DU needs your support -- please contribute to this week's tip jar fund drive!

Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

2016 Postmortem

K lib

(153 posts) Thu Aug 6, 2015, 07:57 PM Aug 2015

8

New Oregon State Poll Hillary 44 % Bernie 39 % 12 % undecided

http://portlandtribune.com/pt/9-news/268868-143559-poll-clinton-trump-lead-oregon-party-choices

7 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

New Oregon State Poll Hillary 44 % Bernie 39 % 12 % undecided (Original Post) K lib Aug 2015 OP

Can anyone find the margin of error? hedda_foil Aug 2015 #1

Horrendous poll. MOE is +/- 7 percent and poll was internet based Godhumor Aug 2015 #5

Warms my heart. chknltl Aug 2015 #2

Margin of errors tend to be 3-5% in these polls. HerbChestnut Aug 2015 #3

pretty high K lib Aug 2015 #4

Even worse than that. It is an internet poll whose sample is only from previous poll takers Godhumor Aug 2015 #6

Good. The primaries needs to be competitive NYCButterfinger Aug 2015 #7

hedda_foil

(17,020 posts)

1. Can anyone find the margin of error?

Reply to K lib (Original post)

Thu Aug 6, 2015, 08:10 PM

Aug 2015

I did look but couldn't find it.

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

5. Horrendous poll. MOE is +/- 7 percent and poll was internet based

Reply to hedda_foil (Reply #1)

Thu Aug 6, 2015, 08:17 PM

Aug 2015

Only 206 surveyed for the Democratic nomination, as well.

chknltl

(10,558 posts)

2. Warms my heart.

Reply to K lib (Original post)

Thu Aug 6, 2015, 08:16 PM

Aug 2015

Watching our next POTUS's rise to victory.

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)

3. Margin of errors tend to be 3-5% in these polls.

Reply to K lib (Original post)

Thu Aug 6, 2015, 08:17 PM

Aug 2015

So it's pretty safe to assume that it's a statistical tie between Sanders and Clinton. This is a pleasant surprise!

K lib

(153 posts)

4. pretty high

Reply to K lib (Original post)

Thu Aug 6, 2015, 08:17 PM

Aug 2015

It is 7 percent for the 206 Democrats surveyed and 8 percent for the GOP sample of 169 voters.

http://www.oregonlive.com/mapes/index.ssf/2015/08/oregon_presidential_poll_hilla.html

Cant really tell anything until more polls come out in Oregon

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)

6. Even worse than that. It is an internet poll whose sample is only from previous poll takers

Reply to K lib (Reply #4)

Thu Aug 6, 2015, 08:22 PM

Aug 2015

Enormous selection bias. This poll will not make it into RCP or Pollster aggregates.

NYCButterfinger

(755 posts)

7. Good. The primaries needs to be competitive

Reply to K lib (Original post)

Thu Aug 6, 2015, 08:24 PM

Aug 2015

Oregon will be a swing state again. Bush almost won it in '00 and '04. Bernie Sanders can win Oregon in the primaries and the GE - if nominated.

Reply to this discussion

Kick in to the DU tip jar?

This week we're running a special pop-up mini fund drive. From Monday through Friday we're going ad-free for all registered members, and we're asking you to kick in to the DU tip jar to support the site and keep us financially healthy.

As a bonus, making a contribution will allow you to leave kudos for another DU member, and at the end of the week we'll recognize the DUers who you think make this community great.

Tell me more...

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»2016 Postmortem»New Oregon State Poll Hil...