2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSigns of a game-changing groundswell of Latino support for Clinton
http://shareblue.com/groundswell-of-latino-support-for-clinton/New data indicate massive increases in early voting among Latino voters in key states. And it is impacting election results where it matters.
SNIP
In the aftermath of the 2012 election, Karl Rove took to the Wall Street Journal to warn Republicans that more white votes alone would not be enough to ensure future victories for the GOP.
It does not appear that they got the message.
Latino Decisions, the research firm that specializes in Latino political opinion and is known for especially reliable data due to bilingual interviews and large sample sizes, reports heightened enthusiasm for voting in 2016 and record-high levels of support for Hillary Clinton.
In 2016, Latino Decisions projects up to 3.5 million additional Latino voters putting their turnout at close to 15 million.
In Florida, early voting among Latinos has increased by 129 percent so far from 2008. (According to the Clinton campaign, 44 percent more Latinos have voted so far than voted early in 2012.)
In Georgia, Latino early turnout has increased by 144 percent so far from 2012.
In North Carolina, early voting among Latinos has increased 75 percent so far from 2012.
The Latino population is smaller in North Carolina and Georgia than Florida, but given how close the race is in all three states, Latino turnout could be pivotal.
According to Latino Decisions, high Latino turnout bodes very well for Clinton:
Latino Decisions also projects that 79 percent of Latinos will vote for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton, 18 percent for Republican nominee Donald Trump, and the remaining three percent voting for other candidates.
Record-breaking turnout combined with record-high levels of support for Clinton is already impacting election results:
Mrs. Clintons campaign manager, Robby Mook, told donors on a conference call Thursday [November 3] that the campaign expected to win Florida and North Carolina in large part because of Hispanic turnout.
In Nevada, a third diverse battleground state, Mr. Mook said he no longer saw a path for Mr. Trump to win there.
According to TargetSmarts latest polling, Clinton is maintaining a 28 point advantage among Latinos in Florida, compared to Obamas 21 point advantage in 2012.
Jon Ralston, Nevadas preeminent election forecaster, says Democrats have built up an insurmountable lead in the state due in part to high Latino turnout in key precincts.
Karl Rove was right. More white votes alone will not ensure victory for the GOP. It looks like Latino voters are voting early to make sure of it.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)They have tried the voter suppression and it seems now the courts are overturning those laws, etc and their game is out. The hate will not win over enough votes to win elections, either they need to change their hate or accept the outcomes.
misterhighwasted
(9,148 posts)Plotting & planning how to hoist themselves to power once again.
Appears they have built a wall around themselves! ha
brush
(53,764 posts)Woohoo! The demise of the 95% white peoples party is unfolding before our eyes.
The new demographics of the country does not fit their racist model.
misterhighwasted
(9,148 posts)Its over for them & they see the writing on the wall tonight.
Their only hope is the House & Chaffetz & Comey's collusion. And Ghouliani pretty much just nailed that door shut for them.
Rep Elijah Cummings is on that case already.
Y e s!
brush
(53,764 posts)and is now sweating and is denying and lying through his teeth on the talk shows that he had anything to do with it.
As is everyone is supposed to have forgetten that two days before Comey's letter to Congress he promised that something big was coming that would turn things around.
I hope he gets nailed to the wall.
meow2u3
(24,761 posts)and leave us Americans the hell alone once and for all!!!!
annabanana
(52,791 posts)They tried that before . . .
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........ didn't end well.
dalton99
(781 posts)sheshe2
(83,728 posts)Trust me, I was watching, you could almost hear and feel it.
Go Hillary, Go!
misterhighwasted
(9,148 posts)Same today with H .
sheshe2
(83,728 posts)Thanks mister!
GulfCoast66
(11,949 posts)I heard Trump is under 85%. How can he win with less support from his own party?
Wounded Bear
(58,634 posts)I'm going to nominate that for understatement of the year, perhaps the decade.
hvn_nbr_2
(6,486 posts)"Karl Rove took to the Wall Street Journal to warn Republicans that 'more white votes alone' would not be enough to ensure future victories for the GOP."
That's a pretty tough idea to sell when your party's base is white racists.
meow2u3
(24,761 posts)Repunks can't appeal to "more white voters" when not all white voters are racists. Nonracist whites are typically Democrats and we plan to stay that way, thank you very much.
NoGoodNamesLeft
(2,056 posts)Romney won Texas by 1,261,359 votes.
There are 4,818,000 eligible Hispanic voters in Texas.
In 2012 there was 4,376,000 eligible Hispanic voters in Texas. 2,669,360 Hispanic voters did NOT vote in 2012.
There are 442,000 MORE eligible Hispanic voters in Texas this election.
If over 70% of eligible Hispanic voters get out and vote against Trump Texas could very well go blue. They have the numbers...they just have to want it bad enough.
Sunlei
(22,651 posts)True_Blue
(3,063 posts)randr
(12,409 posts)if they would show up in significant enough numbers.
To all the people that would say the system is broken; you are wrong. It works exactly like it was intended to work.
The Majority Rules.
When people can get elected by only swaying 30-35% of the electorate any one special interest group can buy what ever it is they want. Only when enough people, be it Women, Hispanics, Blacks, or Millennials, say no will it stop.