2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLoras College Poll of IL: HRC 43% Trump 30%
In a two-way matchup of just Clinton and Trump, Clinton holds a 14-point lead, 47 percent to 33 percent.
Turning to the makeup of Clinton and Trump supporters, notable patterns emerge. Fifty-six percent of Clintons support comes from females, while Trump is virtually the reverse of this, with 54 percent of his support coming from male voters.
In terms of race, Trumps support among Hispanic and African-American voters is very small with only 10 percent of Hispanic voters surveyed intending to vote for the real estate mogul. Only 4 percent of African-Americans surveyed indicated they intend to vote for Trump. Unlike other neighboring states such as Iowa, the Illinois electorate has sizeable populations of Hispanic and African-American voters.
Geography is also an important element in understanding Illinois politics, with the Chicago Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) and City of Chicago holding substantial importance politically and economically. Downstate Illinois comprises the third geographic unit of analysis. Geographic differences in voter preference are revealed in this Loras Poll, as Clintons margin is strongest in the City of Chicago (64 percent Clinton to 12 percent Trump), while within the Chicago MSA the race is more competitive (42 percent for Clinton and 31 percent for Trump). There is one geographic region in which Trump holds the advantage over Clinton. In downstate Illinois Trump leads over Clinton 40 percent to 31 percent.
http://www.loras.edu/news/clinton-tops-trump-illinois-voters-dissatisfied-loras-college-poll-finds/
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)It's not a contested state.
Gimme a fucking break.
pnwmom
(108,990 posts)despite the current national near-tie.
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)SMDH
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)All the states solidly for her don't count? Will they count November 8, or is it SMDH then too?
book_worm
(15,951 posts)just ignore it. You must be having a bad day.
SaschaHM
(2,897 posts)so for analytical purposes, it does make sense to get top of the ticket preferences to see if there are/will be effects. Those results will be released tomorrow. Why they waited is beyond me.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)MyNameIsKhan
(2,205 posts)remember Martha Coakly vs Scott Brown/ Boston Globe poll 30 days back showing her 15 points up.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)MyNameIsKhan
(2,205 posts)Two votes in congress my god.
Anyhow bygones... even though I am not in IL, I remember loosing nights sleep...