538 moves Florida back into Clinton's hands, NV almost there too

[ffr]

A 4.3% positive swing nationally from yesterday in probability of her winning the election. She now stands pointed at 62.2% and the trend looks really favorable!!! Link to data FiveThirtyEight.com
Donald's trend looks like a boat anchor headed for the bottom of the ocean.

270ToWin's average of 12 national polls shows Hillary Clinton win a 4 pt advantage of 47% to 43% for Donald. It appears there's positive movement in every state, but more importantly in the battleground states, she's made huge gains.

HRC
CO +4
FL +3
NC +3
NV -1
IA -1
OH -2

This is exciting news for the Clinton - Kaine ticket! Get pumped people, we're in the home stretch.

The deadline to REGISTER or RE-REGISTER voters is fast approaching!!! Get democrats registered NOW!

[Dawson Leery]

1. Remeber the down ballot races.

[Lifelong Protester]

2. As far as registering

I checked AGAIN last night for both spouse and I. We are registered and ready to go!

[ffr]

7. Right on!!!

Strut your bad stuff around. You're a Clinton supporter with PRIDE!

[Lifelong Protester]

9. You got it!

We are on team HRC now. And team Russ. And any other dems!

[Farmgirl1961]

3. YAY!!!! But I'm not sure we're quite in the home stretch yet

We still have 5+ weeks to go and crazy things can happen. We've got to stay diligent, focused, and work as if Hillary is behind in the polls (I know she's not, but we cannot afford to get complacent).

I agree that 62.2% is GREAT news, but I want to see that number go higher, Higher, HIGHER!!!

[Agnosticsherbet]

4. It ain't over until the ballot box sings. GOTV. Vote for down ballot races. Elect Democrats

and Give President Clinton a Congress that works for us.

[Va Lefty]

5. If Clinton wins NC I can''t see Burr getting reelected

That would give us a 50-50 Senate with Kaine the tiebreaker

[Bernardo de La Paz]

6. Remember or learn 538 has 3 models. Report whether your numbers are NowCast / Polls Plus / Poll Only

[ffr]

8. You tell me. I posted the default link.

[Bernardo de La Paz]

10. It's real easy for you to figure out & put it in when you make posts.

It's in the upper left corner.

There are three options there.

One of them has a darkened circle beside it.

This is a common user interface technique to quickly inform the reader what has been selected.

You may see similar indications on other web sites too.

Then you read off the name of the model and you type it into your post.

Alternatively you can highlight the text and use Copy-Paste or ctrl-C ctrl-P to put it into your post.

Your readers will appreciate the care you took to be informative.

[Farmgirl1961]

15. When the title is "Who Will Win The Presidency?" is that a NowCast, Polls Plus or Poll Only?

n/t

[Bernardo de La Paz]

20. Here's how

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=2454201

[leftynyc]

18. She's over 60% in all three models

At least that was true a few hours ago. I only check once a day.

[Rocknrule]

11. Looking forward to 8 more years of Clinton peace and prosperity!

[vadermike]

12. Cool!

Really great news I read a listing saying there are two more debates and like President O did in 12 trump could do well in those and still win Difference is Trump doesn't have temperament to be Pres as stated by large majorities in PPP polls and trump is not president O I hope it's not a similar comparison at the end of the day We gotta GOTV and not take anything for granted

[ffr]

14. GOTV is the stake in his campaign's heart.

The formula worked for Obama's campaigns. If Dems vote, we win. We outnumber them. All we have to do is motivate them to do two things:

1) Register or reregister
2) Early Vote or vote on election day.

[ffr]

13. An image depiction of Donald's polling trend as of this morning

[yellowcanine]

16. 70% on 538 Now-Cast with FL, NC and NV light blue.

And this reflects none of the Cuba Embargo story and not all of the debate fall out so there is room for more movement in Clinton's direction. Worst week for Trump since the week after the DNC.

[ffr]

17. Looks like the M$M was the driving force behind the false narrative that Trump would win the debate

...simply because he had won against a bunch of weak R opponents.

Now that the debate is over and HRC has sunk that narrative to the bottom of the ocean, her polling numbers are skyrocketing.

She may be on an unstoppable path to a very dominating win if we can turn democrats out this election, getting them registered or re-registered and to the polls to EV or vote on election day.

[yellowcanine]

19. The gender gap with women is going to be a canyon after this week. Fat shaming will do that.

And a lot of men don't like it either. Also millennials.