2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton's support from black voters plunges in a new poll.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/10/01/hillary-clintons-support-from-black-voters-plunges-in-a-new-poll/?postshare=4081443797590956That's one reason that Bernie Sanders's strength in Iowa and New Hampshire isn't as worrisome as it might otherwise be for Clinton backers; in states with less-heavily white populations -- a.k.a. most of the rest of the country -- Clinton should conceivably do better.
A new poll from Suffolk University and USA Today, though, suggests a big shift among African Americans that could undermine that confidence. We have to note up front that this is one poll, with large margins of error on black responses. That said, the shift is surprising.
Offered without comment.
BlueWaveDem
(403 posts)Metric System
(6,048 posts)sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)before, minorities, women, even moderate Repubs whose first reaction was to the word 'socialist' until they looked deeper, listened to him and admitted, 'I have to admit, I agree with this guy on some major issues, and for the first time I may not vote for a Republican'.
AAs are finding out about him and rallying to his support, forming support groups, volunteering to get his message, which they are saying, is 'impressive on Civil Rights' to more people.
OF course that is why the whole smear campaign playing the race card was initiated, to prevent people from LOOKING at his Civil Rights record.
Assuming people are not capable of thinking for and speaking for themselves, is hugely offensive, but then political operatives never worry about how offensive they are.
hedda_foil
(16,483 posts)More ...
Since the last Suffolk poll in July, the overall race has tightened. Clinton still leads, but by less than she used to. Now notice how big the drop among black Democrats is on the chart below.
We've added bars that show the 10 percent margin of error for the group, showing how much variability is at play. But even so, it's a giant drop-off. Among white Democrats, Clinton is doing nine points worse since July. With black Democrats, this poll has her down 31
.
https://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1484
The number of undecided voters doubled between the two polls, which is also noteworthy. Voters who are changing their minds about whom to support often make a waystation in the "undecided" category rather than switching immediately from one candidate to the next.
energy_model
(25 posts)Clinton 45%, Sanders 24%, Biden 8%.
http://www.people-press.org/2015/10/02/contrasting-partisan-perspectives-on-campaign-2016/