2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNYT: Support for Bernie Sanders Is Deep but Narrow
Last edited Fri Jul 31, 2015, 05:52 PM - Edit history (1)
How did DemocratSinceBirth put it? IIRC, "His support is a mile deep, and inch wide".
ETA: I forgot to post the link. Sorry! Here it is:
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/07/31/upshot/support-for-bernie-sanders-is-deep-but-narrow.html?smid=fb-nytimes&smtyp=cur
As many as 100,000 people attended house parties for Bernie Sanders on Wednesday in an extraordinary and perhaps unprecedented early demonstration of grass-roots support.
Although the tremendous turnout for Mr. Sanders was an impressive indication of the depth of his support among the Democratic Partys liberal activists, it seems that his base of support is quite narrow.
An analysis of Mr. Sanderss activist base shows that the turnout for Mr. Sanders was overwhelmingly concentrated in the countrys most liberal communities. There were actually more Sanders attendees in Portland, Ore., than in New Hampshire or Iowa. There was little or no activity in many nonwhite and conservative areas that possess the votes and delegates to decide the nomination.
Twelve congressional districts all in Southern or nonwhite areas had no Sanders events. There were no Sanders events in an overwhelmingly Democratic, minority-heavy district in New York City. There were no Sanders events in two heavily Hispanic congressional districts in California. There were no events in several congressional districts in Mississippi, Louisiana, Texas, North Carolina, Tennessee and Florida.
The analysis of the event attendance used data scraped off the Sanders campaign website. With the help of Jeremy Bowers, our colleague in the New York Times Washington bureau, we grabbed the ZIP code, county and state of Sanders events, including the number of people who RSVPd online to each event. More than 100,000 people were registered to attend.
The pattern of Mr. Sanderss support resembles Mr. Obamas support from 2008, but with nearly no support from the black voters who decided that election in Mr. Obamas favor.
Mr. Sanderss challenge among nonwhite and conservative voters has been widely reported. But the geographic concentration of Mr. Sanderss activist base is striking even in the context of those expectations. While more than a thousand people showed up to Sanders events in Seattle, San Francisco and Portland, Ore., there were equally populated Southern and nonwhite areas where there were no Sanders events at all. His top 15 congressional districts, each with at least 750 registered attendees, were all in Oregon, Washington, California or Vermont. Next came Boulder, Colo.
The South was Mr. Sanderss weakest region: Mississippi, Georgia, Louisiana and South Carolina all sat at the bottom of the list. The turnout for Mr. Sanders measured by comparing the number of RSVPs with the number of Obama voters was 12 times as great in Oregon as in Mississippi. There were more attendees in Washington than in the far larger state of Texas
arcane1
(38,613 posts)12 districts, out of how many, had no events, thus there is no support for him. And comparing w/Obama voters makes zero sense
winter is coming
(11,785 posts)Does that mean that over four hundred congressional districts did have Sanders events? Because that's pretty impressive for a first attempt at a nationwide event.
arcane1
(38,613 posts)It's basically saying "he's not 100% perfect therefore he's 100% imperfect".
Desperate times...
winter is coming
(11,785 posts)Panic!
arcane1
(38,613 posts)Talk about playing a candidate's strengths against them.
beam me up scottie
(57,349 posts)Incoming fact will burst bubbles!
And didn't HC supporters just declare the NYT was a right wing hit piece factory?
Cha
(297,123 posts)lunamagica
(9,967 posts)Cha
(297,123 posts)RobertEarl
(13,685 posts)For just coming out two months ago and seeking help from common people, it is an amazingly wide reception that will only grow and grow.
This is not a big money, run on fame, race. It is grassroots, the like of which has the PTB peeing themselves.
LWolf
(46,179 posts)My response, # 9:
Interestingly, I do not live in a liberal community.
Yet, in my relatively small population area, the first house party was at capacity within a few hours of being posted, so they opened a second, which filled in a day, and then a third...
I think that support is broadening by the day.
Ron Green
(9,822 posts)And follow the money, of course.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)Sheepshank
(12,504 posts), but some love their clever little couplets...as if they had some depth to them.
silvershadow
(10,336 posts)and in fact, does refute their headline perfectly and accurately. *Note: I wasn't trying to refute the OP, as was in clear evidence.
HerbChestnut
(3,649 posts)how they focus on the small handful of districts that didn't have any events rather than the vast majority that did. In other news, 3% of the scientific community is skeptical of human caused climate change, therefore it must not be real.
Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)This huge event with up to 100,000 people participating was not big enough.
Crazy.