Hillary Clinton Shows Weakness in Head-to-Head Polling Against Top Republicans

[Segami]

Hillary Rodham Clinton is showing some signs of weakness against potential Republican rivals in three swing states, according to a poll from Quinnipiac University that could raise concern within the Democrat’s campaign. The survey found that Mrs. Clinton is lagging behind Senator Marco Rubio, Gov. Scott Walker and former Gov. Jeb Bush in head-to-head matchups in Iowa, Colorado and Virginia, three swing states. Her favorability ratings have declined and voters are increasingly questioning her leadership abilities.

“She has lost ground in the horse race and on key questions about her honesty and leadership,” Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said in a statement.

In several matchups in Iowa and Colorado, another Democratic contender, U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, runs as well as, or better than Clinton against Rubio, Bush and Walker. Vice President Joseph Biden does not do as well.

Clinton gets markedly negative favorability ratings in each state, 35 - 56 percent in Colorado, 33 - 56 percent in Iowa and 41 - 50 percent in Virginia.

The worst favorability ratings for any Democrat or Republican in the presidential field belong to Trump: 31 - 58 percent in Colorado, 32 - 57 percent in Iowa and 32 - 61 percent in Virginia.

"Hillary Clinton's numbers have dropped among voters in the key swing states of Colorado, Iowa and Virginia. She has lost ground in the horserace and on key questions about her honesty and leadership," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll. "On being a strong leader, a key metric in presidential campaigns, she has dropped four to 10 points depending on the state and she is barely above 50 percent in each of the three states."

Matchups in each state show:


Colorado Iowa Virginia

* Clinton 38 36 41
* Rubio 46 44 43

* Clinton 36 36 39
* Bush 41 42 42

* Clinton 38 37 40
* Walker 47 45 43



* Biden 35 37 41
* Rubio 49 45 45

* Biden 36 37 40
* Bush 45 44 45

* Biden 36 36 41
* Walker 48 47 45



* Sanders 35 36 37
* Rubio 46 43 44

* Sanders 37 38 36
* Bush 43 42 46

* Sanders 36 36 36
* Walker 44 44 44


http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2261

Mrs. Clinton performed better in a similar poll in April, suggesting that months of controversy of her use of a private email account and donations the Clinton Foundation might have taken a toll on her popularity. But the survey does appear to contradict national polls that show Mrs. Clinton outpacing her Republican counterparts. Quinnipiac finds that Donald J. Trump, the Republican business mogul who has been surging in many polls, is “perhaps the biggest loser.” He is viewed negatively by a margin of 2 to 1 in all three states.

There was also some good news in the poll numbers for Senator Bernie Sanders, Mrs. Clinton’s rival for the Democratic nomination. The independent from Vermont was performing as well or better than Mrs. Clinton against Republicans, meaning that the former secretary of state could be facing stiff competition on both fronts.



http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/07/22/hillary-clinton-shows-weakness-in-head-to-head-polling-against-top-republicans/

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

1. Time to get on board "The Bernie Express"!

[Dr Hobbitstein]

2. You may wanna read that again.

It also shows Bernie losing to the Republicans as well, by a larger margin.

[Segami]

3. But,...

"....Although Sanders’ and Clinton’s numbers are nearly identical in head to head contests versus the top Republicans in Colorado and Iowa, Sanders may be the stronger candidate, because he has more room to grow. Clinton’s favorable to unfavorable ratings in Iowa (33 percent favorable to 56 percent unfavorable) and Colorado (35-56) are troublesome, especially since most voters have already formed an opinion of Clinton, and it isn’t a positive one.

By contrast Sanders is still not well known by 40 percent of voters in both Iowa and Colorado. Voters who have formed an opinion of the Vermont Senator are about evenly divided. With a 32-28 favorable rating in Iowa, and a 29-31 rating in Colorado, Sanders is better liked by voters familiar with him than either Hillary Clinton or Jeb Bush are by voters familiar with them...."

http://www.politicususa.com/2015/07/22/poll-crucial-swing-states-shows-sanders-electable-clinton.html

[oasis]

4. Pffft! Private email account? I'm not convinced that's gained momentum since April.

Looks as if it's time for the media to roll out the "horse race" since the Sanders/Clinton race isn't providing any sparks.

I'd like to know what percentage of "disgruntled Democrats" participated in the polling. Surely that group would have a motive in making Hillary appear vulnerable by not being truthful in their responses.

[DCBob]

5. I find it hard to believe her numbers would tank so suddenly for no apparent reason.

The email server and Clinton foundation nonsense has been going on for many months. Something odd about this poll.