What the Early Vote in North Carolina Means: A Daily Tracker

[AmericanMan1958]

Trump's campaign was just on MSNBC giving early voting numbers as I was reading this article. Needles to say, he was lying his ass off.

Already, about 1,647,000 people have voted in North Carolina, out of about 4,449,000 we think will eventually vote. Based on the voting history and demographic characteristics of those people, we think Hillary Clinton leads in North Carolina by about 6 percentage points. We think she has an even larger lead – 12 percentage points – among people who have already voted.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/north-carolina-early-vote-tracker.html?mc=aud_dev&mcid=tw-nytimes&mccr=NovemberTweetPromotion&mcdt=2016-10&subid=NovemberTweetPromotion&ad-keywords=AudDevGate&_r=0

[Fast Walker 52]

1. Rigged! Obviously

[jimlup]

2. My dad is one of those 1.6 million

and his HRC vote is safely in the bank.

[Jarqui]

3. If that news and the early voting news from Nevada is accurate :

and she continues to do well in Colorado (with 1/3 of that voting in)

Here's the battleground toss-ups
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
Ohio (18)
Florida (29)
North Carolina (15)
Nevada (6)
Iowa (6)
Arizona (11)
Georgia (16)
Colorado (9)
Maine CD2 (1)


Here's the map moving CO, NV & NC to Hillary due to strong early voting:

In that scenario, Trump can win the rest of the battleground tossup states AND Pennsylvania and would still lose.

[vdogg]

5. How the fuck is PA a toss up? Lol

I gotta call BS on that one.

[Jarqui]

6. I did not say PA was a toss up.

It has gone back and forth some. But I added it and mentioned it separately as a margin of error.

All I'm saying is if Hillary continues to do well in early voting, she could be in a very secure position before Nov 8th

[Wounded Bear]

4. They are lying all over the map....

quoting bogus poll numbers and claiming "leads" in states where we know the polling says nothing of the sort.

They're back in fantasy/bullshit mode again.

They need much better internal polling. The same thing happened in '12, when they all claimed to be leading.