2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe Daily 202: If these Latinos vote, Hillary Clinton will probably win Florida
With Breanne Deppisch
THE BIG IDEA:
KISSIMMEE, Fla.Barack Obama narrowly won Florida in 2012 by expanding the electorate. Hillary Clinton, with help from her allies, is trying to do that again in 2016.
Indicators on the ground and in the early ballot numbers suggest that many low-frequency voters, particularly Latinos, will participate in this years election.
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Pro-Clinton forces undeniably have a better ground game than pro-Trump forces, which were slow to ramp up.
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It is helpful to think of get-out-the-vote operations like a special teams unit in football. It will not win you the game if youre down a few touchdowns, but it can make the difference at the end of a close match-up. Right now, Clinton really just needs a field goal to block Trumps path to the presidency. But its not totally clear how many yards she has to kick the ball.
That is why the kind of canvassing work that Leticia Nieves is doing in this working-class suburb of Orlando could prove pivotal. Two months ago, the 37-year-old was unemployed and living in Mount Pocono, Pennsylvania, when she saw an ad offering $15 an hour to knock doors in Florida. Now she is one of nearly 500 paid canvassers working in Florida for the Center for Community Change Action.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/daily-202/2016/11/01/daily-202-if-these-latinos-vote-hillary-clinton-will-probably-win-florida/5817cdcee9b69b6085905de2/
mrJJ
(886 posts)snip...
The early numbers look even better for Clinton in Florida, where over 133,000 Latino voters have already cast ballots over the past week. That marks an incredible 99% increase in Latino early voter participation from this same point in the 2012 election.
Latino vote-by-mail requests in Florida are through the roof, said Marshall.
http://fusion.net/story/363307/latinos-super-woke-for-early-voting/
Farmgirl1961
(1,493 posts)Last I heard it was too close to say which way FL was trending. To me it seems if the Latino voters break for Clinton, she'll do well.