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Ashdric

(29 posts)
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:13 PM Sep 2015

If. Biden enters the race Sanders is History

Biden is more popular than Sanders. Plus the media will not attack Biden at all. Sanders had benefited from the fact that the MSM has always been Anti-Clinton. Biden will be favorite if he enters the race. He doesn't have an email problem.

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If. Biden enters the race Sanders is History (Original Post) Ashdric Sep 2015 OP
It's been my experience that... Binkie The Clown Sep 2015 #1
uh oh! that's a self-referential statement! star trek computers frying out as we speak! unblock Sep 2015 #46
Computer-Destroying Logic Kelvin Mace Sep 2015 #62
Uh oh... Suich Sep 2015 #2
Polls say otherwise and Biden is a terrible candidate. Warren Stupidity Sep 2015 #3
You assume that only one candidate can be in trouble Ashdric Sep 2015 #5
No I assert that the money spigot funds Clinton and would fund Biden Warren Stupidity Sep 2015 #10
If Bernie were to withdraw(which he won't)following a Biden declaration Ken Burch Sep 2015 #40
Whoaaa No Bernie supporter would vote for Biden? Prairiegale Sep 2015 #95
If Bernie drops, the next closest thing is O'Malley, not Biden or Clinton. nt Erich Bloodaxe BSN Sep 2015 #100
Yep. O'Malley would be my second choice after Bernie. nt tblue37 Sep 2015 #107
Popular Or Not - Joe Biden Is Another Defender Of Crony Capitalism And The 1% cantbeserious Sep 2015 #4
Biden is more likable than Hillary but cut from the same corporate cloth emsimon33 Sep 2015 #28
Right You Are - Establishment Republicans - Or - DLC Third Way Dems - All Paid For By Corporations cantbeserious Sep 2015 #29
Biden's ties to banks and credit card companies and his son Hunter's job with a tblue37 Sep 2015 #112
Once A 1% Minion - Always A 1% Minion cantbeserious Sep 2015 #122
You think Clinton will graciously step aside for Biden? HooptieWagon Sep 2015 #6
Maybe. We'll see. Maedhros Sep 2015 #7
BWAHHAHHA trof Sep 2015 #8
He's already in 2nd place... SonderWoman Sep 2015 #9
He sure is. leftofcool Sep 2015 #17
You're right, Hillary is toast if he enters the race. bobbobbins01 Sep 2015 #33
Yeah okay. Despite all evidence, polls, and statistics... SonderWoman Sep 2015 #48
No, Biden is still in third at best. Ken Burch Sep 2015 #42
Anti-Clinton? I have yet to see her have one TOUGH interview and the amount Skwmom Sep 2015 #11
I predict it will make it easier for Bernie Sanders to become the Democratic nominee. ZM90 Sep 2015 #12
If you say so. It certainly isn't going to change my vote n/t arcane1 Sep 2015 #13
a lot of people are totally uninterested in supporting Biden in the primaries. Warren DeMontague Sep 2015 #14
Policy-wise, Biden has much in common with President-elect Hillary RufusTFirefly Sep 2015 #15
They're counting on the white hair confusing voters :) cprise Sep 2015 #97
may I quote you ? olddots Sep 2015 #16
I don't think so. LWolf Sep 2015 #18
Nonsense Oldenuff Sep 2015 #19
If it makes you feel better to think that, go ahead and think that. HereSince1628 Sep 2015 #20
Your concern is noted. n/t ms liberty Sep 2015 #21
now that's funny.... wundermaus Sep 2015 #22
I think Biden is just on standby in case Clinton implodes. Cheese Sandwich Sep 2015 #23
I agree that Biden is very liked. But this is the year jwirr Sep 2015 #24
+100 nt restorefreedom Sep 2015 #32
If its superficial 'like' then his trajectory would resemble Clinton's cprise Sep 2015 #98
Yes, when it comes to the establishment the less they jwirr Sep 2015 #120
News update: Hillary doesn't have an e-mail problem. oasis Sep 2015 #25
Reality update: She's not trustworthy Pope Sweet Jesus Sep 2015 #49
Why? pandr32 Sep 2015 #64
Don't tell me that - tell that to the people. Pope Sweet Jesus Sep 2015 #65
If Biden enters the race, Hillary is history highprincipleswork Sep 2015 #26
Laugh. In your dreams. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Sep 2015 #27
That's exactly right MissDeeds Sep 2015 #35
No. It will be a three way race with Hillary losing more "moderate" votes to Biden. Tierra_y_Libertad Sep 2015 #30
nope. restorefreedom Sep 2015 #31
You're New Here... Take A Chill-Pill And Get A Clue... WillyT Sep 2015 #34
Clarence Thomas, Clarence Thomas, Clarence Thomas tularetom Sep 2015 #36
welcome to DU. magical thyme Sep 2015 #37
Post removed Post removed Sep 2015 #38
Hee artislife Sep 2015 #43
I think that you should be a little more sensitive to your fellow DU'ers virtualobserver Sep 2015 #73
Your title line set up artislife Sep 2015 #91
offensive four letter words sometimes survive a hide..... virtualobserver Sep 2015 #93
Uncle Joe's really cool, Nothingcleverjustray Sep 2015 #39
He's loaded DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2015 #41
Yep. When both were in the Senate, Bernie and Joe used to compete over who was the poorest underthematrix Sep 2015 #52
If I get married again left-of-center2012 Sep 2015 #44
Thanks for your concern. GoneOffShore Sep 2015 #45
lol. bullshit. cali Sep 2015 #47
