2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFrom a high of 87% last week to 75% just now HRC to win on 538......
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-senate-forecast Still ahead..... but gotta GOTV.Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)of positive outcome. Light and dark blue she's got 272 (on cnn map) and based on polls. But, that's pretty tenative now too. CO only 1 point now.
Lefthacker
(264 posts)Is +5.
Response to Lefthacker (Reply #2)
SaschaHM This message was self-deleted by its author.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)course you are making a dig at people for being concerned - which I guess you are.
Response to Laura PourMeADrink (Reply #23)
SaschaHM This message was self-deleted by its author.
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)pnwmom
(108,955 posts)Makes me wonder what RCP does differently.
This was from last night:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12512562988
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)Godhumor
(6,437 posts)They're a Republican firm (Not leaning, as in actually a Republican firm) that robo-calls landlines only and has a history of push polling.
I rarely jump on pollsters as being awful considering what I do, but this is a form who polls to drive a narrative not to assess where things actually stand.
Farmgirl1961
(1,493 posts)Any more information or leaks on this? or is just a bunch of hype?
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Not satisfying, but we're in "saving the future of the country" mode here so a win is a win.
Foggyhill
(1,060 posts)What he does is mostly informed opinion
William769
(55,144 posts)I have not seen anything since Friday to change my mind.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)We'll see how early voting goes this week.
William769
(55,144 posts)Day in & day out.
I truly believe Hillary is going to take this by a larger margin than most people are expecting. Could I be wrong? Of course! But I believe at the end of the day when the voting stops on November the 8th, we re going to be celebrating big time with a mandate!
Laura PourMeADrink
(42,770 posts)a kennedy
(29,615 posts)Foggyhill
(1,060 posts)In a non scientific way and they puts a god damn veneer of stat on top
Hes a bit full of himself
No voting model should vary as much as his
Johnny2X2X
(18,969 posts)Sam Wang has just as good of a record as Silver.
Still 90% on Upshot which takes both these sites and several others into consideration.
Joe941
(2,848 posts)misterhighwasted
(9,148 posts)Hillary HQ retweeted
Benchmark Politics
4h4 hours ago
Benchmark Politics ?@benchmarkpol
Race is naturally tightening but first round of post-Comey polling shows no measurable impact on Clinton's chances. 86% likely Clinton wins.
triron
(21,984 posts)budkin
(6,699 posts)She's still got it in the bag.