Yougov poll over weekend does not show pronounced "bad weekend effect"

[Loki Liesmith]

H42 T40

About the same.

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/09/14/clinton-maintains-narrow-lead-over-trump/

Still expect QPAC to be devastating for many here.

[democrattotheend]

1. Poll was conducted both before and after

But pollster did not notice big shift after.

In 2008, Gallup noted that they were seeing a shift in the final night of their tracking poll (which was based on 3-day average) immediately after the stupid "scandal" over Obama's pastor broke. So the fact that no such big shift was shown here is encouraging.

[Loki Liesmith]

2. agree

But I'm more "concerned" about the QPac poll. They have a history of dodgy results, and they get bigger short term swings to R than to D, historically.

Not concerned for myself. It'll move the averages a half point, which is what I expected this week to close by. But the sturm and drang here will be deafening.