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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhy doesn't Rasmussen make primary polls anymore?
Did he finally realize he is a conservative hack whose polls are highly inaccurate?
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Why doesn't Rasmussen make primary polls anymore? (Original Post)
Ashdric
Sep 2015
OP
Mass
(27,315 posts)1. With 16 candidates? All polls are inaccurate with such a large number of choices.
With the exception of the top 2 candidates, all the other ones are generally within the MOE.
Ashdric
(29 posts)4. Without an election, we can't know that everyone is inaccurate
Obviously.
Mass
(27,315 posts)5. There is no way to judge of the accuracy of polls that early before an election
(and obviously, for a national primary poll, there will never be).
However, with 14 candidates below 6 % (or something like that) in polls where the MOE is at best 4%, polls are absolutely useless.
DavidDvorkin
(20,529 posts)2. He still does
Ashdric
(29 posts)3. That poll doesn't ask about candidate preference
It asks who respondents think is likely to win the nomination.
Rasmussen's inaccuracy is on candidate preference polls. He stopped making those.
