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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Tue Oct 25, 2016, 08:53 AM Oct 2016

Cook Political Report: Dems poised to pick up 5-7 Senate Seats

Cook Political Report: “History shows that races in the Toss Up column never split down the middle; one party tends to win the lion’s share of them. Since 1998, no party has won less than 67 percent of the seats in Toss Up. While the 2016 election has broken every political science rule and trend, we’d be surprised if this becomes one of them.”

“As such, we are increasing the range of expected Democratic pick ups to five to seven seats. This means that we feel that the prospect that Democrats will have at least 51 seats is greater than the odds of a tied Senate, or of Republicans somehow holding their majority.”

https://politicalwire.com/2016/10/25/senate-democrats-poised-pick-5-7-seats/

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Cook Political Report: Dems poised to pick up 5-7 Senate Seats (Original Post) book_worm Oct 2016 OP
Given Clinton picked up 8% in one week, the Senate will also trend blue. Coyotl Oct 2016 #1
I believe it can be 7-9. depending on democratic turnout and conservative disillusionment... beachbum bob Oct 2016 #2
Cook is pretty damned cautious in their projections. longship Oct 2016 #3
 

Coyotl

(15,262 posts)
1. Given Clinton picked up 8% in one week, the Senate will also trend blue.
Tue Oct 25, 2016, 09:03 AM
Oct 2016

The wider the Clinton-Trump gap, the more Senate seats is the lesson from all past elections.

 

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)
2. I believe it can be 7-9. depending on democratic turnout and conservative disillusionment...
Tue Oct 25, 2016, 09:04 AM
Oct 2016

longship

(40,416 posts)
3. Cook is pretty damned cautious in their projections.
Tue Oct 25, 2016, 09:43 AM
Oct 2016

So this bodes well.

Let's take the House, too. (Probably not likely.)

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