HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » 2016 Postmortem (Forum) » Yougov poll- Hispanic Vo...

Fri Jul 10, 2015, 10:19 PM

 

Yougov poll- Hispanic Vote is 43% for Hillary 39% Bernie.....his message is resonating

Things are developing interestingly....

Bernie is headed to Phoenix next, might be a different crowd than Trump will have tomorrow.

28 replies, 4766 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 28 replies Author Time Post
Reply Yougov poll- Hispanic Vote is 43% for Hillary 39% Bernie.....his message is resonating (Original post)
virtualobserver Jul 2015 OP
elleng Jul 2015 #1
virtualobserver Jul 2015 #4
morningfog Jul 2015 #2
virtualobserver Jul 2015 #5
MannyGoldstein Jul 2015 #3
virtualobserver Jul 2015 #6
JI7 Jul 2015 #7
still_one Jul 2015 #27
JI7 Jul 2015 #8
Cheese Sandwich Jul 2015 #9
artislife Jul 2015 #20
Cheese Sandwich Jul 2015 #22
artislife Jul 2015 #23
shaayecanaan Jul 2015 #10
oberliner Jul 2015 #12
shaayecanaan Jul 2015 #13
virtualobserver Jul 2015 #18
BeanMusical Jul 2015 #11
nsd Jul 2015 #14
virtualobserver Jul 2015 #17
elleng Jul 2015 #19
Indepatriot Jul 2015 #15
arely staircase Jul 2015 #16
JI7 Jul 2015 #24
Comrade Grumpy Jul 2015 #21
Doctor_J Jul 2015 #25
still_one Jul 2015 #26
tritsofme Jul 2015 #28

Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Fri Jul 10, 2015, 10:24 PM

1. Democratic Presidential Candidate Martin O'Malley to Deliver NCLR Keynote.

"Governor O'Malley is the only candidate in the race with a proven record of helping Latino families," said Gabi Domenzain, the O'Malley campaign's Director of Public Engagement, in a statement to Latin Post. "From championing drivers licenses for New Americans, passing the DREAM act in the legislature and leading Maryland to become the first state to defend it at the ballot box, to increasing government contracts to latino owned businesses by 157 percent and making Maryland public schools the best in the nation five years in a row."

"From the start he has engaged the Latino community through its media, appearing on both Univision and Telemundo national networks, and its organizations; in fact his first event after launching his presidential bid was before the USHCC (U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce)," added Domenzain. "We look forward to continuing to engage Americans and New Americans alike at the National Council of La Raza to highlight Governor O'Malley's record of leading on the most pressing issues affecting them todayand putting forth his vision for new leadership that gets results."

http://www.latinpost.com/articles/64388/20150706/democratic-presidential-candidate-martin-omalley-deliver-nclr-keynote-set-speak.htm

Makes No Sense To Keep 11 Million In Shadow Economy.

Attempting to further capitalize on his immigration record, 2016 Democratic hopeful Martin O'Malley on Wednesday promoted immigration reform as a way to improve wages for all Americans.

"How are you going to get wages to go up if you allow 11 million people to live in a shadow economy?" O'Malley asked at an event sponsored by the U.S. Hispanic Chamber of Commerce.

He further said immigration needs to be talked about as a national economic and security priority "not for this group or that group, but for us" as a country.

O'Malley committed to addressing immigration during his time in office if elected, but only would go so far as to say he hoped to make it happen within the first 100 days he is in the Oval Office.

http://www.nbcnews.com/news/latino/martin-omalley-makes-no-sense-keep-11-million-shadow-economy-n369336

O'Malley addressed the US Hispanic Chamber of Commerce in DC today and answers questions.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1281719

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to elleng (Reply #1)

Fri Jul 10, 2015, 10:34 PM

4. clearly he has an excellent record n/t

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Fri Jul 10, 2015, 10:25 PM

2. You must be mistaken. Only angry white men support Bernie.

 

And he can only appeal to people of color by changin his positions, which would drive the angry white liberal racists away.

Right?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to morningfog (Reply #2)

Fri Jul 10, 2015, 10:36 PM

5. Yes, well, apparently we were wrong about that.....

 

we live and learn.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Fri Jul 10, 2015, 10:30 PM

3. Misunderstanding.

 

It was actually "his, panics" at 39%. Even men who are panicked prefer Hillary to the Krabby Kommie.

Regards,

TWM

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to MannyGoldstein (Reply #3)

Fri Jul 10, 2015, 10:48 PM

6. maybe after they calm down, they will consider Bernie. n/t

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Fri Jul 10, 2015, 11:35 PM

7. can you provide a link to this and is this nationally ?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to JI7 (Reply #7)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 08:59 AM

27. The link I found is from DailyKos

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/07/10/1400974/-Bernie-Sanders-Breaks-20-in-a-National-Poll-for-the-First-Time-Gaining-Support-Across-Demographics#

The poll also glaringly leaves Martin O'Malley out.

