538s Now-Cast Numbers at this time in 2012, Hillary doing better than Obama did....

[ScienceIsGood]

On October 30th 2012, the Now-Cast was 79.5% for Obama, 20.5 for Romney!

Today, Hillary has 86.0% and Trump has 14.0%, so Hillary is doing 6.5% better than Obama at the same time period.

And between 10/30/2012 and election day Obama gained 14.2%! Ended up with 90.9%.

So compared to 2012 Hillary is doing 6.5% better than Obama! I can see Hillary at easily 95% on election day!

A lot if interesting information on the archived page below!

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-2012-forecast/

[Stellar]

1. She has the help of the Obama's to help her win it all!

[ScienceIsGood]

4. And the help of trump! :-)

[Stellar]

14. That most of all!

[MH1]

2. No complacency, please.

People still need to actually vote.

Thankfully, Trump is doing all he can to motivate people to cast their vote against him, no matter the projected landslide. We all want to be on record as opposing this piece of scum.

[ScienceIsGood]

3. I do not think this will cause anyone not to vote, anymore than it did in 2012. n/t

[MH1]

5. I agree, at least this year. I think the vitriol actually helps in that sense. nt.

[ScienceIsGood]

6. I also think Trump scares people more than Romney did. Romney acted sane even if he was not. n/t

[still_one]

7. and while that is good, it has been slightly tightening up in the last few days, and it

is vital NOT to get complacent.

More concerning is that the Senate race for majority control has been tightening up even faster in the last few days, and we really need to insure that Democrats GOTV because we need at least the Senate to have the Supreme Court start to undo the damage of the Scalia's, Thomas, Alito, and this is the one opportunity to do so. There will be at least two justices who will be replaced by the next President, and that could change the direction of the court for decades, along with the appointment of other federal judges

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast

[ScienceIsGood]

8. Thanks for the info! n/t

[still_one]

9. I will be going in to do call banking this weekend and next weekend into swing states

This is just too important of an election

[ScienceIsGood]

10. I am knocking on doors in MO to GOTV. Kansas City area. Door hangers, etc. No chance for....

Clinton in MO but House and Senate a big deal.

[still_one]

11. Excellent. The Senate is very close in MO, and you are making a difference

[ScienceIsGood]

13. Thanks., you too! N/t

[NCTraveler]

12. K&R nt.

[bluestateguy]

15. Good points. One thing people forget

is that Obama had to spend much of October recovering from his first crappy debate performance. He he not tanked that debate, he may have won a full-scale landslide.

[triron]

16. 538 is too volatile and conservative. Check out Benchmark or the Princeton Election Consortium.

[ScienceIsGood]

17. PEC is also great. Sitting at 99% now. But more complicated to my simple mind! :-) n/t