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uawchild

(2,208 posts)
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 08:12 AM Nov 2016

Final poll: Clinton leads Trump by 3 as voters lock in

"The last POLITICO/Morning Consult horse-race poll before Election Day finds undecided voters making up their minds as Nov. 8 approaches.

Hillary Clinton holds a three-point lead over Donald Trump in the closing days of the presidential race, a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll shows.

Forty-five percent of likely voters support Clinton, while 42 percent would vote for Trump, according to the poll, which was conducted by Morning Consult on Friday and Saturday.

Despite a topsy-turvy, nearly-two-year-long campaign, the election is ending on a note of stability: Clinton’s 3-point margin over Trump is identical to last week’s POLITICO/Morning Consult survey, though both candidates’ vote shares have risen as undecided voters have made their choice.

“While our final poll before the election shows a tight race, Clinton has maintained her small lead in our polling for weeks now," said Morning Consult Co-Founder and Chief Research Officer Kyle Dropp. "There is little that could swing voters now in the final hours leading up to Election Day.”

But there remains a source of uncertainty in the eventual outcome: A combined 12 percent of likely voters say they will cast their ballots for Libertarian Gary Johnson (8 percent) or Green Party nominee Jill Stein (4 percent), neither of whom is likely to win a single state."

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/politico-morning-consult-poll-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-230818

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In past presidential races, excluding the landslides of course, a 51.5% over a 48.5 number would be called a solid win, not a tight race.

Thank you, Media. They just won't give up trying to make this seem more of a "horse race" than it really is.

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Final poll: Clinton leads Trump by 3 as voters lock in (Original Post) uawchild Nov 2016 OP
The Morning Consult polls have always been tighter than other polls. Zynx Nov 2016 #1

Zynx

(21,328 posts)
1. The Morning Consult polls have always been tighter than other polls.
Sun Nov 6, 2016, 08:14 AM
Nov 2016

I consider 3% there to be a perfectly fine number.

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