YouGov specialises in market research through online methods. The company’s methodology involves obtaining responses from an invited group of internet users, and then weighing these responses in line with demographic information. It draws these demographically-representative samples from a panel of 3 million people worldwide including over 600,000 people in the UK. As YouGov's online methods use no field-force, its costs are lower than some face-to-face or telephone methods.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/YouGov

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Fri Jul 10, 2015, 11:48 PM

8. this shows Sanders has 15 percent hispanic and 10 percent black

<He's not doing much better nationally among these key voting blocs, including racial minorities and older, more moderate Democrats. In the latest Economist/YouGov national survey of registered voters, Bernie receives only 10 percent support among African-Americans and 15 percent among Hispanics, compared to Hillary's 53 percent and 39 percent respectively. Keep in mind that in past elections racial minorities constituted more than a third of Democratic primary voters. >

http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/opinion-blog/2015/07/10/bernie-sanders-2016-surge-isnt-threatening-hillary-clinton

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink



Response to Cheese Sandwich (Reply #9)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 01:35 AM

20. What is interesting about this

 

in terms of H, is that she get 50% of the ages 45 to 64. I wonder if that is because those were the impressionable years during the Clinton era? I felt sorry for her when she was berated for wearing head bands. I was young and couldn't blow dry my hair well either. Funny, that was a big emotion for me....when I was younger.




But now I can blow dry my hair and am a minority woman pushing for Bernie!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to artislife (Reply #20)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 02:06 AM

22. I don't remember her wearing head bands

 

But hey she should be able to wear them still if she wants.

And welcome to the site, from one newbie to another.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Cheese Sandwich (Reply #22)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 02:13 AM

23. Thanks for the welcome

 

I just had a terrible time blow drying my hair and she said she couldn't do it so that is why she wore headbands. I felt her pain...heh. The right gave her a hard time...kind of like the pant suit thing now. I think it strange that is what they focus on when they can actually look at her policy and nit pick.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 12:14 AM

10. Another meme bites the dust (nt)

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to shaayecanaan (Reply #10)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 01:08 AM

12. Black voters favor Clinton over Sanders 64-7 in that same poll

 

Wasn't that the meme?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to oberliner (Reply #12)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 01:12 AM

13. I would have thought you'd be more enthused

its a funny thing. Virtually everyone on Team Palestine is a Bernie supporter, everyone on Team Israel seems against, or at least in the "damning him with faint praise category".

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to oberliner (Reply #12)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 01:32 AM

18. the meme that I heard was upper income white liberals only n/t

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 12:51 AM

11. Kick and R

Viva Bernie!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 01:16 AM

14. Sorry to be "that guy" but ...

these numbers are based on a sample size of 57.

(source: https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/ar54q9h39k/econTabReport.pdf)

That is to say, Yougov polled 57 Hispanic people across the nation: 24 picked Clinton and 21 picked Sanders.

America is a large country. The number and diversity of America's Hispanic population are correspondingly large. One doesn't have to be Nate Silver to realize that 57 just isn't a big enough number to say anything.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to nsd (Reply #14)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 01:30 AM

17. all of these polls have tiny samples

 

247 LV - That was the sample size of that highly touted NBC nationwide poll that PROVED that Hillary was unstoppable with 75%

I didn't see anyone questioning the sample size on that.

We have to go with the polls that we have.




Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to nsd (Reply #14)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 01:35 AM

19. Thanks. Useless.

This, however, is NOT useless:

Democratic Presidential Candidate Martin O'Malley to Deliver NCLR Keynote.

http://www.latinpost.com/articles/64388/20150706/democratic-presidential-candidate-martin-omalley-deliver-nclr-keynote-set-speak.htm

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 01:22 AM

15. He's leading by 2% amongst Independents too and I bet that continues to climb. If I'm not mistaken

 

The CW is that Independents decide elections and evidently they've taking a liking to Senator Sanders. That may be another monkey wrench in the "unelectable" gearbox....perhaps a chink in HRC's inevitability. Things should be very interesting by Halloween.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 01:23 AM

16. 53 hispanics

What is the margin of error with a sampling of 53?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to arely staircase (Reply #16)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 02:36 AM

24. Biden is leading "other" with 43 percent of the vote

hillary has 32 and sanders 22 .

i'm guessing "other" must be native americans , asians, and those who identify themselves as mixed rather than one race.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 01:45 AM

21. The sample size is small, but the result is provocative. We'll see if it's a fluke.

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 08:39 AM

25. And this is despite the "Hillary is inevitable" media onslaught

 

Go Bernie!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 08:50 AM

26. Yougov? What is Yougov, and why is Martin O'Malley missing from the poll, but Chaffee is there?

and here is the breakdown of the poll with O'Malley no where to be seen

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/07/10/1400974/-Bernie-Sanders-Breaks-20-in-a-National-Poll-for-the-First-Time-Gaining-Support-Across-Demographics#

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/YouGov

YouGov specialises in market research through online methods. The company’s methodology involves obtaining responses from an invited group of internet users, and then weighing these responses in line with demographic information. It draws these demographically-representative samples from a panel of 3 million people worldwide including over 600,000 people in the UK.[6] As YouGov's online methods use no field-force, its costs are lower than some face-to-face or telephone methods.

....

YouGov has claimed that its opinion polls are most accurate when compared to its competitors and in particular that its online methodology is more accurate than traditional polling methods.[7] Critics have argued that, as not all of the public have access to the internet, online samples cannot accurately reflect the views of the population as a whole.[8] YouGov counters that they have a representative panel and they are able to weight their data appropriately to reflect the national audience that they are aiming to poll.[9]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:YouGov#.23

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to virtualobserver (Original post)

Sat Jul 11, 2015, 11:12 AM

28. With a sample size of 57, the subgroup result is statistically insignificant

Not to mention YouGov are online polls, IIRC.

This is a pretty meaningless headline.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread