2016 Postmortem

still_one

(98,883 posts) Tue Nov 1, 2016, 10:26 PM Nov 2016

Moody's analytics projects big win for Clinton. Moodys has always been accurate

in its presidential prediction since 1980

of course we have allan lichtman who predicts trump, and says he has been right since 1984

I will take Moodys

11 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Moody's analytics projects big win for Clinton. Moodys has always been accurate (Original Post) still_one Nov 2016 OP

Lichtman said there is a major variable this year. tavernier Nov 2016 #1

Two variables: Trump and women. duffyduff Nov 2016 #3

escape clause still_one Nov 2016 #7

Moody's ain't no slouch...I'm with Moody's TrekLuver Nov 2016 #2

Watching on LOD Cosmocat Nov 2016 #4

I don't know. There hasn't been much polling out of Ohio. Zynx Nov 2016 #6

Was gonna post this major debacle Nov 2016 #5

Allan Lichtman's arrived at a Trump victory through dopey methodology. oasis Nov 2016 #8

His system should take into account the quality of the candidates. Dawson Leery Nov 2016 #10

Exactamundo, and Trump has tepid support from establishment GOP. oasis Nov 2016 #11

KNR Lucinda Nov 2016 #9

tavernier

(14,510 posts)

1. Lichtman said there is a major variable this year.

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 10:30 PM

Nov 2016

that could very well throw a monkey wrench into his normal calculations. It's called Trump.

duffyduff

(3,251 posts)

3. Two variables: Trump and women.

Reply to tavernier (Reply #1)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 10:32 PM

Nov 2016

Millions of GOP women will cross over this year to vote for the first woman president in American history.

still_one

(98,883 posts)

7. escape clause

Reply to tavernier (Reply #1)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 10:39 PM

Nov 2016

TrekLuver

(2,573 posts)

2. Moody's ain't no slouch...I'm with Moody's

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 10:30 PM

Nov 2016

Cosmocat

(15,469 posts)

4. Watching on LOD

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 10:33 PM

Nov 2016

Agree their history is good, but the have Hill winning Ohio, which is a stretch.

Zynx

(21,328 posts)

6. I don't know. There hasn't been much polling out of Ohio.

Reply to Cosmocat (Reply #4)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 10:34 PM

Nov 2016

major debacle

(508 posts)

5. Was gonna post this

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 10:33 PM

Nov 2016

Instead I will bump yours

oasis

(53,985 posts)

8. Allan Lichtman's arrived at a Trump victory through dopey methodology.

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 10:57 PM

Nov 2016

I'll take Moody.

Dawson Leery

(19,582 posts)

10. His system should take into account the quality of the candidates.

Reply to oasis (Reply #8)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 10:59 PM

Nov 2016

oasis

(53,985 posts)

11. Exactamundo, and Trump has tepid support from establishment GOP.

Reply to Dawson Leery (Reply #10)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 11:03 PM

Nov 2016

Lichtman at least got his face on teevee.

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)

9. KNR

Reply to still_one (Original post)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 10:58 PM

Nov 2016

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