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Sat Nov 5, 2016, 09:37 AM

 

Latest Polls Actually Look Good for Hillary

When Comey's letter broke on Friday, October 28th, it appeared way worse than what it actually turned out to be. Now, it has settled in as at best a miscalculation and an appeasement to a radical faction of FBI agents stationed in New York, probably connected to Rudy Giuliani, who want to push false or misleading information to help Trump.

So, as we move away from Oct. 28th and weigh polls that are taken beginning on Nov. 1st and 2nd, they get better for Clinton each day. The ABC tracking poll bears this out. The poll went from a Trump one point lead to a Hillary 4 point lead in just four days. That's a 5 point swing in those four days. Fox News' poll falls closer to the Comey letter than ABC does, and has Clinton by 2 points, which mirrors ABC during that same time frame. The Battleground States, which appear close today, actually, in most cases, are polls that were in the field closer to Oct. 28th to Oct. 31st, therefore capturing the anti-Clinton narrative during that period. Generally speaking, State polls lag the national polls, especially if the national polls are daily tracking.

I have been following these polls as closely as anyone, living and dying with each change. What appears to me to be obvious is that with each revelation, real or concocted, about each candidate, the polls move to excess. They then move to the mean within days. From the very beginning, this is a Hillary win of about 6 points, in my opinion. That should translate to about 320 EV or so.

None of this really matters as much as the ground game and the GOTV efforts of every one of us. Whether you are part the organized effort, or you just make it easier for your family and friends to get out and vote for Hillary, by baby sitting or providing transportation to somebody without a car, the future of America is in our hands.

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Arrow 6 replies Author Time Post
Reply Latest Polls Actually Look Good for Hillary (Original post)
louis c Nov 2016 OP
still_one Nov 2016 #1
The Genealogist Nov 2016 #3
still_one Nov 2016 #6
Proud liberal 80 Nov 2016 #2
Baitball Blogger Nov 2016 #4
MattP Nov 2016 #5

Response to louis c (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 09:43 AM

1. The letter was a vague, innuendo bunch of bullshit, where the MSM took their talking points from

the right wing echo chambers, without actually doing their frickn job.

It was the so-called "liberal" MSNBS that broke this garbage story, and then immediately proceeded to interview every right wing hack on their view of what it meant



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Response to still_one (Reply #1)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 09:48 AM

3. That's the Librul Media for you

Always helping out the libruls. They broke this story and only made it look like they were helping out the right wing. But see they had these crystal balls and knew that if they broke the story it would not get traction and actually help HRC, who is a sulfer scented demon like Obama!!!

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Response to The Genealogist (Reply #3)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 09:55 AM

6. ahhhhh, that must be it

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Response to louis c (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 09:44 AM

2. The thing I like about the polls is the early vote numbers

Hillary is leading among early voters. Trump still has to get his voters out.

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Response to louis c (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 09:52 AM

4. IMO - The whole reason for Comey going rogue and declaring an investigation was

to give the GOP a commercial opportunity to run t.v. ads that says, "Would you vote for a candidate who is under FBI investigation?"

It's a dirty political move that is as old as time.

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Response to louis c (Original post)

Sat Nov 5, 2016, 09:53 AM

5. Actually Pete Williams did the best reporting debunking other fake reporting

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