2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCNN debate numbers are in. HRC between 12-15%, Bernie...80-85%. The rest single digit....n/t
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)KeepItReal
(7,770 posts)TheBlackAdder
(29,981 posts)Jack Rabbit
(45,984 posts)azmom
(5,208 posts)Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)DisgustipatedinCA
(12,530 posts)wendylaroux
(2,925 posts)Fearless
(18,458 posts)uponit7771
(93,532 posts)Fearless
(18,458 posts)Cassiopeia
(2,603 posts)We're tuning in and feelin' the Bern.
We're vocal about it in every medium we can find, from bumper stickers to packed stadiums.
Let's hope we all show up to vote.
onecaliberal
(36,594 posts)cprise
(8,445 posts)I mean, CHINA!!!
onecaliberal
(36,594 posts)bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)I can't seem to find that.
monmouth4
(10,711 posts)Fearless
(18,458 posts)Motown_Johnny
(22,308 posts)PADemD
(4,482 posts)Do you have to sign in to Facebook to see the results?
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)zentrum
(9,870 posts)I voted as "a guest". Was allow one vote and then could see the results right away.
LittleBlue
(10,362 posts)I thought Hillary started strong and faded later.
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)That was her best shot to outshine Sanders, and it was almost the first thing they did, which let it fade somewhat for viewers.
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)But Bernie definitely came out on top!
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)eom
itsrobert
(14,157 posts)numbers don't make any sense
Fearless
(18,458 posts)itsrobert
(14,157 posts)n/t
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)LSK
(36,846 posts)Catherina
(35,568 posts)
:largein_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)Go Bernie!
Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)Duckfan
(1,268 posts)Some undecideds should be thinking they liked what they saw. Lets see what the other poll numbers show to get a better snapshot of the country. But I'm encouraged by this news.Thank you.

Erich Bloodaxe BSN
(14,733 posts)I think he probably ate into Hillary's 'weak' supporters, people who were going with her as 'the devil they knew'. Even in the brief snippets with focus groups, they had a person or two who said they had switched over from Hillary to Bernie during the debate.
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)monmouth4
(10,711 posts)Catherina
(35,568 posts)in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)Thank you!
Catherina
(35,568 posts)HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)It couldn't be clearer...M$M is completely out of touch with voters.
Catherina
(35,568 posts)"Out of touch" is putting it kindly lol.
questionseverything
(11,840 posts)Duckfan
(1,268 posts)Wow.
Catherina
(35,568 posts)
Catherina
(35,568 posts)
tomm2thumbs
(13,297 posts)
upaloopa
(11,417 posts)Fearless
(18,458 posts)Logical
(22,457 posts)truedelphi
(32,324 posts)It was first used by Bill Clinton when his appointee and major Monsanto lackey Mike Taylor announced that GMO seeds crops and foods were safe, because he scientifically deemed them to be so!
This put the Clintons on the same side of the GMO issue as the Bush family. Can anyone say Corporatist Sellouts, boys and girls?
BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)Bernie still won hands down.
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)litlbilly
(2,227 posts)I thought Hillary did ok but Bernie was just Bernie, that's why hes polling like he is.
InAbLuEsTaTe
(25,518 posts)Bernie & Elizabeth 2016!!!

RandySF
(84,280 posts)LSK
(36,846 posts)RandySF
(84,280 posts)LSK
(36,846 posts)83% is beyond the margin of error
RandySF
(84,280 posts)Just like that poll that had him winning all 50 states.
LSK
(36,846 posts)How is it self selecting?????
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)LSK
(36,846 posts)Why are people telling me about something that I actually did???
That's why it's not a reliable sample. Any campaign or group can tell people to go and vote in an online poll.
LSK
(36,846 posts)It was a debate sponsored by FB and CNN, so is a stretch people would vote in it???
tomm2thumbs
(13,297 posts)... they probably won't extend themselves to go out and vote if push comes to shove
bluedigger
(17,437 posts)Where is her enthusiastic base?
RandySF
(84,280 posts)votesparks
(1,288 posts)Not one pro-Clinton debate party in our city. We had 140+ show up for our Bernie Party.
Nationwide Sanders had 4,000 debate parties, while Clinton's campaign was able to muster up around 290.
The energy and momentum is in the Bern.
Plucketeer
(12,882 posts)Maybe they're so busy rejoicing that they haven't come down to earth yet. Yeah - that's gotta be it! LOL!
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)Time, Fox, PalmBeachPost.com, Wishtv.com, slate and statesman all agree with CNNs poll
Bernie handily won the debate (You can see the polls at post #73).
To be more realistic, those who are most likely to vote are the ones watching the debate... so roughly 75%-80% of likely voting viewers thought Bernie won.
rhett o rick
(55,981 posts)with all of the other polls and opinions out there.
kwassa
(23,340 posts)This is not how true polling works.