Biden would hurt Clinton, Sanders and the Democratic Party as a whole. Garrett78 Sep 2015 #50
EXACTLY! Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #90
Biden will take votes from HRC, not Bernie. onecaliberal Sep 2015 #51
And basic logic confirms that. Garrett78 Sep 2015 #54
It won't be HRC onecaliberal Sep 2015 #55
The lead won't hold Boomer Sep 2015 #59
There are many states Sanders simply will not win. Garrett78 Sep 2015 #66
Recent polling: Clinton - 47%; Sanders - 27%; Biden - 15% (or centrists 62%; progressive 27%). Even Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #89
What happens, happens. Half-Century Man Sep 2015 #53
Exactly. SusanCalvin Sep 2015 #60
I'm bored Half-Century Man Sep 2015 #63
LOL! Biden draws support away from Hillary, helping Sanders! peacebird Sep 2015 #56
The progressive wing of the party is not big enough to get 51% of the delegates if Biden and Clinton Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #85
Well, of course that's the rationale. Erich Bloodaxe BSN Sep 2015 #102
I'm a Sanders supporter, but I promise you the Democratic establishment does not pass up a sitting Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #110
I realize TPTB want to 'rescue' the party from Sanders, screw TPTB. peacebird Sep 2015 #113
Agreed. I worry that some Sanders supporters encourage a Biden candidacy without realizing that it Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #115
Possibly, but he won't. SusanCalvin Sep 2015 #57
You've heard of Obama-Biden? Biden-Obama is nothing to worry about, for Sanders. Sanders DhhD Sep 2015 #58
Biden has the same problems as HRC Kelvin Mace Sep 2015 #61
Sounds like you want to throw in unsubstantiated garbage pandr32 Sep 2015 #68
Because it's the truth? Pope Sweet Jesus Sep 2015 #69
Still doesn't mean he is "owned" pandr32 Sep 2015 #71
Excuses. Excuses. Pope Sweet Jesus Sep 2015 #72
So please tell me how the Rave Act shows Joe Biden is owned by the 1% pandr32 Sep 2015 #81
HRC's biggest donors are Wall Street connected Kelvin Mace Sep 2015 #92
The hell you say. n/t bvf Sep 2015 #67
Kewl story bro. 99Forever Sep 2015 #70
In your dreams madokie Sep 2015 #74
If wishes were horses Aerows Sep 2015 #75
and they would eat a lot of horse meat. Motown_Johnny Sep 2015 #76
Just an old saying :) Aerows Sep 2015 #77
I am familiar with it. Motown_Johnny Sep 2015 #79
LOL! Aerows Sep 2015 #80
If Biden enters the race, you then have 2 Party establishment candidates Motown_Johnny Sep 2015 #78
The establishment decides who wins in a brokered convention. SPOILER ALERT - it's not Sanders Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #83
It could be that establishment voters will split Motown_Johnny Sep 2015 #84
Unfortunately, that's not how it works. The nominee is who gets 51% of the delegates. If Sanders Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #87
If they choose a person with significantly FEWER delegates than the one who has the most Erich Bloodaxe BSN Sep 2015 #104
If Sanders has 40%, Clinton 35% and Biden 25%, but Biden drops out and endorses Clinton and Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #111
Well, DWS has already shown they don't care if the voters revolt. nt SusanCalvin Sep 2015 #121
that remains to be seen Motown_Johnny Sep 2015 #109
No one is going to deny the will of the voters, but if a majority of the voters fail to choose one Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #114
the plurality would then be the will of the voters Motown_Johnny Sep 2015 #116
If my spouse and I both want to have dinner and the same Indian restaurant, and one kid wants to go Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #117
If Biden runs, he probably stops Sanders from expanding his support beyond the progressive wing of Attorney in Texas Sep 2015 #82
WRONG! Rosa Luxemburg Sep 2015 #86
Yes but that doesn't mean Biden wouldn't also hurt Sanders. Garrett78 Sep 2015 #96
Is that based on polls? Ashdric Sep 2015 #99
Leave Bernie for MBNA Joe? BuelahWitch Sep 2015 #88
It has only been 4 months Prairiegale Sep 2015 #94
I'm not too sure about that. drm604 Sep 2015 #101
True but it probably wont be enough to make a difference. DCBob Sep 2015 #106
A ploy by the machine and Wasserman. orpupilofnature57 Sep 2015 #103
Yes, that may be the case. DCBob Sep 2015 #105
Actually a 2004 article I hold as the reason I joined DU 12 yrs ago, proves Bernie is an example orpupilofnature57 Sep 2015 #126
We shall see. Bernie has been defying expectations so far. aikoaiko Sep 2015 #108
The Establishment DINOs are running scared. 99Forever Sep 2015 #118
Isn't the vice presidency far enough for mr credit cards? MoveIt Sep 2015 #119
He has other problems though treestar Sep 2015 #123
Is that based on polls? ColesCountyDem Sep 2015 #124
I like Joe and I don't think we have had a better VP for a while but I would not vote for Joe in Todays_Illusion Sep 2015 #125
why would Sanders supporters, who are sick of dc lifers and the status quo, jump to Doctor_J Sep 2015 #127
So you're saying? HassleCat Sep 2015 #128

