2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe Quinnipiac FL poll shows a net 13 point swing against Obama since late March. Demos explain it
March 28, Obama led 49-42. Today he is losing 41-47.
In March, demos polled were 390 R, 371 D and 407 I. Weights were 29% R, 33% D and 33% I.
Today, demos are 640 R, 493 D and 507 I. Weights are 34% R, 31% D and 29% I.
That is a substantial shift in voter screens.
On a cell, so no links. The data is on the Q website.
Liberal_Stalwart71
(20,450 posts)on his show tonight, screaming about how the president is losing! And the Corporate Media will run with this poll; they have an interest in keeping this race as close as possible.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,396 posts)The "shift" makes for great headlines though, doesn't it?
Arkana
(24,347 posts)and expect no one to notice?
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,396 posts)that most people won't dig into it like we do. Sadly, most people will probably just read the screaming headline in their newspaper, smartphone, web browser "13-point swing away from Obama!" and go along their merry way thinking that President Obama is doomed in Florida in November and might be too demoralized to vote (if you're Democrat).
Of course, OTOH such a headline might galvanize Democrats and make Republicans more complacent too.