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)This does however reflect the opinions of those with an interest in politics...and probable voters (Specifically those who watched).
zeemike
(18,998 posts)And how do you determine likely voters?...well who voted last time would be likely...but that is not Representative of the people who could vote or may vote in the future is it?
Too much faith is put on polls.
Scootaloo
(25,699 posts)And you can tell your friends, "hey, here's this poll, go bern it up!" right? And other people can do the same for their candidtes.
It's not a random sample, in other words. It's a bunch of people trying to create a particular outcome.
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)Godhumor
(6,437 posts)in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)I'd say so!
mythology
(9,527 posts)This is an online, self-selected poll. It is utterly meaningless. I can't link to it at the moment due to DU2 being down, but there was an MSNBC poll that showed 85% of Americans wanted Bush impeached. But not a single real poll found that.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=110x9869
pnwmom
(110,261 posts)No conclusion can be drawn about it.
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)R B Garr
(17,984 posts)Bullshit
kwassa
(23,340 posts)monmouth4
(10,711 posts)kwassa
(23,340 posts)bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)kwassa
(23,340 posts)stevenleser
(32,886 posts)kwassa
(23,340 posts)R B Garr
(17,984 posts)I saw disagree votes flood before she started talking.
BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)
Good indicators anyway.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)As of January 2014, 87% of American adults use the internet.

http://www.pewinternet.org/data-trend/internet-use/latest-stats/
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)Go figure.
Thanks for sharing that!
BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)stevenleser
(32,886 posts)BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)stevenleser
(32,886 posts)BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)Goodnight now.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)85% of whites are internet users versus
81% of African Americans and
83% of Hispanics.
Whites, who are a much larger percentage of the population anyway, have a 4% advantage online over African Americans. Bernie does better among white people and does abysmally among African Americans.
97% of 18-29
93% of 30-49 and
88% of 50-64 and
57% of 65+
There is an almost 10 point difference between ages 50-64 and ages 18-29 and a 40 point difference between ages 18-29 and age 65+. Again, Bernie does better with young voters and Hillary does better with older ones.
77% of less than $30,000/yr
85% of 30K-49K
93% of 50-74K
99% of 75K
And here is the data on wealth. There is a huge difference.
Again, what were you reading?
One Man Stands Alone
(26 posts)stevenleser
(32,886 posts)Bubzer
(4,211 posts)stevenleser
(32,886 posts)Bubzer
(4,211 posts)You said Young Middle class white people skewed the internet poll. I may not be great with math, but I'm pretty sure the 30-64 age ranges contain a few more people than the 18-29 group. Also, a 4 point difference between demographics is not near enough to skew the chart more than 4%. All 6 of the polls posted here clearly show that even were you to grant 4% to your candidate of choice and remove it from a candidate of your choosing, Bernie still won handily. You could cut Bernie's poll numbers in half, and he still would have won. Your claim just doesn't hold water.
BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)Didn't you know this?
Fearless
(18,458 posts)Fawke Em
(11,366 posts)...said as the wife and mother of Red Sox fans rooting for the Cubbies - all 2015 and shit.
jfern
(5,204 posts)monmouth4
(10,711 posts)R B Garr
(17,984 posts)From his supporters. Disagree votes started before she started talking. That was total spam Bullshit
Logical
(22,457 posts)R B Garr
(17,984 posts)Phony bullshit
Logical
(22,457 posts)R B Garr
(17,984 posts)But typical of the BSers
kenfrequed
(7,865 posts)Are you referring to Bernie Sanders supporters as BSers? Because that kind of generalizing isn't terribly adult of you.
StevieM
(10,578 posts)In the coming days there will probably be some scientifically conducted polls. That will give us a better idea of who earned the title of "winner" of the debate.
The early evidence from the CNN focus group indicates that Sanders and Clinton both did very well and the group seemed divided over them. Of course, that isn't a totally scientific sampling either. But it is better than a bunch of people clicking on the internet.
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)StevieM
(10,578 posts)give us a better idea of who earned the title "winner" of the debate.
questionseverything
(11,840 posts)Fearless
(18,458 posts)It's a poll not a DU2 post!
R B Garr
(17,984 posts)So phony, but typical childishness .
BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)okasha
(11,573 posts)"Vote early, vote often."
Robbins
(5,066 posts)bernie was great.he made this about us and issues.clinton is phony and all about herself.
kenfrequed
(7,865 posts)I think that might be a bit exaggerated.
Did he do well? Yes. Did he change minds? I hope so.
The method plays to where Sanders support comes from. The young and the technologically savvy.
It is hopeful, but I wouldn't take it as gospel.
