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2016 Postmortem
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Trump Rebound? An Outlier? (Original Post)
speaktruthtopower
Oct 2016
OP
central scrutinizer
(12,654 posts)1. Spellcheck: outliar
Joe941
(2,848 posts)3. Definately outlier - that poll needs a +7 Clinton correction
Gothmog
(179,865 posts)4. A rassie poll?
Rassie polls are by definition outliers
pkdu
(3,977 posts)5. Rasmussen only a C+ poll rating according to 538
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/national-polls/
who then corrects rasmussen to Clinton winning by 1
who then corrects rasmussen to Clinton winning by 1
Doctor Jack
(3,072 posts)7. Rasumssen was rated as the least accurate pollster of 2012
The averages are showing something wildly different. Nate Silver has stated today that polls are getting even worse for trump. If Rasmussen is showing something different then the problem is with rasmussen
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)8. Rasmussen doesn't weigh its samples according to the population, so their results are meaningless.
They oversample Republicans and undersample Democrats.
Response to speaktruthtopower (Original post)
kestrel91316 This message was self-deleted by its author.
MFM008
(20,042 posts)10. Razzy again
Zzzzzzzzzzzz
DCBob
(24,689 posts)12. Raspuken?
Dem2
(8,178 posts)15. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!
pnwmom
(110,261 posts)16. Look at poll aggregators, not individual polls.
The NYTimes aggregates polls; and so do 538, HuffPost, and RealClearPolitics, among others.