Patrick Murphy now leading Rubio 49/48

[misterhighwasted]

Patrick Murphy ?@PatrickMurphyFL
BREAKING: Brand new poll shows us taking the lead​, 49%-48%​! ​Vote tomorrow to defeat Marco Rubio. #FLSen

[Coyotl]

2. Reliable pollster. This was expected. And, this makes for a 51-49 current prediction.

[misterhighwasted]

6. Yup. One more Senator to support President Clinton

This would be a gift. Wow..C'mon Florida!!

[yellowcanine]

3. "Little Marco" may be going down.

[Cosmocat]

4. A couple thoughts

we are seeing some of these senate races bounce back a bit after the comey hit job.

Keep in mind here though, this is a race where 1/3 of the vote is in.

And, Survey Monkey is pretty all over the place.

[Demsrule86]

5. I hear they are counting votes in Florida.

[onehandle]

7. The DNC messed up on this one. nt

[Iggo]

18. Fifty state strategy works.

Whatever the fuck DWS has been doing the last eight years does not work.

[treestar]

11. For once, yay to tightening!

[Baitball Blogger]

14. I'm sure my contribution put him over the top.

[malchickiwick]

16. C'mon Florida voters -- You got this!!

Send Little Marco back to that rock from under which he crawled. Meanwhile we'll be doing the same to Heck Schmeck here in NV by sending CCM to the Senate to keep Harry's seat blue. Please Please Please!!

[still_one]

17. I hope it is true. Nate Silver rates Survey Monkey C- though

[misterhighwasted]

21. I'll take it anyway!

C'mon Florida

[still_one]

23. so will I

[misterhighwasted]

28. Lol. IKR!

That looks pretty darned nice right now

[nevergiveup]

33. I rate Nate Silver C-

so maybe it is a wash

[SticksnStones]

19. Wouldn't that be something!

And to be rid of Rubio to boot!

[HAB911]

22. OH be still my thumping heart

if only

[kwolf68]

24. Oh yea!!!

If the Republican hate machine takes a bunch of these guys down then our nation just may survive.

[Fahrenthold451]

26. Marco is sweating now...

[RKP5637]

27. I would love to see whinny ass Rubio defeated! n/t

[PoorMonger]

29. If Rubio Loses.

Then I fully expect him to set a new record in the earliest 2020 presidential run announcement. As the Republicans are still not self aware of what they have done to themselves given the changing electoral picture I guess they will again ignore any meaningful policy change and recommit to 'appear' to be welcoming to Latinos by nominating Rubio.

[kevink077]

30. if we win this-- HUGE

Although I am preparing for a narrow loss on this one. I suspect the Hispanic surge may actually save Rubio here. Plus I don't trust this pollster. Dems win NH, NV, IL, WI, and narrow PA....Upset surprise just may come out of Missouri....

[OnDoutside]

31. So it is written, please let it be so.

[JDC]

32. Please let it be so

[Grey Lemercier]

35. not a very valid poll, sorry to bubble burst

Murphy is done and dusted




http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/florida-election-forecast.html



http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/florida/

[misterhighwasted]

39. Not buying that. Not tonight. It's not over till the last vote is counted

C'MON FLORIDA..DO IT!!!

[Grey Lemercier]

42. So let me get this straight, you thoroughly accept all the meta poll aggregators when they say

Clinton will win (as do I), but THEN, when confronted with an even higher probability of confidence, FROM THE EXACT SAME people, you dismiss it, simple because it goes against your and my wishes?

That is illogical and projection and not based in reality, and I am a Democratic party member because I am reality and science based.

[misterhighwasted]

54. At this point in the game I'll forego it all for a positive "C'mon Florida"!!

I've watched the polls for so long now.
Give me one positive one against Rubio and I can take it from there.

Murphy would be a gift. I'll be cheering him on till the end.

[Grey Lemercier]

56. I will cheer too, and hope all the entire polling industry and myself are dead wrong!

GOTV!

[jg10003]

63. K&R

[RAFisher]

71. Several polls have this race within 1%. And you're completely ignoring early voting numbers.

Poll aggregators don't look at early voting numbers. Why is it illogical to hope, based on early voting, that Murphy has a shot?

[Grey Lemercier]

47. So, as you are taking Survey Monkey as gospel, then you must expect these outcomes

Wisconsin



Colorado




Nevada

[misterhighwasted]

57. Geezus. SM is hardly gospel. Much like most of the pollsters.

Stop raining on my hopeful little parade with detailed stats.
I don't care about them.

C'MON FLORIDA!!

[Bob Loblaw]

37. These pretzels

are making me thirsty!

[TrekLuver]

41. Marco Rubio deserves to lose because he stands for NOTHING.

[MBS]

51. EXACTLY.

Rubio is the very definition of lack of responsibility, standing for nothing and working for nothing other than his career. Please, floridians, send this empty suit back to the hole where he belongs.

[Equinox Moon]

43. Bye-bye rubio

That means he won't be running for Pres. again either.

I remember the media report of Latino's booooing him. Big message!

[bucolic_frolic]

44. I'll believe it when I see it

Our Dem stars have been hitting FL hard for this reason, wondered
why we trailed for so long

[MBS]

48. oh yes PLEASE!! PLEASE!!

[pstokely]

50. didn't the DSCC pull out already?

better to give directly to the candidates

[Coyotl]

52. K & R

[secondwind]

53. I live here and Rubio's pretty popular.. I will be totally amazed if Murphy pulls this out!

[Awsi Dooger]

59. Same

There are Rubio signs all over the place in Miami. The nearby homes that always have rightwing signs in the front yard this year are absent of Trump material but doubled up on Rubio.

I'll be astonished if this actually happens. I think Hillary needed to win Florida by 6-8 points to drag Murphy along.

[edhopper]

58. I think Survey Monkey is online polling

not reliable.

Unfortunately, Rubio still has a 4 - 5 point lead.

Sorry.

[Firebrand Gary]

60. YAS! Florida, YAS! This is all I want for Christmas!

[misterhighwasted]

61. I'm going with a Murphy win. Polls or no polls

Murphy for the win.

[voteearlyvoteoften]

64. Could happen

Let's do this

[jg10003]

65. Schumer and DSCC dropped the ball when they bailed on Murphy

Huff Post: Murphy - 43%, Rubio - 48%.

The DSCC canceled $16,000,000 in advertising for Murphy.
Murphy has little name recognition, has a 4 to 1 disadvantage in TV ads, and is running against a nationally known incumbent in a very large state. If he can get within 5 points with all that against him, Imagine how he would do with $16,000,000 to spend on his campaign.

[CRH]

66. C'mon give Marco his due, ...

after all, he gave us ' Trump has small hands, and therefore …'.

Course he didn't work a lick, legislate or much else, for two years while on the government dole. Just lost to Trump, small hands down.

[Stargleamer]

70. Please GOTV in Florida

I know otherwise Rubio try to inflict harm on this country in 2020

[KewlKat]

72. Excellent!

hope everyone makes it to the polls.