Duckfan
(1,268 posts)...you have to come away with the belief that the rest of the country is fed up with the corporate rule. Thus they see something positive about Bernie as a candidate. Very encouraging to see. And Bernie has to be smiling too.
itsrobert
(14,157 posts)Really?
kwassa
(23,340 posts)that is what I see on their page.
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)the link to the poll. Yet they have not showed it. A focus group on CNN said Bernie won the debate. They had mush in their mouth at CNN.
Google went wild for people looking up Bernie after the debate. Off the charts just about. Others no comparison.
Metric System
(6,048 posts)and scientific polls. They're either being intellectually dishonest or honestly dumbfounded.
Starry Messenger
(32,381 posts)thesquanderer
(13,006 posts)Inherently unscientific. Too easily manipulatable. Skewed to the young and internet savvy. etc. Though I guess they at least speak again to the enthusiasm of his supporters, if not necessarily to their true numbers.
The focus groups, despite the small sample size, are more intriguing, I think. BS seems to be the choice of those at CNN and Fox (don't know if there were others), apparently to the moderators' surprise.
Also, I think the increase in Twitter followers has meaning, as those who were already followers couldn't become followers again, so this would be a difficult deck to stack.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251676197
cpompilo
(323 posts)WIN, Berie, WIN!
kelliekat44
(7,759 posts)tblue37
(68,436 posts)Bernie Sanders 75 %
Hillary Clinton 17 %
Jim Webb 5 %
Martin O'Malley 3 %
Lincoln Chafee 1 %
Slate Online Magazine
Bernie Sanders 75%
Hillary Clinton 17%
Jim Webb 4%
Martin O'Malley 3%
Lincoln Chafee 1%
San Diego FOX affiliate
Bernie Sanders 74.64% (19,355 votes)
Hillary Clinton 17.53% (4,545 votes)
Jim Webb 3.93% (1,019 votes)
Martin O'Malley 3.3% (856 votes)
Lincoln Chafee 0.6% (156 votes)
Total Votes: 25,931
JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)Or are those numbers you own opinions.
SoapBox
(18,791 posts)Go Bernie Go!
And keep up all the great work Berners!
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)I'm sure bernie fans will be up all night voting hundreds of times per person for BS in every online poll that can be found.
Luckily everyone knows those online polls are bogus.
Have fun yall
Marty McGraw
(1,024 posts)for you to join in all the crazy shenanigan fun as well if you so choose!
840high
(17,196 posts)allowed.
whatthehey
(3,660 posts)Plucketeer
(12,882 posts)What IRONY that the post-debate numbers seem in lockstep with the crowds showing up for Bernie. All just a fluke, of course!
Edit to add: I'd love to know what DWS' opinion is about the taste of crow.
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)Spitfire of ATJ
(32,723 posts)restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)we can quibble about the particulars, but so far it looks like a decisive win for sanders. more exposure equals more support. i think the polls within the week will bear this out
look for dws to cancel the next debate
C Moon
(13,643 posts)It really was a good debate. I especially liked that there was very little mud slinging among the candidates. There was still some, but mostly, they stayed on point with talking about the issues.
zentrum
(9,870 posts)..I looked at. TIME, Slate, smaller local news outletsit's Bernie by wide margins.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)CNN and Fox focus groups have a solid win to Sanders.
zentrum
(9,870 posts)
..the same on Fox. I looked but couldn't find the Fox pollsthat is, kept being rerouted to some irrelevant page.
How did you find it?
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)zentrum
(9,870 posts)HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)zentrum
(9,870 posts)Indepatriot
(1,253 posts)Bernie +5/6, Hillary-5/6.... it's real early, and polls this far out are suspect, but I do believe Bernie's coming on strong and steady. Hillary's answering of why a Clinton Administration wouldn't be a 3rd Obama term was a MASSIVE FAIL. Playing the Gender Card on that question was pitiful. My wife was visibly angry ( and that's rare ) that all she had for such a big question was "I'm a woman"... I think that one turned off thousands of viewers...
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Sanders had a huge lead in Google searches during the debate...indicates a lot of viewers still didn't know him. Hillary did well enough, but the exposure Sanders got was significant.
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)zentrum
(9,870 posts)
..that the majority of Democrats didn't even know there was a debate.
http://news.yahoo.com/most-u-voters-not-aware-democratic-debate-reuters-195946814.htm
Add to that the fact that you had to have cable. Which is like privatizing the debate process. Which is disgusting in a democracy. The Dems should have made a stink about this. It should have been on network and on radio for people at work.
I blame the DNC for this engineering this elitism. Part of DWS's plan to limit exposure of the full array of Democratic candidates.
SandersDem
(592 posts)....you must assimilate into the Borg.
