2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum***Early vote summary for PPP polls today***
Co (73%) HRC 52 DT 41
Mich (32%) HRC 57 DT 36
Va (14%) HRC 63 DT 32
Nv (?) HRC 54 DT 44
NC (?) HRC 59 DT 40
Wi (?) HRC 60 DT34
entries in Parentheses are percentages of sample who say they have voted.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/
Note that her advantages in Co and NC are greater than what early vote by party might indicate.
Seems to be true as well in Fla. early vote results from 3 previous polls I am aware of.
TexasTowelie
(112,441 posts)the article shows 63-32.
triron
(22,020 posts)fixed. Much better anyway!
NastyWomen
(119 posts)This seems to indicate that HRC is getting a decent amount of votes from registered republicans?
triron
(22,020 posts)or else she is really winning indies big time.
Also if she is anywhere near 10 pts ahead in Colorado with73% in, it's in the bag. Nearly impossible to make up 10 pts with23% (would have to win over 2-1).
pangaia
(24,324 posts)Is 73%of those sampled. Not 73% of all who will supposedly vote.
triron
(22,020 posts)Should have made that distinction. Hopefully it's not far off from the actual vote.
Chasing Dreams
(415 posts)More than 95% of CO ballots this year will be cast by mail. As of Friday morning, mail-in ballots that had arrived (but not yet opened and counted) totaled 1.55 million. The total vote in CO was 2.57 million in 2012. And when you consider the mail lag and hundreds of thousands of ballots are now arriving daily, it was definitely around 70% when this poll was taken the last couple of nights.
The numbers look legit, and I expect an 8+ point Hillary blowout here in CO.
Gotta love it
triron
(22,020 posts)I think NM will definitely go for her as well. Nearly 50% of electorate here is Hispanic.
NastyWomen
(119 posts)bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)nt
longship
(40,416 posts)I live in a very rural county and it is a long, roundabout drive to my township hall to vote. There's a national forest to drive around. So I started voting absentee this year.
SunSeeker
(51,712 posts)triron
(22,020 posts)MSM wants a horse race when this is a landslide. Empower a Clinton landslide and give us our rightful Supreme Court appointment!