Binkie The Clown

(7,911 posts)
1. It's been my experience that...
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:14 PM
Sep 2015

... virtually every political prediction ever made is wrong. I'm sure this one will not be the exception.

 

Warren Stupidity

(48,181 posts)
3. Polls say otherwise and Biden is a terrible candidate.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:15 PM
Sep 2015

I'd say Clinton is the one who will be in trouble, mostly because the money spigot will go to Joe in an 'anyone but sanders' effort. Sanders is funded by the people so he is immune to the control of the spigot.

 

Warren Stupidity

(48,181 posts)
10. No I assert that the money spigot funds Clinton and would fund Biden
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:20 PM
Sep 2015

if the spigot owners decide Clinton is no longer viable.

Biden's non-announcement over the last few weeks gave him a bump in the polls but that bump appeared to come from Clinton's supporters not Sanders.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
40. If Bernie were to withdraw(which he won't)following a Biden declaration
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:41 PM
Sep 2015

virtually none of Bernie's supporters would go to Biden(certainly no female Bernie supporters would back Biden, since they all remember how he hung Anita Hill out to dry during the Thomas confirmation hearings...something Biden has never exactly apologized for).

And if Bernie were knocked out by a Biden entry, it's hard to imagine Biden's poll numbers holding up, since most of Biden's potential support comes from conservative establishment Dems who would only back Joe to stop Bernie(and would then go back to HRC once Bernie had been seen off).

 

Prairiegale

(13 posts)
95. Whoaaa No Bernie supporter would vote for Biden?
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 01:15 AM
Sep 2015

I would. Why? Well, there is just too much about Clinton I do not like. I am old an remember all the scandals, proved or not. My old way of thinking is that if you are in so many scandals, and are always being investigated about one thing or another.....where there is smoke there is fire. Don't like her, don't trust her. Actually, she makes my skin crawl as much as the GOP. Biden is just another inside Dem, but that is still better than Hillary for me. Just my opinion.

tblue37

(68,349 posts)
112. Biden's ties to banks and credit card companies and his son Hunter's job with a
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 08:51 AM
Sep 2015

bank could cause him problems with the 99% voters:

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/31/us/politics/banking-ties-could-hurt-joe-biden-in-race-with-populist-overtone.html?_r=0

"Banking Ties Could Hurt Joe Biden in Race With Populist Overtone"

(SNIP)

Not mentioned was Mr. Biden’s own history with the financial services industry, an economic power in his home state of Delaware, or the critics who saw him as too close to credit-card companies in more than three decades in the Senate.

But if Mr. Biden decides to run for the Democratic presidential nomination, his Senate reputation as a friend to financial institutions could be a significant obstacle, especially if he wants to make inroads with the party’s liberal base, which has become increasingly skeptical and often passionately hostile to anything connected to Wall Street.

(SNIP)

In the late 1990s, amid an increase in bankruptcy filings, the financial services industry began pushing for rules that would make it more difficult for consumers to seek bankruptcy protection. Among those courted by the industry was Mr. Biden, who represented the home state of a number of vested companies, including, at the time, the credit-card issuer MBNA Corporation. (Bank of America bought MBNA in 2006.) MBNA executives and employees contributed roughly $200,000 to Mr. Biden’s campaigns from 1989 to 2010, making the company his largest corporate donor during that time, according to data from the Center for Responsive Politics.

(SNIP)

At one point during the debate, Ms. Warren, then a Harvard professor, singled out Mr. Biden for what she saw as his anti-consumer role.

(SNIP)
 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
6. You think Clinton will graciously step aside for Biden?
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:19 PM
Sep 2015


The civil war in the Third Way will leave Bernie unscathed. I'm loving it.
 