Instructions to do this:
Thread the needle, declare yourself both a progressive and a moderate. Be happy that Chaffee was there so people could go "Huh?" when he said he was granite providing you with cover.
Ignore Data. (I might just digress here a moment and point out what an incredibly subtle Star trek that was, but then I would ruin the subtlety). Sanders, top search on google, top on Twitter, top on FB, media goes into denial. If the online polls went the other way, recognize this thread would have been started by a Hillary reporter...
Enter the Borg.
BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)a Hillary reporter."
Lol, you betcha.
I got the subtlety in "Ignore Data" BTW.
ChimpersMcSmirkers
(3,328 posts)Those are polls are where users decide to vote. The links are being passed out in the Sanders subreddit.
https://www.reddit.com/r/SandersForPresident/comments/3oohif/polls/
https://www.reddit.com/r/SandersForPresident/comments/3ooh1e/polls/
Think upvotes, only on places other than reddit.
wyldwolf
(43,891 posts)kelliekat44
(7,759 posts)reform ideas. She was more Presidential than any of the others. i like Bernie but Hillary is much more experienced and pragmatic than Sanders. Bernie sucked up to BLM in an almost embarrassing way but he is right about criminal justice reform and he and Hillary are about the same on this.
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)REAL PEOPLE, the VOTERS, voted in the CNN FACEBOOK DEBATE poll. Bernie won, BIG. Hillary lost, BIG. Stop being sore losers. You look silly.
itsrobert
(14,157 posts)a Facebook poll? What a joke.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Not a one. Only the M$M pundits claim she won, and they had to ignore their own polls to do so. LOL!
Bernblu
(441 posts)that they make bold assertions with out any evidence and thereby control the narrative. I feel like I'm living in oligarchy.
BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)
in_cog_ni_to
(41,600 posts)Whether you like the results or not. It's more accurate than the phone polls some people think are the "gold standard " in polls.
87.4% population uses the Internet
51.7% of the population don't have or use a landline phone
Liberty Belle
(9,707 posts)O'Malley 2%, Chafee 1%.
Personally I thought Bernie trounced his opponents on nearly every question.
O'Mallley also impressed me favorably. VP material perhaps?
Clinton's refusal to break up big banks was lame and clearly showed the differences, though she did better when talking about family leave and wanting to help families.
Webb sounded like a Republican - pro-coal and nuclear and that bizarre answer on China?
Chafee sounded wimpy and whining, making excuses for bad votes because he was new or daddy just died.
Predicably the lamestream media is distracting from the serious issues discussed by having sensationalist headlines about marijuana and guns...god forbid they should talk about the wealth gap or Bernie's appeal for healthcare for all Americans.
Uncle Joe
(65,134 posts)Thanks for the thread, monmouth.
meaculpa2011
(918 posts)me that Bernie won handily.
My only question is: Who are the 1% who think Chafee won?
wyldwolf
(43,891 posts)At least they're organized enough to do that.
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)Even fox news posted Bernie as the clear winner. I'm curious, do you have anything to support that spurious claim?
wyldwolf
(43,891 posts)Bubzer
(4,211 posts)wyldwolf
(43,891 posts)Bubzer
(4,211 posts)But I'll meet you half way. As the saying goes; Show me yours and I'll show you mine.
wyldwolf
(43,891 posts)
Bubzer
(4,211 posts)I do see a placeholder for an image, so I'll give you the benefit of the doubt and assume you posted something.
Here's my end of the deal:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/10/14/1432196/-Did-Bernie-Sanders-win-the-debate
wyldwolf
(43,891 posts)Bubzer
(4,211 posts)Its also worth noting that not a single one favored Clinton.
wyldwolf
(43,891 posts)Bubzer
(4,211 posts)wyldwolf
(43,891 posts)Bubzer
(4,211 posts)I guess it was too much to hope for a serious conversation with you.
That's fine.
wyldwolf
(43,891 posts)Bubzer
(4,211 posts)wyldwolf
(43,891 posts)Bubzer
(4,211 posts)They don't care who's winning or losing...only how they can drum traffic to their site.
Even their creator and editor-in-chief David Talbot admitted as much:
"Is Salon more tabloid-like? Yeah, we've made no secret of that."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Salon_(website)
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)One major distinguishing difference between scientific and unscientific polls is who picks the respondents for the survey. In a scientific poll, the pollster identifies and seeks out the people to be interviewed. In an unscientific poll, the respondents usually "volunteer" their opinions, selecting themselves for the poll.
http://www.ncpp.org/?q=node/4
AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)Sanders by 4x - 6x
MSNBC is having a Clinton fest right now. They refuse to mention Sanders except in the context of, 'he helped Hillary'. Yet the polls say the opposite. What is happening here?

