Clinton Hits All Time High on Prediction Markets

[Doctor Jack]

Can't imagine why...oh right


84% on PredictWise. Previous high was 81% in the middle of August

http://predictwise.com/politics/

[Doctor Jack]

1. Up to 85%

Thats a lot of movement for 1 day. This is likely millions of dollars being moved around.

[triron]

2. Now 86

[triron]

3. knr

[triron]

4. Now back to 85%

[muriel_volestrangler]

5. If you look at the full data, the Betfair betting market give Hillary all states up to Arizona

And Predictwise haven't yet updated the column for 'PredictIt' - while the column on Predictwise still lists Arizona as a 1% chance for Hillary (which would have been too low even before this - she should have been above 10%, at least), the PredictIt site itself now has Hillary at 58% there: https://www.predictit.org/Browse/Group/75/Electoral-College .

So I think PredictWise may end up putting Hillary up to 90% or so.

[pnwmom]

6. 86 now.

[Scurrilous]

7. Boink!

[Doctor Jack]

8. Clinton's numbers keep growing

A nearly 16 point swing in the last 24 hours on election betting odds and at her all time high

https://electionbettingodds.com/

[Codeine]

9. And I say to myself "What a wonderful world."

[triron]

10. Now 87%

[triron]

11. Slope of curve

has become very steep (in math terms 1st derivative very large).