Maedhros

(10,007 posts)
7. Maybe. We'll see.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:20 PM
Sep 2015

I remember in past campaigns Biden was considered an unstable candidate because he tends to make gaffes when unscripted.

I think Biden's candidacy is mostly wishful thinking by the Democratic right wing.

bobbobbins01

(1,681 posts)
33. You're right, Hillary is toast if he enters the race.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:19 PM
Sep 2015

She'll drop from 2nd to 3rd and Bernie will basically run away with the whole thing. It'll be a landslide. She can maybe recover from getting kicked down to 2nd place, but once she slides again that party is over. Good observation.

 

Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
42. No, Biden is still in third at best.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:43 PM
Sep 2015

And if you think Biden is better than Bernie, it just means you don't want Democrats to have a progressive nominee..

Skwmom

(12,685 posts)
11. Anti-Clinton? I have yet to see her have one TOUGH interview and the amount
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:21 PM
Sep 2015

of fluff articles is unbelievable.

It's up to Biden whether or not he wants to enter the race.

ZM90

(706 posts)
12. I predict it will make it easier for Bernie Sanders to become the Democratic nominee.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:22 PM
Sep 2015

I will donate $10.00 to DU if Biden gets in and Bernie Sanders does not become the Democratic nominee but only under the condition that you must donate $10.00 to DU if Biden does get in and Sanders ends up the nominee. Deal?

Warren DeMontague

(80,708 posts)
14. a lot of people are totally uninterested in supporting Biden in the primaries.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:24 PM
Sep 2015

His history as author of the drug war, supporter of the bankruptcy bill, etc.

I think your analysis is seriously off kilter.

Plus I dont think he's getting in, but if he did it would siphon support away from Hillary- who occupies a similar establishment valence- not Sanders.

RufusTFirefly

(8,812 posts)
15. Policy-wise, Biden has much in common with President-elect Hillary
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:26 PM
Sep 2015

Plus, he has a personality to boot.

If Biden runs, it will be devastating to Clinton.

No Bernie supporters who have carefully compared the voting records of the two men should even consider voting for Biden in the primaries. Unless of course they've suddenly decided that the disastrous Iraq invasion and the Constitution-shredding PATRIOT {sic} ACT are good things. Don't let that twinkle in his eye mislead you. The Senator from MasterCard is basically just Hillary in a suit and tie.

And no, Bernie won't be history. He'll make history.

cprise

(8,445 posts)
97. They're counting on the white hair confusing voters :)
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 03:23 AM
Sep 2015

Desperate, I think. But as you point out, there's really no other reason to field Biden other than "he's got personality".

Its too bad that "Biden" looks nothing like "Sanders" on a printed ballot.

LWolf

(46,179 posts)
18. I don't think so.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:31 PM
Sep 2015

Biden will split Clinton's support; he's more "popular" with her supporters, and doesn't offer what Sanders does to those who are supporting him.

It's interesting that you chose to use the word "popular." My grandson is running for class president. We spent some time today talking about his campaign, and ended with, "It's good to learn how to run a campaign. In the long run, though, too often in high school it's more a popularity contest than an election based on record or issues."

It's sad when adult campaigns that impact people's lives in a significant way are still, for some, about "popularity."

 

Oldenuff

(582 posts)
19. Nonsense
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:35 PM
Sep 2015

Democrats who really want to affect change,aren't going to be persuaded to vote Biden.In fact,I will be even more determined than before to vote for the ONLY candidate that really offers anything substantive.

I'd vote Biden over Clinton every day of the week if Sanders wasn't in the race.

HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
20. If it makes you feel better to think that, go ahead and think that.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 07:41 PM
Sep 2015

But the evidence seems to be Biden hurts Clinton a bit more.

Sanders loses a bit of anti-Clinton support. The left is pretty strongly linked to Sanders and Biden doesn't represent an alternative that's on the progressive pushing left.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
24. I agree that Biden is very liked. But this is the year
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:02 PM
Sep 2015

of the issues. Is he going to be much different than Hillary on the issues? Being like is the new meme. But Bernie's support comes from his stance on the issues. We see him as authentic, as telling the truth and as consistently on the side of the little guy.

cprise

(8,445 posts)
98. If its superficial 'like' then his trajectory would resemble Clinton's
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 03:31 AM
Sep 2015

once he becomes a real candidate.

Of course, if the party brass (incl. Biden) times it so he misses most of the debates -- and IF Biden wins the nomination -- then he'll mainly have to debate a Republican and it will be on terms and assumptions that DC is much more comfortable with.

The establishment is trying to salvage their narratives. They know that in many cases its what stands between them and prison and penury.

jwirr

(39,215 posts)
120. Yes, when it comes to the establishment the less they
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 09:42 AM
Sep 2015

expose their ideas for the future the better. So you are right. Debating the Rs would allow them to debate the issue they want to talk about.

