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elleng

(130,864 posts)
1. REALLY WOW!
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 10:55 PM
Nov 2013

MUST have a D AG there!

The Virginia AG's race now sees Republican Mark Obenshain ahead of Democrat Mark Herring by 777 votes. But that doesn't include provisional ballots, of which there are apparently 2,500 or so that were issued on election day. Nor does it include crazy stuff like what Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report (note: Dave's been doing superb work on this AG recount; I strongly recommend that everyone follow his Twitter feed) just tweeted about (see the string of tweets below). That's right, there may be 3,000 absentee ballots missing in Fairfax County - a jurisdiction Herring won 61%-39%

BlueCaliDem

(15,438 posts)
2. Nah. Nothing to see here! All elections, according to some, are on the "up and up".
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 10:59 PM
Nov 2013


That's right, there may be 3,000 absentee ballots missing in Fairfax County - a jurisdiction Herring won 61%-39%. Allocate those 3,000 votes proportionally, and that would give Mark Herring another 660 votes - nearly enough to make up his 777-vote deficit, even BEFORE the provisionals (which one would think would tilt heavily Democratic) are counted. Fascinating.

P.S. Wasserman just added, "IF #VA08 Fairfax precincts had the same AB return rate as other precincts, there would be ~7,421 absentees, not 4,168. Huge difference."

It's impossible for me to believe that Cuccinelli and Jackson lost, but the really out-there Teabagger, Obenshain, is ahead of his Democratic challenger? It just doesn't make sense and, apparently, add up.

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)
4. Wasserman tweet below
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 11:08 PM
Nov 2013

Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict

Either 1) there were a lot of phony AB requests in McLean 2) Fairfax is misallocating its AB votes between CDs or 3) ~3k votes are missing

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/398635935383818240


Wasserman's main feed here with additional tweets: https://twitter.com/Redistrict

Auntie Bush

(17,528 posts)
6. I'm not very hopeful...they have always gotten away with cheating.
Thu Nov 7, 2013, 11:34 PM
Nov 2013

They probably have think tanks just creating different possible ways to cheat!

Zambero

(8,964 posts)
14. The "Fairfix" is in?
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 03:26 AM
Nov 2013

When an election is to be stolen by those who know how to do it best, it stands to reason that they would target one of the state's most populous blue counties.

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)
15. There are TONS of updates on the link below
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 04:35 AM
Nov 2013


Here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/10024000076

Check out all the comments on the link above.

It is now projected that Dem Mark Herring will be 758 votes ahead when the problem with CD8 Absentees are resolved tomorrow.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AvOrrxBeaarVdGhvNWZZN2UzUVY1bDVoYW83bWszM1E#gid=0



Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)
8. UPDATES !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 12:23 AM
Nov 2013


Dave Wasserman ?@Redistrict

Wow. >> RT @BrianSchoeneman Top priority tomorrow will be canvass of 8th District ABs. We will figure this out.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/398665242936233984



Brian W. Schoeneman ?@BrianSchoeneman

@Redistrict @notlarrysabato I've talked to the GR and we are working on this as we speak - I am convinced now too that there is an issue

https://twitter.com/BrianSchoeneman/status/398664698008440832



More here: https://twitter.com/Redistrict


Looks like Herring is still in it and could win it

StevieM

(10,500 posts)
12. It would be awesome to beat them, in spite of their voter suppression efforts.
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 12:54 AM
Nov 2013

And to weaken their efforts to to suppress the vote in 2016--and we know that they are going to try.

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)
10. Possible discrepancy in Fairfax absentee votes could affect count in AG race
Fri Nov 8, 2013, 12:41 AM
Nov 2013

Possible discrepancy in Fairfax absentee votes could affect count in AG race

Thursday, November 7, 10:30 PM

The Fairfax County Electoral Board is investigating a possible irregularity in the number of absentee ballots cast in Virginia’s largest jurisdiction that Democrats say could shift votes in the still-unresolved race for Virginia attorney general.

As of Thursday evening, state Sen. Mark D. Obenshain (R-Harrisonburg) led state Sen. Mark R. Herring (D-Loudoun) in the contest by 777 votes – or .03 percent of 2.2 million cast – according to the State Board of Elections website. Local election boards are now counting provisional ballots, cast by people without ID or in the wrong polling place, and canvassing the returns looking for any possible errors. Both campaigns have said they will consider asking for a recount, depending on the results of the review.

-snip-
-snip-
-snip-

According to state numbers, Fairfax reported an unexplainably lower number of absentee ballots cast in the 8th District than in the other two congressional districts.

The county keeps track of how many voters request absentee ballots as well as the number who actually turn them in. In the 10th District, 88 percent of voters who requested a ballot actually voted, while 86 percent did so in the 11th District.

But in the 8th district, the state board shows that only 50 percent of those who requested ballots – 4,168 out of 8,363 requests – actually cast ballots, a response rate not only lower than the other portions of Fairfax County but lower than any other congressional district in the state, according to the Connolly campaign.

-snip-

Full article here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/possible-discrepancy-in-fairfax-absentee-votes-could-affect-count-in-ag-race/2013/11/07/65108ad0-4825-11e3-bf0c-cebf37c6f484_story.html



Response to lowkell (Original post)

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