Post debate polls starting to come in - Good News!!!

[CajunBlazer]

From Nate Silver's 538 website (I have omitted votes for Johnson):

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/updates/

Winner in bold, Winner after Silver's correction for bias bold underlined

Colorado Sep. 27-28 Public Policy Polling Clinton 46% Trump 40% Clinton +6% Clinton +6

Florida Sep. 27-28 Public Policy Polling Clinton 45% Trump 43% Clinton +2
Clinton +2

National Sep. 27-28 Public Policy Polling Clinton 44% Trump 40% Clinton +4 Clinton +4

Pennsylvania Sep. 27-28 Public Policy Polling Clinton 45% Trump 39% Clinton +6 Clinton +6

North Carolina Sep. 27-28 Public Policy Polling Clinton 42% Clinton +2 Clinton +2

Virginia Sep. 27-28 Public Policy Polling Clinton 46% Trump 40% Clinton +6 Clinton +6

National Sep. 22-28 USC Dornsife/LA Times Clinton 43% Trump Trump +4 Tie

Hillary chance of winning has risen from a low point of 51.3% to the current 62.2% Expect it to go much higher as the new polls come in and start to over shadow polling before the debate. It will take at least 2 weeks before we will see the model fully change.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

[Farmgirl1961]

1. I hope that this is the beginning of a blue tidal wave

and just in time for the next debate!

[CajunBlazer]

2. I really think that it will be very good news for the next week or so poll wise

....as new polls come in for the first time after the debate. This year there are lot of undecided voters.

In addition, normally as we get closer to the election those who early on said they will be voting for 3rd party candidates often have second thoughts about throwing their votes away and start again considering which of the two major party candidates to support. This normal trend could be larger than usual after Johnson had another Aleppo moment were he couldn't remember the name of even one world leader. The post debate buzz should favor Hillary if and when those voters start to reconsider.

[CajunBlazer]

3. Note: Not once has the poll leader after the first debate lost the election.

Hillary is in a strong position.