CNN Poll: Hillary Clinton trails Sanders in New Hampshire, even without Joe Biden in the race

[Brock Kentman]

Hillary Clinton trails Sanders in New Hampshire, even without Joe Biden in the race

(CNN)Hillary Clinton trails Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders in the race for the Democratic nomination for president in New Hampshire, even if Vice President Joe Biden decides not to make a run for the White House, according to a new CNN/WMUR poll.

Sanders has the backing of nearly half of those who say they plan to vote in the first-in-the-nation Democratic primary next year -- 46% support him -- while just 30% say they back Clinton. Another 14% say they would support Biden, 2% former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley, 1% former Virginia Sen. Jim Webb, and less than half of 1% back former Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee or Harvard professor Lawrence Lessig.

Clinton trails Sanders across most demographic groups, with broad gender and ideology divides bolstering Sanders' run. He holds 56% of male Democratic voters compared with just 20% who back her, while the two are much closer among women, 39% back Sanders, 37% Clinton. Likewise, Sanders holds a 56% to 30% lead among liberals, versus a 37% to 31% race among moderates.

And opinions about the Democratic race have solidified more so than on the Republican side of the coin. More than half of Democrats now say they have made up their minds or are leaning toward someone, compared with 41% on the Republican side.

[upaloopa]

1. Without Biden it is within the margin of error

or tied. You have to include someone who isn't running to beat Hillary. They do that in every poll lately.

[virtualobserver]

2. oh, he's running

[magical thyme]

5. where do you see it within the margin of error? I see Sanders 49 to Clinton 36.

"Though Clinton picks up more of Biden's supporters than Sanders when they are reallocated to their second choice, Sanders maintains control of the race, holding 49% to Clinton's 36%."

[roguevalley]

12. how does she pick up biden's people? WHen given a chance to pick her, they

picked biden. They do NOT WANT her. Seriously. THey don't.

[Plucketeer]

15. Objects in mirror

may be farther than they appear!

[Persondem]

3. Seems odd that less than half of Sanders's supporters think he has the right experience

“Which Democratic candidate do you think has
the right experience to be President?”
Sept
2015
JOE BIDEN 23%
LINCOLN CHAFEE 0%
HILLARY CLINTON 44%
LAWRENCE LESSIG 0%
MARTIN O’MALLEY 1%
BERNIE SANDERS 18%
JIM WEBB *
SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY *
DK / NOT SURE 13%

OR that he has the best chance to win the general election.

“Which Democratic candidate do you think has
the best chance of winning in the general election next November?”
Sept
2015
JOE BIDEN 15%
LINCOLN CHAFEE 0%
HILLARY CLINTON 51%
LAWRENCE LESSIG 0%
MARTIN O’MALLEY 1%
BERNIE SANDERS 19%
JIM WEBB 0%
SOMEONE ELSE – SPECIFY 1%
DK / NOT SURE 13

You'd think Sanders's numbers in these 2 categories would reflect his overall level of support.

[sadoldgirl]

4. It is kind of funny that they

never ask the question:
"Who has the best policies on the issues?"

[magical thyme]

6. it seems odd that only 1 in 3 considers Hillary the least honest

still, she wins that division hands down.

[Robbins]

19. My take

People prefer Bernie but they are doudtful the establishment will allow him to win nomination but they want to vote for him anyway.

They admit Hilary's has exceperence to be president but support Bernie In primary because they prefer his policys over her's.

[kenn3d]

7. Sanders lead in NH rises (a little)

This poll has a modest sample size of 820 adults in NH. With a large-ish MoE of +/-5.5 amongst 314 Democratic Primary voters. But the results indicate a continuation of aggregate trends for all 3 candidates.
Sanders rising / Clinton falling / Biden steady to rising slightly.

CANDIDATES June / Sept
JOE BIDEN 8% / 14% (+6)
HILLARY CLINTON 43% / 30% (-13)
BERNIE SANDERS 35% / 46% (+11)

RCP composite up 1.1pts to Sanders +11.6

[Old Crow]

8. My gosh... that chart!

If this continues, they'll be using that chart in political science classes for decades to come.

Looks like Team Clinton is trying to introduce some kind of alternative-energy seagoing vessel... the purple submarine... "DIVE! DIVE! DIVE!" I crack myself up sometimes.

[LiberalElite]

9. Those are some freaky lines nt

[Old Crow]

10. This just in...

... a confidential source high up in the Clinton Campaign tells me their alternative-energy purple submarine is fueled on a special blend of obfuscation, hot air, and triangulation.

Ingenious!

[LiberalElite]

11. .

[PatrickforO]

13. That IS actually pretty funny.

[kenn3d]

23. HuffPollster has now included this CNN poll also...

HuffPollster has now included this CNN poll also, and they measure the new composite spread at +13.7 Sanders

[Rosa Luxemburg]

14. Bernie is the man of the people

my nutty neighbor loves Bernie. she says that he is a prophet for Christ's second coming. Whoa! I don't think we are there yet. This was the woman who used to be really nasty about our leaves flying into her yard and hated Democrats.

[WHEN CRABS ROAR]

16. Like I have said before.

Now is the time for a real progressive populist movement, but the message needs to be clear and not overly complex and it needs to be repeated over and over to drive it home into the minds of the people.

Then Bernie will win.

[Old Crow]

24. 100%. I'm with you on this.

On edit: Do you have a suggestion for a single sentence or a few sentences to convey why Bernie Sanders should be elected?

Thanks.

[DisgustipatedinCA]

17. Leaves are Satan's Post-It notes.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

18. LOL!

[Fawke Em]

20. Have you seen this?

https://www.facebook.com/donnie.rodriguez1/videos/1083843851627655/?pnref=story

(It's embedded into this man's FB page. I wish I could just post the video. If you don't have FB, I'm not sure it will show up.)

[Rosa Luxemburg]

21. No

wow! A Kennedy brain!

[cyberswede]

22. ...till the debates