Bernie talks about them all. We want to change the direction we have been going.

pandr32

(13,969 posts)
64. Why?
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 10:37 PM
Sep 2015

Sounds like you have been happily gobbling up the well-funded propaganda from the conservatives. What are you doing here?

 

highprincipleswork

(3,111 posts)
26. If Biden enters the race, Hillary is history
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:05 PM
Sep 2015

Just as likely as what you propose.

All folks who adore Hillary better press her to call for more debates. If she cannot win this thing fair and square she may not win very much at all.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
27. Laugh. In your dreams.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:06 PM
Sep 2015

I welcome Biden to the race, because Biden sucks down Hillary voters. Biden is nothing like Sanders, and almost entirely like Hillary. So he splits the Hillary vote and makes it that much easier for Bernie to win. If Biden enters the race, it's Hillary whose dreams go down in flames.

 

MissDeeds

(7,499 posts)
35. That's exactly right
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:23 PM
Sep 2015

If Biden enters the race, he will draw votes from Hillary. They are both part of the Washington establishment and voters want a break from the status quo. Biden's entrance into the race would hurt Hillary and help Bernie.

 

Tierra_y_Libertad

(50,414 posts)
30. No. It will be a three way race with Hillary losing more "moderate" votes to Biden.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:15 PM
Sep 2015

The Not as Bad moderates will split their votes giving the progressives a better chance to win.

restorefreedom

(12,655 posts)
31. nope.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:16 PM
Sep 2015

there have been several poll studies that show bidens presence in the race hurts hillary way more than any other candidate. they are easy to find on google if you are interested. since you did not provide a link i do not feel compelled to provide a rebuttal link but they're there.

biden might have higher name rec than sanders. very different than being more "popular". and name rec will be overcome.

not looking like biden getting in, but if he does it will be a third way slugfest between him and hillary, with bernie and om rising above the bullshit and presenting the sane alternative.

tularetom

(23,664 posts)
36. Clarence Thomas, Clarence Thomas, Clarence Thomas
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:24 PM
Sep 2015

Plus bankruptcy "reform", the Patriot act, and lots more.

Biden has almost as much baggage as Hillary Clinton but a lot less of the stench. He won't get many Sanders voters to switch.

 

magical thyme

(14,881 posts)
37. welcome to DU.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:25 PM
Sep 2015

Biden will cut into Clinton's support and money, not Bernie's.

Bernie is not "unpopular;" he is unknown. The more he gets known, the more support he draws.

Biden has numerous major strikes against him on issues that are important today, that will haunt his candidacy and for which there is no good answer. The media loves to portray Biden as "gaffe-prone, Crazy Uncle Joe." His only protection will be as the 1%'s alternative to Hillary.

Response to Ashdric (Original post)

 

virtualobserver

(8,760 posts)
73. I think that you should be a little more sensitive to your fellow DU'ers
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 11:05 PM
Sep 2015

talking about ice cream at this time of night.....now I'm going to have to go get some.

 

artislife

(9,497 posts)
91. Your title line set up
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 12:35 AM
Sep 2015

Oh my gosh, made me laugh harder! Can't believe the initial post got a hide.

Who says there are no more H supporters on this board!?!

 

virtualobserver

(8,760 posts)
93. offensive four letter words sometimes survive a hide.....
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 12:47 AM
Sep 2015

but offensive twenty-four letter words are almost always hidden.

I am glad to hear that the scolding tone of my previous title line was sufficiently excessive....

 
39. Uncle Joe's really cool,
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:38 PM
Sep 2015

For a really rich guy thats really not into you or your problems. Or the electorates for that matter.

DemocratSinceBirth

(101,708 posts)
41. He's loaded
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 08:42 PM
Sep 2015

Uncle Joe's really cool, For a really rich guy thats really not into you or your problems. Or the electorates for that matter.





Biden's net worth is estimated to be between $39,000 and $800,000 according to the Center for Responsive Politics.

http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2014/06/joe-biden-says-he-is-the-poorest-man-in-congress/

underthematrix

(5,811 posts)
52. Yep. When both were in the Senate, Bernie and Joe used to compete over who was the poorest
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 09:11 PM
Sep 2015

of the two. It was a running joke. Biden has great credibility was the white working class.

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
50. Biden would hurt Clinton, Sanders and the Democratic Party as a whole.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 09:07 PM
Sep 2015

Last edited Sat Sep 19, 2015, 10:53 PM - Edit history (1)

If Biden enters the race, of course he'll pull more support from Clinton than from Sanders, but not nearly enough to give Sanders the nomination. And Sanders will receive even less media coverage, as all the talk will be about Clinton vs. Biden. Meanwhile, Clinton (still a heavy favorite to be the nominee) is made to look weak (this is what you'll hear: "See, even Democrats don't think she can win the general election.&quot . This is why the Clintons have reportedly (and understandably) been quite agitated by all the Biden talk.

