.7% for likely voters. I don't have any info on their turnout assumptions but it is an online poll. Also I bet it includes the labor day weekend (don't know though).

triron

(21,984 posts)
5. Good
Sat Sep 10, 2016, 06:41 PM
Sep 2016

Glad the one I saw was the last one before this latest. Also think it leans republican since Obamas approval rating is among the worst I've seen in recent polling. Sorry for the bad info.

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)
6. No worries. The poll keeps all the data on its web site and if you load the wrong parameters
Sat Sep 10, 2016, 06:50 PM
Sep 2016

You get the wrong dates.

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