2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSupport for Bernie Sanders Is Deep but Narrow
There is a graph at the link that I can not get to transfer:
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/31/upshot/support-for-bernie-sanders-is-deep-but-narrow.html?smid=tw-share&_r=0&abt=0002&abg=0
Support for Bernie Sanders Is Deep but Narrow
JULY 30, 2015
Nate Cohn
As many as 100,000 people attended house parties for Bernie Sanders on Wednesday in an extraordinary and perhaps unprecedented early demonstration of grass-roots support.
Although the tremendous turnout for Mr. Sanders was an impressive indication of the depth of his support among the Democratic Partys liberal activists, it seems that his base of support is quite narrow.
An analysis of Mr. Sanderss activist base shows that the turnout for Mr. Sanders was overwhelmingly concentrated in the countrys most liberal communities. There were actually more Sanders attendees in Portland, Ore., than in New Hampshire or Iowa. There was little or no activity in many nonwhite and conservative areas that possess the votes and delegates to decide the nomination.
Twelve congressional districts all in Southern or nonwhite areas had no Sanders events. There were no Sanders events in an overwhelmingly Democratic, minority-heavy district in New York City. There were no Sanders events in two heavily Hispanic congressional districts in California. There were no events in several congressional districts in Mississippi, Louisiana, Texas, North Carolina, Tennessee and Florida.............
AtomicKitten
(46,585 posts)But the trajectory of support for Bernie is undeniably on an upward trend.
He has plenty of time to grow his base.
demwing
(16,916 posts)I know it's scary, so I brought you something to meditate on...
Litany Against Fear
I must not fear
Fear is the mind-killer.
Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration.
I will face my fear.
I will permit it to pass over me and through me.
And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path.
Where the fear has gone there will be nothing. Only I will remain.
Lather, rinse, repeat...
daleanime
(17,796 posts)but I can't remember from where.....
ms liberty
(9,589 posts)It's been a long time since I read it, but the fear litany has gotten me though a few scary moments.
daleanime
(17,796 posts)maybe time for a reread.
djean111
(14,255 posts)It doesn't dishearten or sway Bernie's supporters. Why not just sit back and enjoy your own candidate?
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)Regardless of candidate.
daleanime
(17,796 posts)NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)change only the word Sanders to Clinton, and the reply would have the exact same meaning if we're made toward the poster who posted it.
daybranch
(1,309 posts)The way our election works Hillary would likely not get any electoral votes from Louisiana, Texas, and Tennessee. so while she is much better known and her support may be wide , it is not deep and grows smaller the more her positions are known. She is on a downward trajectory because her positions favor the rich overall.
mythology
(9,527 posts)But in the primary, it's a different matter. Which is a problem for Sanders given his current low support among minority voters.
Bjorn Against
(12,041 posts)No other campaign has come close to what Bernie accomplished last night, if they are measuring support based on the number of districts events are held in then the support for all other candidates is narrower than Bernie's.
LWolf
(46,179 posts)I do not live in a liberal community.
Yet, in my relatively small population area, the first house party was at capacity within a few hours of being posted, so they opened a second, which filled in a day, and then a third...
I think that support is broadening by the day.
ibegurpard
(16,806 posts)Shallow support evaporates. We'll see how this plays out over the next 6 months.
winter is coming
(11,785 posts)Does that mean that over four hundred congressional districts did have Sanders events? Because, if so, that's pretty impressive.