I truly believe we have a solid, sure bet 211 electoral votes

[LynneSin]

I think the minimum that Obama will get come November is 208 electoral votes. This is based on

California - 55
Washington - 12
Oregon - 7
Hawaii - 4
Illinois - 20
Michigan - 16
Minnesota - 10
Maryland - 10
Delaware - 3
New York - 29
Massachusetts - 11
Vermont - 3
Connecticut - 7
Rhode Island - 4
DC - 3

I know there is alot of swing states but somehow we need to come up with 59 votes.


I also believe that the minimum that Romeny is going to win is 170 electoral votes based on alot of small EV states and of course Texas.

So that leaves us trying to find 59 votes in the following states: Florida, Pennyslvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Virginia, North Carolina, Indiana, Maine, New Hampshire, Iowa, Missouri, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada.

I think we can do this!

[Denninmi]

1. Don't take anything for granted at this point.

But I too believe it doesn't look likely Mittens will be able to pull it off. Still, we need to fight like Hell!

[get the red out]

2. Yep!

Have confidence but make damn sure.

[RedSpartan]

3. New Jersey is solid blue. Add 14 EVs.

[LynneSin]

5. I forgot to add them - they are a part of the 211

whoopsies

[kestrel91316]

4. The election isn't for 6 months. Don't gloat, and don't count your chickens before they're hatched.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

6. President Obama has more paths to victory than Romney does

Everything has to break "just right" for Romney to win in November and, frankly, President Obama has a much better organized "boots on the ground" effort and is capable of generating more enthusiasm in general than R.Money (hey, how's YOUR crowd sizes, hmmm? ). However, we need to avoid thinking it's over and done with yet. The Republicans will be unloading a mighty arsenal of negative campaigning and using virtually limitless funds against President Obama and using whatever other tricks they can to keep otherwise eligible voters from the polls. IMHO we need to work like everything is up for grabs because it very well might be. Remember, polls are meaningless if people don't actually show up at the voting booth and cast a vote.