And if Biden were to manage to get the nomination, then we have a candidate who is even more objectionable than Clinton from a leftist/progressive standpoint.

No, as with all the free advertising the unanswered GOP debates are garnering for the Republican Party message, a Biden run would only benefit the Republican Party. A party whose pool of candidates are arguably even worse than they were in 2012 when Noam Chomsky called them "off the international spectrum of sane behavior." With a very favorable electoral college map, if the Democratic Party nominee doesn't win (easily) in 2016, the Democratic Party should just close up shop. No, not really. But it will have some major soul-searching to do. Will Rogers was right to say he didn't belong to an organized (or highly competent) political party--he was a Democrat.

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
54. And basic logic confirms that.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 09:24 PM
Sep 2015

But it wouldn't be substantial enough to erase the lead Clinton has in the vast majority of states. If Clinton isn't the nominee, Biden will be the nominee. It won't be Sanders.

Boomer

(4,393 posts)
59. The lead won't hold
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 09:43 PM
Sep 2015

There is a flaw to your logic. Clinton holds the lead in states now, but only because she's a known quantity and Sanders is not. She is the default choice for Democrats who know nothing about Bernie Sanders.

As Sanders brings his campaign to each new state, his numbers go up. Once people hear his message, he gains converts very quickly, and he draws them from Democrats, Independents and even Republicans.

If anyone caught the Rachel Maddow show this past week, the polling from Vermont shows that Sanders is tied for first place at 12% with both Trump and Ben Carson among REPUBLICANS. Vermonters already feel the Bern. The rest of the country isn't that far behind.

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
66. There are many states Sanders simply will not win.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 10:39 PM
Sep 2015

Vermont is not a good barometer. Look, I'm a leftist and like a lot of what Sanders stands for, but his campaign is (in his own words) an effort to launch a grassroots political movement. He is not, however, going to be nominated. That was never a realistic goal.

As I wrote in my own reply to the OP, Biden running would hurt Clinton and Sanders and the Democratic Party as a whole.

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
89. Recent polling: Clinton - 47%; Sanders - 27%; Biden - 15% (or centrists 62%; progressive 27%). Even
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 12:13 AM
Sep 2015

if Biden takes support from Clinton (say Biden takes 15% from Clinton and 0% from Sanders so its Clinton - 32%; Sanders - 27%; Biden - 30%), that does not help get Sanders to 51% of the delegates.

For Sanders to win, it is not enough that Clinton lose support; Clinton has to lose support to Sanders. Shifting votes from Clinton to Biden (or Clinton to O'Malley) does not give the nomination to Sanders. Sanders has to be the candidate who is picking up the support that Clinton is losing for him to get the nomination. Biden makes that avenue either 10 times harder or impossible.

Half-Century Man

(5,279 posts)
53. What happens, happens.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 09:21 PM
Sep 2015

In spite of the predictions of anyone; I will continue to support Bernie as the best nominee for the Democratic party's candidate.

SusanCalvin

(6,592 posts)
60. Exactly.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 09:44 PM
Sep 2015

Que sera, sera.

Don't know why you or I even bother to reply to this stuff, as it can't possibly make any difference.

Well, I do know about me, come to think of it - I'm bored and sleepy.

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
85. The progressive wing of the party is not big enough to get 51% of the delegates if Biden and Clinton
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 11:54 PM
Sep 2015

split the rest of the party.

Biden draws some support from Clinton, that's true, but unless Sanders is the one who draws that support from Clinton, Sanders has no likely pathway to 51% of the delegates.

We Sanders supporters must realize that the rationale behind Biden's hypothetical candidacy is to "rescue" the party from Sanders.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
102. Well, of course that's the rationale.
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 07:18 AM
Sep 2015

And just like the rationale behind an aggressive war in Iraq, it just isn't going to work.

If there are 3 or more people with candidates in the race, it very well may be that NO one gets 51%. In which case it's brokered convention time, with whoever has the MOST delegates sitting in good position.

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
110. I'm a Sanders supporter, but I promise you the Democratic establishment does not pass up a sitting
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 08:44 AM
Sep 2015

VP and the candidate who has the most party establishment endorsements to pick the most progressive candidate in a brokered convention.

A Biden candidacy hurts Clinton but it hurts Sanders' chances more.

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
115. Agreed. I worry that some Sanders supporters encourage a Biden candidacy without realizing that it
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 08:57 AM
Sep 2015

is an idea born of the desire to stop Sanders.

SusanCalvin

(6,592 posts)
57. Possibly, but he won't.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 09:38 PM
Sep 2015

Bless his heart, I think the only reason he isn't debunking the rumors is party loyalty. (To the wing of the party that considers, Hillary the annointed candidate.)

