Reminder to IBD/TIPP poll lovers: Rasmussen was very accurate before it sucked

[molova]

As you may have noticed, certain people have been touting the atrocious, pro-Trump IBD/TIPP poll on the grounds that "It's been accurate in past elections", where it is implied that polls that were once-awesome polls will continue to be awesome.

Well, Rasmussen was very accurate in 2004, and 2008, before it predicted Romney would become our President in 2012.
This is from a Slate article from 2004:

"Look who's laughing now. Rasmussen and SurveyUSA beat most of their human competitors in the battleground states, often by large margins."

http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/human_nature/2004/12/lets_go_to_the_audiotape.html

And from Politico, regarding Rasmussen's 2008 accuracy:

And 2008: "Last year, the progressive website FiveThirtyEight.com’s pollster ratings, based on the 2008 presidential primaries, awarded Rasmussen the third-highest mark for its accuracy in predicting the outcome of the contests. And Rasmussen’s final poll of the 2008 general election — showing Obama defeating Arizona Sen. John McCain 52 percent to 46 percent — closely mirrored the election’s outcome."

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/31047_Page2.html

Needless to say, Rasmussen sucked big time in 2012 to the point that nobody takes the poll seriously.

If you expect IBD/TIPP (which is given a very good grade by the useless fivethirtyeight.com) to be accurate in 2016 based on their past accuracy, I have a bridge to sell you.

[JHan]

2. I approve of the snark in your post - 10/10

[still_one]

3. The problem with the Rasmussen and Investors business daily, isn't just their republican

bias, it is that they are national polls, and at this stage, only the state polls matter