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Equinox Moon

(6,344 posts)
Tue Oct 11, 2016, 11:09 AM Oct 2016

Historical Comparison Polling (for statistics’ nerds)

1996----------Clinton (D)--------Dole (R)------Perot (Reform)
October--------50% ----------37%-----------7%
November------52%----------41%-----------7%
Actual result----49%----------41%-----------8%

2000 -----------G. W. Bush (R)-------Al Gore (D)------Nader (Green)
October------------47%-------------43% ------------4%
November----------48%-------------46%------------4%
Actual results-------48% -------------48%------------ 3%
Al Gore ---------------(Won popular vote. Lost electoral)


2004 --------------G.W. Bush(R)---------John Kerry (D)
October--------------49% --------------49%
Actual results--------51%----------------48%

2008 -----------B. Obama (D)-----------J. McCain (R)
October-------------53%---------------42%
Actual results--------53%---------------46%

2012------------B. Obama (D)------------M. Romney (R)
October----------48%-------------47%
November--------49%-------------46%
Actual results ----51%------------47%

2016--------Hillary Clinton(D)-------Idiot-------Johnson(L)------Stein(G)
October----------49%-------------38%----------7%----------2%
Actual results-----Winner ------Bye-bye

Wikipedia: Historical Polling
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_polling_for_U.S._Presidential_elections



10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Historical Comparison Polling (for statistics’ nerds) (Original Post) Equinox Moon Oct 2016 OP
>>> Equinox Moon Oct 2016 #1
Nice, looks like idiot's toast. K, why was Dole so low? He wasn't tRump who is a fool, thx inadvance uponit7771 Oct 2016 #2
Perot took Independents' from Dole Equinox Moon Oct 2016 #3
Ah, so tRump has some indies that are clinging on to him... Johnson isn't Perot though... uponit7771 Oct 2016 #4
If I recall, Dole was one of the least exciting candidates susanna Oct 2016 #5
I see how dumb it was for Gore to run away from Bills record, that was really dumb... uponit7771 Oct 2016 #6
I am not sure I understand this post. susanna Oct 2016 #9
The republican base was asleep with Dole Equinox Moon Oct 2016 #7
I think Dole was asleep too lol. n/t susanna Oct 2016 #8
Indeed Equinox Moon Oct 2016 #10

uponit7771

(93,532 posts)
2. Nice, looks like idiot's toast. K, why was Dole so low? He wasn't tRump who is a fool, thx inadvance
Tue Oct 11, 2016, 06:25 PM
Oct 2016

uponit7771

(93,532 posts)
4. Ah, so tRump has some indies that are clinging on to him... Johnson isn't Perot though...
Tue Oct 11, 2016, 06:30 PM
Oct 2016

... Perot didn't try and sound like an idiot

susanna

(5,231 posts)
5. If I recall, Dole was one of the least exciting candidates
Tue Oct 11, 2016, 06:32 PM
Oct 2016

ever to run. On either side.

Clinton was charismatic and had lots of energy.

Plus a few people were finally figuring out that "trickle down" GOP economics had not worked for them and were willing to risk their votes on Clinton (unknown) OR Ross Perot ("giant sucking sound&quot .

It was a lot of little things, and Dole did not seem to be the guy to tackle them with energy.

Also, there was no Fox News to aid Dole on the GOP propoganda front (Fox News started in 1996, Clinton's second term).

susanna

(5,231 posts)
9. I am not sure I understand this post.
Tue Oct 11, 2016, 11:30 PM
Oct 2016

Forgive me if I am missing something. Gore did not run against Dole, Clinton did. (Gore ran against W.)

If you are talking about the Gore/W matchup: because of the new Fox News mouthpiece, the manufactured scandals took on far more importance than was warranted, IMHO. It was relentless, 24/7 anti-Clinton propaganda. During the 2000 Presidential election season, America was kind of worn out by it all. Gore was playing it safe by distancing himself, and that was an honest decision for him to make. I really do not condemn Gore for that. After all, he won the popular vote. The Supreme Court installed The Resident.

on edit: rogue paragraph


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