DhhD

(4,695 posts)
58. You've heard of Obama-Biden? Biden-Obama is nothing to worry about, for Sanders. Sanders
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 09:41 PM
Sep 2015

is already talking about the mistakes of Obama-Biden. I do not see Biden in a third term.

pandr32

(13,969 posts)
71. Still doesn't mean he is "owned"
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 10:54 PM
Sep 2015

but that he had his reasons. Yes his son worked for a lender, but Jo Biden went out on a limb for whatever reasons he had. He is not known as a sell-out. Your statement is a gross generalization that can cut both ways, I am sure.

 

Pope Sweet Jesus

(62 posts)
72. Excuses. Excuses.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 11:00 PM
Sep 2015

How about the completely inexcusable RAVE Act or his act with Anita Hill, enabling Uncle Tom Thomas to have a seat next to Fat Tony and do absolutely nothing useful.

pandr32

(13,969 posts)
81. So please tell me how the Rave Act shows Joe Biden is owned by the 1%
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 11:45 PM
Sep 2015

You know he isn't a wealthy man, but one who may have different concerns as a senator than you do as whoever. You slam him for his handling of the Clarence Thomas/ Anita Hill incident and nomination but then fail to mention that he opposed Reagan's nomination of ideologue Bork.
You may not like him, but you have not proven he is owned by the 1%.

 

Kelvin Mace

(17,469 posts)
92. HRC's biggest donors are Wall Street connected
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 12:36 AM
Sep 2015

Biden is repsonsible for the 2005 Bankruptcy "Reform" Act, pretty much written by the Banksters.

The evidence is plain for those who wish to see.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
79. I am familiar with it.
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 11:32 PM
Sep 2015

I just always thought it foolish to assume that beggars would choose to ride horses instead of eating.




 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
78. If Biden enters the race, you then have 2 Party establishment candidates
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 11:31 PM
Sep 2015

and one "outsider" as the 3 leaders.


The entire dynamic of the race would change. I think making assumptions now about what would happen is foolish.


I don't really see how a sitting VP could fail to win the nomination if he decides he wants it. Especially one in an administration that has been as effective as this one, but only time will tell.



 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
84. It could be that establishment voters will split
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 11:51 PM
Sep 2015

the vote and the outsider would have the advantage.


I really do think that the sitting VP wins if he enters the race. That is just the way these things play out.



Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
87. Unfortunately, that's not how it works. The nominee is who gets 51% of the delegates. If Sanders
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 11:59 PM
Sep 2015

enters the convention with 40% of the delegates and Clinton and Biden have 30% each, Sanders does not get the nomination. The people who decide brokered conventions do not choose a progressive candidate over the former Secretary of State who has almost unprecedented party establishment support and does not choose the most liberal candidate over the sitting VP.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN

(14,733 posts)
104. If they choose a person with significantly FEWER delegates than the one who has the most
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 07:21 AM
Sep 2015

they seriously risk having voters revolt and losing the general. Because the supporters of the person with the most delegates are not simply going to say 'great, I'll vote for the people who stole the nomination!'

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
111. If Sanders has 40%, Clinton 35% and Biden 25%, but Biden drops out and endorses Clinton and
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 08:50 AM
Sep 2015

asks his delegates to support Clinton, then it is Sanders 40% and Clinton 60%. Same result if you flip Clinton and Biden in the hypothetical. At the end of the day, Clinton and Biden and ideologically close (Clinton is a hair better on reproductive liberty, putting families ahead of the predatory credit industry, etc., but Biden and Clinton come from the same wing of the party), and each would endorse the other before they would endorse Sanders.

 

Motown_Johnny

(22,308 posts)
109. that remains to be seen
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 08:41 AM
Sep 2015

The idea that the super delegates will overrule the will of the voters is foolish to me. Most of them depend on the voters for their jobs.

I still have faith that the system is not so corrupt that the politicians making back room deals will not over rule the voters.

Of course, I could be wrong. But any nominee who "wins" that way will be seen as illegitimate and have a real problem in the general.


Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
114. No one is going to deny the will of the voters, but if a majority of the voters fail to choose one
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 08:55 AM
Sep 2015

candidate, there will be endorsements and coalitions and this brokered nomination will not favor the ideological outlier.

We need for Sanders to enter the convention with 51% of the delegates. That is our only path to victory. A Biden candidacy is calculated to "save" the party from a Sanders nomination in the fairly unlikely event that Clinton's campaign collapses.

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
117. If my spouse and I both want to have dinner and the same Indian restaurant, and one kid wants to go
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 09:13 AM
Sep 2015

Star Pizza, another kid wants to go to Napoli Pizza, and a third kid wants to go to Grimaldi Pizza, I could argue that a plurality of us want to go to that Indian restaurant, but -- in your heart -- you know that is not true.

