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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe 2016 electoral map is rapidly slipping away from Donald Trump
Washington PostAccording to the Fix's electoral vote tracker an amazing tool that marries Real Clear Politics polling averages in swing states with the electoral map if the election were held today, Hillary Clinton would win 341 electoral votes to Donald Trump's 197.
...snip...
Pennsylvania, which we moved into the toss-up category last week, immediately moves back to lean Democratic. Of the five polls conducted in the state after the first debate, Clinton had led by four, eight, 12, nine and 10 points; her average lead, according to RealClearPolitics, is now 8.6 points.
...snip...
Arizona now looks more like a toss-up than ever. The Real Clear Politics average in the state gives Trump a one-point edge. The last four polls in Arizona have shown Trump leads of two points and four points, a tie and Clinton up two. The last Democrat to carry Arizona at the presidential level was Bill Clinton in 1996 although he did so with only 46.5 percent of the vote, thanks to the x-factor that was Ross Perot. The Democrat who won Arizona before Clinton? Harry S. Truman in 1948!
And we are adding Utah and Indiana to our list of competitive states with ratings of lean Republican. Trump has been doing worse than a generic Republican in Utah for months because of Mormon resistance to his candidacy. A Salt Lake Tribune poll conducted before both debates and the Access Hollywood tape showed Trump up only nine points. In Indiana, a state that Barack Obama carried in 2008, an independent poll from last week shows Trump with a five-point edge over Clinton.
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The 2016 electoral map is rapidly slipping away from Donald Trump (Original Post)
brooklynite
Oct 2016
OP
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)1. He can say he did it his way.
Bongo Prophet
(2,651 posts)2. Indeed, a mashup of Sinatra and Sid Vicious versions
saltpoint
(50,986 posts)3. Usually those states are a deep red. They're
flickering degrees of pink and light blue this election.
Trump would never admit it, and evidently his campaign "team" is too intimidated by him to mention it to the boss, but Trump himself is the problem. His behavior is appalling to a lot of people, including people in red states.
I'd like to see Texas and Georgia light up blue on Nov. 8th as well. Steep incline in most of these places, but how sweet it would be.