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msnbc touting a "poll" that shows drumph up 1% (Original Post) BSdetect Oct 2016 OP
What poll? Cattledog Oct 2016 #1
Polls always show fluctuations of a few points from day to day. The Velveteen Ocelot Oct 2016 #2
When was this poll conducted meadowlark5 Oct 2016 #3
Without details on what poll, when was it conducted, what type of poll (methods), this posting is hlthe2b Oct 2016 #4
Must be that bs LA Times tracking poll Thrill Oct 2016 #5
USC/LA Times poll has Trump up 2 VMA131Marine Oct 2016 #6

The Velveteen Ocelot

(115,606 posts)
2. Polls always show fluctuations of a few points from day to day.
Tue Oct 11, 2016, 02:43 PM
Oct 2016

So this particular poll is up 1%? BFD. Doesn't mean anything; the only thing that matters is trends over time of polls, collectively.

meadowlark5

(2,795 posts)
3. When was this poll conducted
Tue Oct 11, 2016, 02:45 PM
Oct 2016

I cannot believe anything after friday would show him up 1% unless it's some crap poll created to lend that result.

hlthe2b

(102,134 posts)
4. Without details on what poll, when was it conducted, what type of poll (methods), this posting is
Tue Oct 11, 2016, 02:52 PM
Oct 2016

impossible to take seriously. Please come back and gives us details or enlist anyone else who watched the segment to weigh in.

VMA131Marine

(4,136 posts)
6. USC/LA Times poll has Trump up 2
Tue Oct 11, 2016, 02:52 PM
Oct 2016

Which is down from the 4-5 point lead he had last week. This poll has had a consistent Trump bias throughout the election cycle, but it is different from other polls. It samples the same 2,500 or so people on a 7 day basis, so about 350 people per day. Therefore it will take a week for the effects of the tape and the debate to get fully baked in. Since it samples the same group of people, the sample will retain any initial bias towards one candidate or the other throughout the election. I look at it as more representative of how entrenched support is for either candidate. That the results have been so stable suggests that not many people are changing their minds about how they will vote, which is borne out by the floor Trump seems to have in some of the other polling.

In the end, it's just one poll and it looks like a clear outlier when compared to the other traditional national polls, which are also backed up by individual state poll results.

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