Biden and Clinton are two very similar pizza places serving the same mediocre stuff. With that said, more people currently like pizza than Indian food, which is a shame because I love Indian food.

If I am going to talk the family into going to that Indian restaurant, I need to persuade one of the kids that we have had pizza twice this week already and we're sick of pizza and we should try the Indian restaurant for a change because I know they will like it.

As Sanders supporters, it is not enough for us to win that Clinton loses support. That lost support has to come to Sanders to make a difference. If Clinton loses support, but that support goes from Clinton to Biden, we are a lost cause and it is four more year of fucking pizza.

Now let's get out there and remind those kids what a good malai kofta tastes like.

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)
82. If Biden runs, he probably stops Sanders from expanding his support beyond the progressive wing of
Sat Sep 19, 2015, 11:47 PM
Sep 2015

the party and he probably weakens Clinton sufficiently to jeopardize her chances in the general election.

In either event, he doesn't win.

Biden takes no meaningful amount of support from Sanders out of the progressive wing of the party (but he does split the not-Clinton vote which needs to unify behind one candidate if there is any hope of someone other than Clinton from getting the nomination).

Biden is too late to the game to steal enough of Clinton's support to beat Clinton among the centrist/establishment Democrats. He is wanting to keep his name out there in case something horrible happens (something so bad that Clinton withdraws from the race), but nothing horrible is going to happen.

Biden is many things:

* a loyal VP,
* a Senator who has tried to balance his Delaware corporate sponsors' desires with people's needs,
* a good father,
* a Senator who had good intentions when passing harsh criminal penalties for drug possession,
* a good husband, and
* a Senator who has tried to balance his opposition to abortion with a regard for women's rights.

There is one thing Biden is not -- he's not a Nader.

Biden is not going to run.

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
96. Yes but that doesn't mean Biden wouldn't also hurt Sanders.
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 02:31 AM
Sep 2015

Biden would mean even less media coverage for Sanders, as all the talk would be Clinton vs. Biden. Sanders is so far behind in most states that Clinton would still be a heavy favorite. Biden would be more likely to win the nomination than Sanders.

 

Prairiegale

(13 posts)
94. It has only been 4 months
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 01:07 AM
Sep 2015

since Bernie has started campaigning and he does not have the name recognition. I live in a very red state and occasionally they might mention him on the 3 MSM stations. We do not have any campaign ads on TV and people out here do not know who the hell he is.
Sanders has not gotten any MSM until recently, but a few articles here and there and usually most of them were marginalizing him. This last week was better. How do I know this? I am kind of retired and am a new junkie....like hour and hours reading all kinds of new sites.
As we say out here on the prairie: "Don't count your chickens before they hatch".

drm604

(16,230 posts)
101. I'm not too sure about that.
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 07:15 AM
Sep 2015

I think that Biden may take more votes away from Clinton than from Sanders. In which case he might actually help Sanders.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
106. True but it probably wont be enough to make a difference.
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 07:36 AM
Sep 2015

Also, Biden will probably be a very laid back campaigner. I think he wont attack either Hillary or Bernie. He will just rely on his name and experience and association with the President. I think his campaign theme will be if you want to have 4 more years of an "Obama-style" presidency then elect me.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
105. Yes, that may be the case.
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 07:23 AM
Sep 2015

Biden gives the "anybody but Hillary" crowd a person to support that is an actual Democrat.

aikoaiko

(34,213 posts)
108. We shall see. Bernie has been defying expectations so far.
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 08:30 AM
Sep 2015

There are reasonable scenarios where a Biden run helps Sanders. If you consider Biden support to be anti-Hillary then Bernie might be able to scoop them up when Joe bails

99Forever

(14,524 posts)
118. The Establishment DINOs are running scared.
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 09:21 AM
Sep 2015

The handwriting is on the wall.

We the People have had our fill of their bullshit and we are taking our Nation back.

Get on board or get the fuck out of the way.

The Revolution is now!

Feel the Bern.

treestar

(82,383 posts)
123. He has other problems though
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 11:40 AM
Sep 2015

Like the gaffe issue. Though by now maybe it's not really problem. Saying crazy things seems OK now with the people.

One thing is he is not hated the way Hillary is. Those who hate her, hate her with a passion - especially the right wingers.

Todays_Illusion

(1,209 posts)
125. I like Joe and I don't think we have had a better VP for a while but I would not vote for Joe in
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 07:44 PM
Sep 2015

the primary.

The MSM and the political establishment are pushing because he will be more of the same., but most of all because they can't wait to unleash the negative attacks, and they will make Hillary's MSM attackers seem like Sunday School teachers when they get started on Joe.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
127. why would Sanders supporters, who are sick of dc lifers and the status quo, jump to
Sun Sep 20, 2015, 08:03 PM
Sep 2015

Biden?

Life in the Clinton bubble must be interesting.

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