Any movement in this race over the last three weeks is an illusion

[Loki Liesmith]

Look at this graph of poll outcomes vs when they are in the field:

:large

legend:

Position of poll on y axis is size of Clinton Lead.
Intensity of color of boxes is number of polls in field on that interval.
Length of boxes is the period over which the poll is taken.

https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/780032565176508416

[Farmgirl1961]

1. All I can say or blurred out boxes, I can't really see much data.

N/t

I just kind a know what the upshot is. Is it more of a bad polls, or the media trying to make this a horse race, or in fact these last acts of violence acting in trumps favor.

[Loki Liesmith]

2. length of boxes is the time over which the poll is taken

Position of poll on y axis is size of Clinton Lead. Intensity of color of boxes is number of polls in field on that interval.

This graphic says steady but small Clinton lead before convention to big Clinton lead after convention back to original Clinton lead now and for the last three weeks.

Nothing is changing. All movement is noise.

[Loki Liesmith]

3. Also can say

"no such thing as momentum"